SII Stock Surges 30% With A 11-day Winning Spree On TD Upgrade To $176
Sprott (SII) – a provider of asset, wealth, and fund management services. – hit 11-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 30%. The company market cap has surged by about $796 Mil over the last 11 days, and currently stands at $3.5 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 37.0% compared to 1.5% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] TD Securities Price Target Hike
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- Price target raised from C$130.00 to C$176.00
- Analyst maintained a ‘hold’ rating
- Impact: Stock Reached New 52-Week High, Reinforced Bullish Sentiment
[2] Technical Breakout
- Breakout of a strong rising short-term trend
- Multiple technical indicators flashing ‘Buy’ signals
- Impact: Initiation of Winning Streak, Increased Trading Volume
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in SII stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Hence, together with its Very High valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell SII).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for SII stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | SII | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 11D (Current Streak) | 29.9% | 0.4% |
| 1M (21D) | 32.5% | 0.6% |
| 3M (63D) | 65.5% | 3.1% |
| YTD 2026 | 37.0% | 1.5% |
| 2025 | 137.2% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 27.4% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 5.0% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has SII behaved after prior drops? See SII Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 65 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 42 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 17 | 37 |
| 4D | 35 | 0 |
| 5D | 9 | 4 |
| 6D | 3 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 1 |
| Total >=3 D | 65 | 42 |
Key Financials for Sprott (SII)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $141.4 Mil | $168.4 Mil |
| Operating Income | $38.2 Mil | $59.8 Mil |
| Net Income | $41.8 Mil | $49.3 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $62.2 Mil | $57.9 Mil |
| Operating Income | $19.4 Mil | $9.6 Mil |
| Net Income | $13.5 Mil | $13.2 Mil |
While SII stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.