Frontdoor Stock To $70?
Frontdoor (FTDR) stock has fallen by 21.8% in less than a month, from $68.84 on 27th Oct, 2025 to $53.84 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Frontdoor Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, FTDR stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 59%, with median peak return reaching 75%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 30% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 10.2% |
| 3M | 31.3% |
| 6M | 43.8% |
| 12M | 59.3% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
FTDR had 4 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered
- 75% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 306 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -5.6% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | FTDR Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | FTDR | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 59% | 75% | -6% | 306 | ||||
| 3062025 | -30% | -6% | 32% | 70% | -9% | 231 | ||
| 6132022 | -33% | -9% | 51% | 55% | -6% | 358 | ||
| 4022020 | -31% | -25% | 68% | 80% | -5% | 316 | ||
| 11122018 | -48% | -7% | 97% | 141% | -4% | 297 | ||
Frontdoor Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 11.8% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 7.1% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 18.3% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 5.9 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 8.0 |
Not sure if you can take a call on FTDR stock? Consider portfolio approach
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Stocks soar and sink – the key is staying invested. A balanced portfolio keeps you in the market, boosts gains and reduces single stock risk
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