Between MercadoLibre and Coupang, Which Stock Looks Set to Break Out?

CPNG: Coupang logo
CPNG
Coupang

Coupang fell -13% during the past Week. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer MercadoLibre gives you more. MercadoLibre (MELI) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Coupang (CPNG) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in MELI

  • MELI’s quarterly revenue growth was 39.5%, vs. CPNG’s 17.8%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 36.9%, ahead of CPNG’s 16.6%.
  • MELI leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 12.0% and 3-year average of 13.1%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how CPNG’s fundamentals stack up against those of MELI on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Valuation & Performance Overview

  CPNG MELI Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 53.3 31.0 MELI
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 17.8% 39.5% MELI
Last 12 Months 16.6% 36.9% MELI
Last 3 Year Average 18.4% 39.5% MELI
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 2.3% 12.0% MELI
Last 3 Year Average 1.7% 13.1% MELI
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 40.5% 127.1% MELI

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: CPNG Revenue Comparison | MELI Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: CPNG Operating Income Comparison | MELI Operating Income Comparison

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell MELI Stock and Buy or Sell CPNG Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
CPNG Return -50% 10% 36% 6%   <===
MELI Return 193% -20% -37% 86% 8% 14% 238%    
S&P 500 Return 16% 27% -19% 24% 23% 14% 108%  
Monthly Win Rates [3]
CPNG Win Rate 33% 42% 58% 50% 50%   <===
MELI Win Rate 75% 50% 42% 50% 33% 50%   50%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 58% 75% 42% 67% 75% 73%   65%  
Max Drawdowns [4]
CPNG Max Drawdown -68% -12% -15% -10%   <===
MELI Max Drawdown -22% -37% -55% -2% -14% 0%   -22%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -31% -1% -25% -1% -2% -15%   -12%  

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read MELI Dip Buyer Analyses and CPNG Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about CPNG or MELI? Consider portfolio approach.

The Best Investors Think In Portfolios

Individual stocks are unpredictable. A smart portfolio keeps you invested, limits downside shocks, and provides upside exposure

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.