Philip Morris International Stock To $215?
Philip Morris International (PM) stock has fallen by 12.1% in less than a month, from $189.80 on 25th Feb, 2026 to $166.84 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Philip Morris International Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, PM stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 31%, with median peak return reaching 37%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
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- PM Has Returned $74 Bil To Shareholders In A Decade
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 7.1% |
| 3M | 16.2% |
| 6M | 15.8% |
| 12M | 30.8% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
PM had 3 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 37% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 335 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -5.9% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | PM Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | PM | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 31% | 37% | -6% | 335 | ||||
| 3182020 | -22% | -27% | 49% | 50% | -6% | 365 | ||
| 12202018 | -21% | -10% | 31% | 37% | -5% | 91 | ||
| 4202018 | -22% | -2% | 7% | 14% | -18% | 335 | ||
Philip Morris International Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 7.3% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 8.6% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 30.1% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 9.7 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 3.1 |
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