A Decade of Rewards: LIN Returns $44 Bil to Investors

LIN: Linde logo
LIN
Linde

In the last decade, Linde (LIN) has returned $44 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, LIN has returned the 63rd highest amount to shareholders in history.

  LIN S&P Median
Dividends $17 Bil $4.5 Bil
Share Repurchase $27 Bil $5.5 Bil
Total Returned $44 Bil $9.1 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 19.6% 25.9%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more companies like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Companies By Total Shareholder Return

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  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $847 Bil 23.9% $141 Bil $706 Bil
MSFT $364 Bil 9.8% $165 Bil $199 Bil
GOOGL $343 Bil 12.1% $12 Bil $331 Bil
XOM $212 Bil 44.6% $145 Bil $67 Bil
WFC $208 Bil 81.4% $59 Bil $150 Bil
META $178 Bil 9.4% $7.7 Bil $171 Bil
JPM $174 Bil 21.3% $0.0 $174 Bil
ORCL $163 Bil 24.3% $34 Bil $129 Bil
JNJ $157 Bil 36.5% $104 Bil $52 Bil
CVX $153 Bil 57.6% $97 Bil $55 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Companies like META and MSFT are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for LIN. (see Buy or Sell LIN Stock for more details)

LIN Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 1.3% LTM and 0.6% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 15.2% free cash flow margin and 26.9% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for LIN was -0.8%.
  • Valuation: LIN trades at a P/E multiple of 33.0
  • Opportunity vs S&P: Compared to S&P, you get higher valuation, lower revenue growth, and better margins

  LIN S&P Median
Sector Materials
Industry Industrial Gases
PE Ratio 33.0 24.1

   
LTM* Revenue Growth 1.3% 5.1%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 0.6% 5.3%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y -0.8% -0.1%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 26.9% 18.7%
3Y Average Operating Margin 24.8% 17.9%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 15.2% 13.4%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

That’s a good overview, but evaluating a stock from an investment perspective involves much more. That is exactly what Trefis High Quality Portfolio does. It is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure.

LIN Historical Risk

That said, LIN isn’t immune to sharp drops. It tumbled about 45% in the Dot-Com crash and roughly 52% during the Global Financial Crisis. Even the more recent hits weren’t kind — the 2018 correction pulled it down 14%, the Covid sell-off shaved around 33%, and the inflation shock cut close to 23%. So, while the company might have solid fundamentals, steep sell-offs can still happen when markets turn sour.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.