After LMT’s 11% Single Day Slide, ERJ Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play
ERJ offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation.
- ERJ’s quarterly revenue grew 23.0%, vs. LMT’s 4.5%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months growth came in at 21.2%, ahead of LMT’s 3.1%.
- ERJ’s LTM margin is higher – 11.0% vs. LMT’s 10.3%.
That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Valuation & Performance Overview
| LMT | ERJ | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 13.1 | 12.3 | ERJ |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 4.5% | 23.0% | ERJ |
| Last 12 Months | 3.1% | 21.2% | ERJ |
| Last 3 Year Average | 3.0% | 18.3% | ERJ |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 10.3% | 11.0% | ERJ |
| Last 3 Year Average | 11.8% | 9.2% | LMT |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 12.7% | 462.7% | LMT |
See more revenue details: LMT Revenue Comparison | ERJ Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: LMT Operating Income Comparison | ERJ Operating Income Comparison
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Historical Market Performance
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| LMT Return | -6% | 3% | 40% | -4% | 10% | -2% | 41% | ||
| ERJ Return | -65% | 161% | -38% | 69% | 99% | 33% | 172% | <=== | |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 7% | 94% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| LMT Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 33% | 50% | ||
| ERJ Win Rate | 25% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 51% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 61% | <=== | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| LMT Max Drawdown | -28% | -9% | -0% | -17% | -8% | -13% | -13% | ||
| ERJ Max Drawdown | -79% | -7% | -54% | -2% | -7% | 0% | -25% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year