Royal Gold Stock To $336?
Royal Gold (RGLD) stock has fallen by 14.8% in less than a month, from $304.29 on 2nd Mar, 2026 to $259.11 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive but Volatile opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Royal Gold Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, RGLD stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 32%, with median peak return reaching 62%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
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| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 6.7% |
| 3M | -0.6% |
| 6M | -0.2% |
| 12M | 31.8% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
RGLD had 12 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 62% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 330 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -23% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | RGLD Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | RGLD | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 32% | 62% | -23% | 330 | ||||
| 6202023 | -20% | 6% | 12% | 20% | -10% | 336 | ||
| 5162022 | -20% | -12% | 15% | 25% | -26% | 332 | ||
| 3112020 | -21% | -16% | 25% | 68% | -21% | 147 | ||
| 8162018 | -20% | 4% | 67% | 71% | -6% | 358 | ||
| 11062015 | -25% | 9% | 116% | 147% | -28% | 278 | ||
| 7212015 | -20% | 2% | 53% | 65% | -50% | 356 | ||
| 3102015 | -22% | -0% | -17% | 16% | -56% | 13 | ||
| 9272013 | -22% | 2% | 37% | 75% | -10% | 320 | ||
| 6242013 | -21% | -3% | 74% | 78% | -9% | 364 | ||
| 4182013 | -21% | 0% | 27% | 40% | -25% | 329 | ||
| 3042013 | -21% | 3% | 11% | 13% | -38% | 23 | ||
| 10192011 | -20% | 1% | 38% | 59% | -7% | 345 | ||
Royal Gold Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 43.2% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 20.8% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 68.4% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 20.8 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 8.1 |
Not sure if you can take a call on RGLD stock? Consider portfolio approach
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