After JCI’s 7.4% Single Day Slide, ALLE Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play
Allegion (ALLE) offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Johnson Controls International (JCI), suggesting you may be better off investing in ALLE
- ALLE’s quarterly revenue growth was 5.4%, vs. JCI’s 1.4%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months growth came in at 5.5%, ahead of JCI’s 4.3%.
- ALLE leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 21.1% and 3-year average of 19.8%.
That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Valuation & Performance Overview
| JCI | ALLE | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 21.4 | 17.6 | ALLE |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 1.4% | 5.4% | ALLE |
| Last 12 Months | 4.3% | 5.5% | ALLE |
| Last 3 Year Average | -4.6% | 9.9% | ALLE |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 14.9% | 21.1% | ALLE |
| Last 3 Year Average | 10.9% | 19.8% | ALLE |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 104.6% | 62.6% | JCI |
Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: JCI Revenue Comparison | ALLE Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: JCI Operating Income Comparison | ALLE Operating Income Comparison
Historical Market Performance
- JCI Lost 7.4% In A Day. Do You Buy Or Wait?
- Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High
- Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High
- How Will Johnson Controls Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
- Now Is Not The Time To Buy Johnson Controls Stock
- $50 to $70 In Less Than A Year: Is Johnson Controls Stock Headed To $80 Next?
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| JCI Return | 18% | 77% | -19% | -8% | 40% | 32% | 211% | <=== | |
| ALLE Return | -5% | 15% | -19% | 22% | 5% | 27% | 43% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 98% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| JCI Win Rate | 75% | 92% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 62% | <=== | |
| ALLE Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 83% | 53% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 61% | ||
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| JCI Max Drawdown | -42% | -1% | -42% | -23% | -9% | -9% | -21% | ||
| ALLE Max Drawdown | -37% | -8% | -32% | -7% | -9% | -9% | -17% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year