CMI’s One-Month Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate GATX
GATX offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation.
- GATX’s quarterly revenue growth was 11.0%, vs. CMI’s -2.7%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months growth came in at 12.1%, ahead of CMI’s -0.4%.
- GATX leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 30.4% and 3-year average of 28.6%.
That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Valuation & Performance Overview
| CMI | GATX | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 14.2 | 11.2 | GATX |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | -2.7% | 11.0% | GATX |
| Last 12 Months | -0.4% | 12.1% | GATX |
| Last 3 Year Average | 12.1% | 8.8% | CMI |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 10.6% | 30.4% | GATX |
| Last 3 Year Average | 10.0% | 28.6% | GATX |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 93.1% | 69.7% | CMI |
Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: CMI Revenue Comparison | GATX Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: CMI Operating Income Comparison | GATX Operating Income Comparison
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Historical Market Performance
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| CMI Return | 31% | -2% | 14% | 2% | 49% | 6% | 118% | <=== | |
| GATX Return | 3% | 28% | 4% | 15% | 31% | -1% | 115% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 94% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| CMI Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 58% | ||
| GATX Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 50% | 58% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 61% | <=== | |
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| CMI Max Drawdown | -42% | -7% | -14% | -14% | -4% | -23% | -17% | ||
| GATX Max Drawdown | -36% | -1% | -17% | -5% | -3% | -8% | -12% | <=== | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | ||
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year