Linde Stock Hands $44 Bil Back – Worth a Look?

LIN: Linde logo
LIN
Linde

In the last decade, Linde (LIN) stock has returned $44 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, LIN stock has returned the 63rd highest amount to shareholders in history.

  LIN S&P Median
Dividends $17 Bil $4.5 Bil
Share Repurchase $27 Bil $5.7 Bil
Total Returned $44 Bil $9.4 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 22.3% 25.4%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return

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  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $847 Bil 20.7% $141 Bil $706 Bil
MSFT $368 Bil 10.4% $169 Bil $200 Bil
GOOGL $357 Bil 9.6% $15 Bil $342 Bil
XOM $212 Bil 41.6% $145 Bil $67 Bil
WFC $212 Bil 71.6% $58 Bil $153 Bil
META $183 Bil 11.2% $9.1 Bil $174 Bil
JPM $181 Bil 20.5% $0.0 $181 Bil
ORCL $161 Bil 30.7% $34 Bil $126 Bil
CVX $157 Bil 53.9% $99 Bil $58 Bil
JNJ $157 Bil 30.4% $104 Bil $52 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for LIN. (see Buy or Sell Linde Stock for more details)

Linde Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 1.3% LTM and 0.6% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 15.2% free cash flow margin and 26.9% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for LIN was -0.8%.
  • Valuation: Linde stock trades at a P/E multiple of 33.3

  LIN S&P Median
Sector Materials
Industry Industrial Gases
PE Ratio 33.3 23.5

   
LTM* Revenue Growth 1.3% 6.0%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 0.6% 5.4%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y -0.8% 0.1%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 26.9% 18.8%
3Y Average Operating Margin 24.8% 18.3%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 15.2% 13.4%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

The table gives good overview of what you get from LIN stock, but what about the risk?

LIN Historical Risk

LIN isn’t immune to big drops. It fell about 45% in the Dot-Com crash and over 50% in the Global Financial Crisis. The 2018 correction barely spared it, with a 14% dip, while Covid wiped out around 33%. Even the recent inflation shock pushed it down more than 22%. Sure, LIN has solid fundamentals, but when panic hits, it still takes a hit.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.