5-Day Rally Sends Jabil Stock Up 11%
Jabil (JBL) stock hit day 5-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 11%. The company market cap has surged by about $2.4 Bil over the last 5 days, and currently stands at $25 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 63.6% compared to 17.5% for S&P 500. This calls for re-evaluation of stock’s valuation, and find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
| Catalyst | Details | Impact | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 Earnings Beat and Raised Guidance |
|
|
2025-12-17 |
| Multiple Analyst Price Target Hikes |
|
|
2025-12-18 |
Opportunity or Trap?
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Below is our take on valuation.
There are a few things to fear in JBL stock given its overall Weak operating performance and financial condition. This isn’t appropriately reflected in the stock’s Moderate valuation which is why we think it is Unattractive (For details, see Buy or Sell JBL).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this 11% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To catch the next winner before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has flagged 5 new opportunities that haven not surged yet.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for JBL stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | JBL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | 10.6% | 1.6% |
| 1M (21D) | 19.5% | 4.6% |
| 3M (63D) | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| YTD 2025 | 63.6% | 17.5% |
| 2024 | 13.3% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 87.4% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | -2.5% | -19.4% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has JBL behaved after prior drops? See JBL Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 95 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 39 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 35 | 17 |
| 4D | 49 | 10 |
| 5D | 9 | 3 |
| 6D | 1 | 7 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 2 |
| Total >=3 D | 95 | 39 |
Key Financials for Jabil (JBL)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $28.9 Bil | $29.8 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.4 Bil | $1.4 Bil |
| Net Income | $1.4 Bil | $657.0 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ3 | 2025 FQ4 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $7.8 Bil | $8.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $383.0 Mil | $475.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $222.0 Mil | $218.0 Mil |
While JBL stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.