How Will CrowdStrike Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?

CrowdStrike (NASDAQ:CRWD), a cybersecurity company, is scheduled to report its earnings on Wednesday, August 27, 2025. For traders who use an event-driven strategy, understanding how the stock has historically performed around earnings announcements can be a valuable insight.

Over the past five years, CrowdStrike’s stock has had an equal split of positive and negative returns on the day following its earnings report. In 50% of cases, the stock had a positive one-day return, with a median gain of 9.8%. In the other 50% of cases, it had a negative one-day return, with a median loss of -5.6%.

While the actual earnings results and company guidance will have the biggest impact on the stock, these historical patterns can offer an edge. Given the equal split between positive and negative one-day returns, it is difficult to trade the stock based on this event alone. Traders might consider two main strategies:

• Pre-earnings positioning: You could leverage these historical odds to inform your trading decisions before the earnings release.
• Post-earnings positioning: Alternatively, you could analyze the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns after the earnings are made public to guide your strategy.

While the stock can be volatile around earnings, its long-term performance suggests it may be more suited for a buy-and-hold strategy. Since early January 2021, CrowdStrike has seen strong gains of about 100%, rising from roughly $210 to $420, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which increased by approximately 70% over the same period.

Analysts anticipate CrowdStrike will report earnings of $0.83 per share on revenue of $1.15 billion for the latest quarter. This is a change from the year-ago quarter, when the company reported earnings of $1.04 per share on revenue of $964 million.

From a fundamental perspective, CrowdStrike has a current market capitalization of $104 billion. Over the last twelve months, the company generated $4.1 billion in revenue but was not operationally profitable, with operating losses of $252 million and a net loss of $172 million.

That being said, if you seek an upside with less volatility than holding an individual stock, consider the High Quality Portfolio. It has comfortably outperformed its benchmark—a combination of the S&P 500, Russell, and S&P MidCap indexes—and has achieved returns exceeding 91% since its inception. Also, see – SharpLink Gaming: SBET Stock To $40?

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CrowdStrike’s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return

Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:

• There are 20 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 10 positive and 10 negative one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 50% of the time.
• The percentage remains the same at 50% if we consider data for the last 3 years instead of 5.
• Median of the 10 positive returns = 9.8%, and median of the 10 negative returns = -5.6%

Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below.

CRWD 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return

Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns

A relatively less risky strategy (though not useful if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, find a pair that has the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For example, if 1D and 5D show the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves “long” for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.

CRWD Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns

Is There Any Correlation With Peer Earnings?

Sometimes, peer performance can have an influence on post-earnings stock reaction. In fact, the pricing-in might begin before the earnings are announced. Here is some historical data on the past post-earnings performance of CrowdStrike stock compared with the stock performance of peers that reported earnings just before CrowdStrike. For fair comparison, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns.

CRWD Correlation With Peer Earnings

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