Coupang (CPNG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $22.745 | Market Cap: $41.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail
Coupang (CPNG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $22.745Market Cap: $41.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Broadline Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -3.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 61x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 151x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.4 Bil | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% | Key risksCPNG key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal fallout from a recent material cybersecurity breach and [2] an overwhelming dependence on the saturated South Korean market. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 2.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -3.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 61x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 151x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% |
| Key risksCPNG key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal fallout from a recent material cybersecurity breach and [2] an overwhelming dependence on the saturated South Korean market. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CPNG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining a significant downward movement in Coupang's (CPNG) stock price from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. A major data breach and the subsequent CEO resignation contributed to investor unease in December 2025. Coupang's offices were raided by police as part of a data breach investigation, which involved the loss of data for approximately 33 million customers, one of the largest data breaches in South Korea. This incident, alongside the resignation of CEO Park Dae-jun, led to a decline in share prices and significant legal scrutiny over the company's data security, causing immediate negative market reaction, including a reported -5.07% drop on December 15, 2025.
2. The acquisition of Farfetch continued to pressure Coupang's margins and profitability throughout 2024 and into 2025. The integration of Farfetch, a luxury goods platform, has been cited as a drag on Coupang's margins and led to downward revisions in earnings per share (EPS) estimates in 2024. The luxury goods market remained muted, meaning Coupang's stock performance was reliant on the success of this acquisition in the short to medium term.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CPNG Return | � | � | -50% | 10% | 36% | 6% | � |
| Peers Return | 127% | 8% | -34% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 215% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CPNG Win Rate | � | 33% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 53% | 35% | 58% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CPNG Max Drawdown | � | � | -68% | -12% | -15% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -14% | -47% | -13% | -13% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, WMT, MELI, ETSY, EBAY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CPNG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -81.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 439.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to MELI, M, BBBY, BGO, SBDS
In The Past
Coupang's stock fell -81.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -81.5% loss requires a 439.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CPNG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Coupang
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 99.19 |
| Mkt Cap | 69.3 |
| Rev LTM | 29,928 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,685 |
| FCF LTM | 5,010 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,066 |
| CFO LTM | 6,099 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,719 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 69.3 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 27.4 |
| P/E | 36.0 |
| P/CFO | 19.7 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 120.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 40.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product Commerce | 23,594 | 19,955 | 17,838 | |
| Developing Offerings | 789 | 628 | 569 | |
| Single segment | 11,967 | |||
| Total | 24,383 | 20,583 | 18,406 | 11,967 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product Commerce | 1,540 | 606 | ||
| Acquisition and restructuring related losses, net | 0 | |||
| Fulfillment center (FC) fire insurance gain | 0 | 0 | ||
| Korea Fair Trade Commission (KFTC) administrative fine | 0 | |||
| Depreciation and amortization | -275 | -231 | ||
| Equity-based compensation | -326 | -262 | ||
| Developing Offerings | -466 | -225 | ||
| Total | 473 | -112 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -5.9% | -10.8% | -15.6% |
| 8/5/2025 | -6.1% | -5.9% | -3.9% |
| 5/6/2025 | 10.8% | 10.7% | 18.9% |
| 2/25/2025 | 3.5% | -3.4% | -2.4% |
| 11/5/2024 | -10.7% | -8.9% | -10.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | 2.6% | 9.2% | 12.9% |
| 5/7/2024 | -9.3% | -5.9% | -7.4% |
| 2/27/2024 | 8.0% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Median Negative | -8.3% | -8.9% | -7.9% |
| Max Positive | 22.6% | 35.1% | 18.9% |
| Max Negative | -10.7% | -13.0% | -30.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |