HOOD Stock Falls -16% With A 5-day Losing Spree On Crypto Market Sell-Off
Robinhood Markets (HOOD) – a financial platform for investing in stocks, crypto, and ETFs – hit a 5-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to -16%. The company’s market cap has crashed by about $15 Bil over the last 5 days and currently stands at $80 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 20.5% compared to 1.9% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Crypto Market Decline
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- Bitcoin fell ~10% over the weekend
- Crypto represents 41% of transaction revenue
- Impact: Stock sank 9.7% on Feb 2nd, Largest decliner in the S&P 500
[2] Insider Selling Pressure
- CTO sold shares representing 39% of his stake
- CEO sold 375,000 shares on Jan 5th
- Impact: Stock fell 2.1% on Jan 29th, Increased selling volume
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in HOOD stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Hence, together with its Very High valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell HOOD).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -16% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for HOOD stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | HOOD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -9.6% | 0.5% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | -16.0% | 0.4% |
| 1M (21D) | -20.5% | 1.9% |
| 3M (63D) | -34.9% | 2.3% |
| YTD 2026 | -20.5% | 1.9% |
| 2025 | 203.5% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 192.5% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 56.5% | 24.2% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: HOOD Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 74 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 49 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 50 | 11 |
| 4D | 19 | 15 |
| 5D | 2 | 11 |
| 6D | 3 | 6 |
| 7D or more | 0 | 6 |
| Total >=3 D | 74 | 49 |
Key Financials for Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.9 Bil | $3.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $-531.0 Mil | $1.1 Bil |
| Net Income | $-541.0 Mil | $1.4 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $989.0 Mil | $1.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $439.0 Mil | $635.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $386.0 Mil | $556.0 Mil |
The losing streak HOOD stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.