Firefly Aerospace Stock In Shambles: Down -22% With 7-Day Losing Streak
Firefly Aerospace (FLY) – a holding company leasing modern fuel-efficient commercial aircraft – hit a 7-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to -22%. The company’s market cap has crashed by about $1.5 Bil over the last 7 days and currently stands at $5.5 Bil.
Sustained weakness can be more than noise. It often signals shifting sentiment or deeper concerns. A multi-day losing streak may warn of further downside, or present an opportunity to buy if fundamentals are intact.
But here is the interesting part. You are reading about this -22% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To manage individual stock risk before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to manage stock-specific drawdowns better.
Returns vs S&P 500
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The following table summarizes the return for FLY stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | FLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -1.8% | 0.1% |
| 7D (Current Streak) | -21.9% | 1.9% |
| 1M (21D) | 28.7% | 10.8% |
| 3M (63D) | 36.9% | 3.2% |
| YTD 2026 | 54.3% | 4.8% |
| 2025 | 16.4% | |
| 2024 | 23.3% | |
| 2023 | 24.2% |
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 22 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 57 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 13 | 30 |
| 4D | 5 | 6 |
| 5D | 1 | 10 |
| 6D | 1 | 9 |
| 7D or more | 2 | 2 |
| Total >=3 D | 22 | 57 |
Key Financials for Firefly Aerospace (FLY)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $60.8 Mil | $159.9 Mil |
| Operating Income | $-207.7 Mil | $-260.7 Mil |
| Net Income | $-231.1 Mil | $-298.3 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ3 | 2025 FQ4 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $30.8 Mil | $57.7 Mil |
| Operating Income | $-62.2 Mil | $-85.6 Mil |
| Net Income | $-133.4 Mil | $-41.1 Mil |
The losing streak FLY stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.