Grindr Stock To $16?
Grindr (GRND) stock has fallen 12% during the past day, and is currently trading at $12.16. Our multi-factor assessment suggests that it may be time to buy more shares of GRND stock. We have, overall, a positive view of the stock, and a price of $16 may not be out of reach. We believe there is not much to fear in GRND stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Considering stock’s Moderate valuation, we think it is Attractive.
Below is our assessment:
| CONCLUSION | |
|---|---|
| What you pay: | |
| Valuation | Moderate |
| What you get: | |
| Growth | Very Strong |
| Profitability | Moderate |
| Financial Stability | Strong |
| Downturn Resilience | Very Weak |
| Operating Performance | Strong |
| Stock Opinion | Attractive |
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Let’s get into details of each of the assessed factors but before that, for quick background: With $2.3 Bil in market cap, Grindr is a blank check company intending to pursue mergers, acquisitions, or business combinations, headquartered in Singapore since 2020.
[1] Valuation Looks Moderate
| GRND | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| Price-to-Sales Ratio | 5.6 | 3.2 |
| Price-to-Earnings Ratio | -46.8 | 23.0 |
| Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio | 16.6 | 20.2 |
This table highlights how GRND is valued vs broader market. For more details see: GRND Valuation Ratios
[2] Growth Is Very Strong
- Grindr has seen its top line grow at an average rate of 33.0% over the last 3 years
- Its revenues have grown 29% from $319 Mil to $412 Mil in the last 12 months
- Also, its quarterly revenues grew 29.6% to $116 Mil in the most recent quarter from $89 Mil a year ago.
| GRND | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-Year Average | 33.0% | 5.5% |
| Latest Twelve Months* | 29.0% | 6.1% |
| Most Recent Quarter (YoY)* | 29.6% | 7.1% |
This table highlights how GRND is growing vs broader market. For more details see: GRND Revenue Comparison
[3] Profitability Appears Moderate
- GRND last 12 month operating income was $115 Mil representing operating margin of 28.0%
- With cash flow margin of 35.5%, it generated nearly $146 Mil in operating cash flow over this period
- For the same period, GRND generated nearly $-49 Mil in net income, suggesting net margin of about -12.0%
| GRND | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Operating Margin | 28.0% | 18.8% |
| Current OCF Margin | 35.5% | 20.5% |
| Current Net Income Margin | -12.0% | 13.1% |
This table highlights how GRND profitability vs broader market. For more details see: GRND Operating Income Comparison
[4] Financial Stability Looks Strong
- GRND Debt was $283 Mil at the end of the most recent quarter, while its current Market Cap is $2.3 Bil. This implies Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 12.3%
- GRND Cash (including cash equivalents) makes up $6.3 Mil of $439 Mil in total Assets. This yields a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 1.4%
| GRND | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| Current Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 12.3% | 21.0% |
| Current Cash-to-Assets Ratio | 1.4% | 7.0% |
[5] Downturn Resilience Is Very Weak
GRND has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns. We assess this based on both (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered.
2022 Inflation Shock
- GRND stock fell 87.3% from a high of $36.50 on 18 November 2022 to $4.65 on 28 December 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- The stock is yet to recover to its pre-Crisis high
- The highest the stock has reached since then is $24.73 on 2 June 2025 , and currently trades at $12.16
| GRND | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -87.3% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | Not Fully Recovered | 464 days |
But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, outlook changes. Read GRND Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.
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