Ten-Year Tally: CSCO Hands Back $141 Bil to Shareholders

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CSCO: Cisco Systems logo
CSCO
Cisco Systems

In the last decade, Cisco Systems (CSCO) has returned an impressive $141 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, CSCO has returned the 12th highest amount to shareholders in history.

  CSCO S&P Median
Dividends $59 Bil $2.8 Bil
Share Repurchase $82 Bil $5.2 Bil
Total Returned $141 Bil $8.8 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 53.1% 26.0%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more companies like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Companies By Total Shareholder Return

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  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $835 Bil 24.6% $140 Bil $695 Bil
MSFT $364 Bil 9.7% $165 Bil $199 Bil
GOOGL $343 Bil 14.2% $12 Bil $331 Bil
XOM $207 Bil 43.6% $144 Bil $63 Bil
WFC $206 Bil 80.2% $59 Bil $147 Bil
JPM $168 Bil 20.4% $0.0 $168 Bil
META $167 Bil 8.8% $6.4 Bil $160 Bil
ORCL $163 Bil 24.6% $34 Bil $129 Bil
JNJ $157 Bil 36.4% $104 Bil $52 Bil
CVX $149 Bil 55.8% $97 Bil $53 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Companies like META and MSFT are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for CSCO. (see Buy or Sell CSCO Stock for more details)

CSCO Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 0.5% LTM and 2.6% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 23.0% free cash flow margin and 21.8% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for CSCO was 0.5%.
  • Valuation: CSCO trades at a P/E multiple of 27.2
  • Opportunity vs S&P: Compared to S&P, you get higher valuation, lower revenue growth, and better margins

  CSCO S&P Median
Sector Information Technology
Industry Communications Equipment
PE Ratio 27.2 23.8

   
LTM* Revenue Growth 0.5% 5.1%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 2.6% 5.2%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y 0.5% -0.3%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 21.8% 18.7%
3Y Average Operating Margin 24.9% 17.8%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 23.0% 13.0%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

That’s a good overview, but evaluating a stock from an investment perspective involves much more. That is exactly what Trefis High Quality Portfolio does. It is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure.

CSCO Historical Risk

That said, Cisco isn’t immune to big drops. It plunged nearly 86% in the Dot-Com crash and took a 60% hit during the Global Financial Crisis. Even more recent shocks weren’t easy: the inflation surge knocked it down 37%, and the Covid selloff saw a 34% dip. The 2018 correction still carved out a 24% pullback. Good fundamentals help, but when the market turns, even steady names like Cisco can take a serious hit.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.