A Decade of Rewards: INTC Returns $94 Bil to Investors

-14.88%
Downside
40.50
Market
34.47
Trefis
INTC: Intel logo
INTC
Intel

In the last decade, Intel (INTC) has returned a notable $94 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, INTC has returned the 20th highest amount to shareholders in history.

  INTC S&P Median
Dividends $45 Bil $4.5 Bil
Share Repurchase $49 Bil $5.5 Bil
Total Returned $94 Bil $9.1 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 59.9% 25.2%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more companies like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Companies By Total Shareholder Return

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  6. What Could Spark the Intel Stock’s Next Big Move

  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $847 Bil 22.3% $141 Bil $706 Bil
MSFT $364 Bil 9.4% $165 Bil $199 Bil
GOOGL $343 Bil 11.6% $12 Bil $331 Bil
XOM $212 Bil 43.7% $145 Bil $67 Bil
WFC $208 Bil 79.6% $59 Bil $150 Bil
JPM $174 Bil 20.1% $0.0 $174 Bil
META $167 Bil 9.2% $6.4 Bil $160 Bil
ORCL $161 Bil 19.7% $34 Bil $126 Bil
JNJ $157 Bil 35.0% $104 Bil $52 Bil
CVX $153 Bil 57.4% $97 Bil $55 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Companies like META and MSFT are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for INTC. (see Buy or Sell INTC Stock for more details)

INTC Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: -3.7% LTM and -9.4% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly -20.6% free cash flow margin and -8.3% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for INTC was -26.4%.
  • Valuation: INTC trades at a P/E multiple of -7.7
  • Opportunity vs S&P: Compared to S&P, you get lower valuation, lower revenue growth, and lower margins

  INTC S&P Median
Sector Information Technology
Industry Semiconductors
PE Ratio -7.7 23.9

   
LTM* Revenue Growth -3.7% 5.2%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth -9.4% 5.3%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y -26.4% -0.1%

   
LTM* Operating Margin -8.3% 18.6%
3Y Average Operating Margin -3.9% 17.8%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin -20.6% 13.3%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

That’s a good overview, but evaluating a stock from an investment perspective involves much more. That is exactly what Trefis High Quality Portfolio does. It is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure.

INTC Historical Risk

Intel isn’t immune to big drops either. It plunged 74% in the Dot-Com Bubble and 55% during the Global Financial Crisis. The inflation shock wiped out over 61%, and even the Covid sell-off saw a 35% dip. Remember the 2018 correction? Intel still dropped around 25%. So, no matter the strengths, this stock can take a hit when things get rough.

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read INTC Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.