HubSpot Stock To $261?
HubSpot (HUBS) stock has fallen by 24.5% in less than a month, from $494.58 on 3rd Nov, 2025 to $373.32 now. What comes next? We think that he stock could fall even more. The current correction, when put in context of stock’s Very High valuation, suggest possibility of further downside. A price of $261 is not out of question, especially considering that the stock has seen this level in the last 5 years. Read Buy or Sell HubSpot Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
So should you wait before buying this dip? Perhaps. There is no perfect way to time the dips. Nevertheless, here is another perspective on HUBS stock to help you make the decision. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 40%, with median peak return reaching 49%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 30% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 11.7% |
| 3M | 16.2% |
| 6M | 15.0% |
| 12M | 40.4% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
HUBS had 6 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered
- 49% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 254 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -24% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | HUBS Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | HUBS | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 40% | 49% | -24% | 254 | ||||
| 4042025 | -31% | -16% | -26% | 34% | -29% | 39 | ||
| 9222022 | -33% | -11% | 77% | 111% | -6% | 312 | ||
| 5102022 | -34% | -12% | 42% | 41% | -21% | 365 | ||
| 1042022 | -31% | 2% | -51% | 0% | -55% | 0 | ||
| 3122020 | -33% | -24% | 293% | 344% | -15% | 344 | ||
| 2022016 | -33% | -7% | 39% | 57% | -28% | 195 | ||
HubSpot Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 19.2% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 22.4% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 23.7% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 12.4 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 814.6 |
Not sure if you can take a call on HUBS stock? Consider portfolio approach
Stock Picking Falls Short Against Multi Asset Portfolios
Markets move differently but a mix of assets smooths volatility. A multi asset portfolio keeps you invested and reduces the impact of sharp drops in any single area.
The asset allocation framework of Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. Our partner’ strategy now includes Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices