With DaVita Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside?
DaVita (DVA) stock is up 43.6% in 21 trading days. The rally reflects robust Q4 earnings, strong 2026 guidance, and new kidney care strategies, but big moves like this often invite a tougher question: is the stock truly resilient when markets reverse?
Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where DaVita stands today.
- Size: DaVita is a $11 Bil company with $14 Bil in revenue currently trading at $153.98.
- Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 6.5% and operating margin of 14.7%.
- Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 1.2 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.04
- Valuation: DaVita stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 14.4 and P/EBIT multiple of 5.6
- Has one instance since 2010 where it dipped >30% in < 30 days and subsequently returned 49% within a year. See DVA Dip Buy Analysis.
These metrics point to a Moderate operational performance, alongside Low valuation – making the stock Risky. For details, see Buy or Sell DVA Stock
That brings us to the key consideration for investors chasing this rally: how resilient is DVA stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose DVA stock falls 20-30% to $108 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock saw an impact slightly better than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.
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2022 Inflation Shock
- DVA stock fell 51.1% from a high of $133.78 on 4 August 2021 to $65.42 on 9 November 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 5 March 2024
- Since then, the stock increased to a high of $177.35 on 4 February 2025 , and currently trades at $153.98
| DVA | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -51.1% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 482 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic
- DVA stock fell 26.6% from a high of $88.50 on 11 February 2020 to $64.99 on 20 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 29 July 2020
| DVA | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -26.6% | -33.9% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 131 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction
- DVA stock fell 45.7% from a high of $80.03 on 11 January 2018 to $43.42 on 31 May 2019 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 22 January 2020
| DVA | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -45.7% | -19.8% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 236 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis
- DVA stock fell 36.4% from a high of $33.27 on 18 October 2007 to $21.17 on 20 March 2009 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 17 June 2010
| DVA | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -36.4% | -56.8% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 454 days | 1,480 days |
Feeling jittery about DVA stock? Consider portfolio approach.
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