Flowserve Stock To $90?

FLS: Flowserve logo
FLS
Flowserve

Flowserve (FLS) stock has jumped 31% during the past day, and is currently trading at $68.95. Our machine-driven multi-factor assessment suggests that it may be time to buy more shares of FLS stock. We have, overall, a positive view of the stock, and a price of $90 may not be out of reach. We believe there are a few things to fear in FLS stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. Considering stock’s Low valuation we think it is Attractive.

Below is our assessment:

  CONCLUSION
What you pay:
Valuation Low
What you get:
Growth Moderate
Profitability Weak
Financial Stability Very Strong
Downturn Resilience Very Weak
Operating Performance Moderate
 
Stock Opinion Attractive

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Let’s get into details of each of the assessed factors but before that, for quick background: With $9.0 Bil in market cap, Flowserve provides custom and pre-configured pumps, mechanical seals, auxiliary systems, and aftermarket services for managing the flow of liquids, gases, and fluids globally.

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[1] Valuation Looks Low

  FLS S&P 500
Price-to-Sales Ratio 1.9 3.3
Price-to-Earnings Ratio 19.9 23.7
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio 14.3 21.0

This table highlights how FLS is valued vs broader market. For more details see: FLS Valuation Ratios

[2] Growth Is Moderate

  • Flowserve has seen its top line grow at an average rate of 10.5% over the last 3 years
  • Its revenues have grown 3.2% from $4.5 Bil to $4.7 Bil in the last 12 months
  • Also, its quarterly revenues grew 3.6% to $1.2 Bil in the most recent quarter from $1.1 Bil a year ago.

  FLS S&P 500
3-Year Average 10.5% 5.3%
Latest Twelve Months* 3.2% 5.2%
Most Recent Quarter (YoY)* 3.6% 6.4%

This table highlights how FLS is growing vs broader market. For more details see: FLS Revenue Comparison

[3] Profitability Appears Weak

  • FLS last 12 month operating income was $462 Mil representing operating margin of 9.9%
  • With cash flow margin of 15.0%, it generated nearly $703 Mil in operating cash flow over this period
  • For the same period, FLS generated nearly $453 Mil in net income, suggesting net margin of about 9.7%

  FLS S&P 500
Current Operating Margin 9.9% 18.8%
Current OCF Margin 15.0% 20.4%
Current Net Income Margin 9.7% 12.7%

This table highlights how FLS profitability vs broader market. For more details see: FLS Operating Income Comparison

[4] Financial Stability Looks Very Strong

  • FLS Debt was $1.7 Bil at the end of the most recent quarter, while its current Market Cap is $9.0 Bil. This implies Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 18.5%
  • FLS Cash (including cash equivalents) makes up $834 Mil of $5.8 Bil in total Assets. This yields a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 14.3%

  FLS S&P 500
Current Debt-to-Equity Ratio 18.5% 21.1%
Current Cash-to-Assets Ratio 14.3% 6.9%

[5] Downturn Resilience Is Very Weak

FLS has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns. We assess this based on both (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered.

2022 Inflation Shock

  • FLS stock fell 45.2% from a high of $44.31 on 8 June 2021 to $24.30 on 30 September 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 13 March 2024
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $68.95 on 29 October 2025 $68.95

  FLS S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -45.2% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 530 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • FLS stock fell 62.0% from a high of $50.68 on 2 January 2020 to $19.24 on 23 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 16 July 2024

  FLS S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -62.0% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 1576 days 148 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • FLS stock fell 73.2% from a high of $47.12 on 21 July 2008 to $12.64 on 20 November 2008 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 6 December 2012

  FLS S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -73.2% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 1477 days 1480 days

 

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, outlook changes. Read FLS Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.