DAL Cruised 13% in a Week, but Do UAL’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge?
- UAL demonstrates stronger revenue growth across the last quarter, last twelve months, and three-year average, with figures of 5.4%, 5.3%, and 6.1% respectively, compared to DAL’s 2.1%, 4.9%, and 5.5%.
- Both companies maintain comparable margins near 9.6% for the last twelve months, indicating similar profitability levels.
- UAL’s lower valuation multiple of 5.1 versus DAL’s 6.1 suggests better value for investors.
That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Valuation & Performance Overview
| DAL | UAL | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 6.1 | 5.1 | UAL |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 2.1% | 5.4% | UAL |
| Last 12 Months | 4.9% | 5.3% | UAL |
| Last 3 Year Average | 5.5% | 6.1% | UAL |
| Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 9.6% | 9.7% | UAL |
| Last 3 Year Average | 9.4% | 9.1% | DAL |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 94.8% | 131.3% | UAL |
Historical Market Performance
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| DAL Return | -31% | -3% | -16% | 23% | 52% | -6% | -12% | ||
| UAL Return | -51% | 1% | -14% | 9% | 135% | -6% | -8% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 7% | 94% | <=== | |
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| DAL Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 47% | ||
| UAL Win Rate | 25% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 49% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 61% | <=== | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| DAL Max Drawdown | -67% | -17% | -28% | -6% | -8% | -41% | -28% | ||
| UAL Max Drawdown | -77% | -10% | -29% | -10% | -8% | -42% | -29% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
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