Cadence Design Systems Stock at Support Zone – Bargain or Trap?
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) stock should be on your watchlist. Here is why – it is currently trading in the support zone ($289.25 – $319.69), levels from which it has bounced meaningfully before. In the last 10 years, Cadence Design Systems stock received buying interest at this level 3 times and subsequently went on to generate 13.8% in average peak returns.
| Peak Return | Days to Peak Return | |
|---|---|---|
| 4/28/2025 | 13.1% | 29 |
| 5/30/2025 | 8.3% | 33 |
| 7/2/2025 | 20.1% | 82 |
Yet, a support zone alone isn’t enough; rebounds are more likely when fundamentals, sentiment, and market conditions line up. How does that look for CDNS?
Rebound Probable on Strong AI-Driven EDA Demand
Cadence’s Q3 2025 earnings beat forecasts, with 10.1% YoY revenue growth and raised FY25 outlook supported by a record $7B backlog. The Electronic Design Automation (EDA) sector, where Cadence is a leader, benefits from strong AI, 5G, and IoT demand. Analysts widely rate CDNS a “Moderate Buy” with average price targets suggesting over 20% upside from current levels, affirming its strategic market position despite a high valuation and insider selling.
How Do CDNS Financials Look Right Now?
- Revenue Growth: 19.7% LTM and 15.0% last 3-year average.
- Cash Generation: Nearly 28.4% free cash flow margin and 31.5% operating margin LTM.
- Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for CDNS was 9.5%.
- Valuation: CDNS stock trades at a PE multiple of 77.8
| CDNS | S&P Median | |
|---|---|---|
| Sector | Information Technology | – |
| Industry | Application Software | – |
| PE Ratio | 77.8 | 23.1 |
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| LTM* Revenue Growth | 19.7% | 6.1% |
| 3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth | 15.0% | 5.4% |
| Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y | 9.5% | 0.2% |
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| LTM* Operating Margin | 31.5% | 18.8% |
| 3Y Average Operating Margin | 29.8% | 18.2% |
| LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin | 28.4% | 13.5% |
*LTM: Last Twelve Months | For more details on CDNS fundamentals, read Buy or Sell CDNS Stock.
And What If The Support Breaks?
CDNS isn’t immune to big drops, even with strong fundamentals. It fell over 89% in the Global Financial Crisis and about 72% during the Dot-Com crash. The inflation shock and Covid pandemic both triggered dips close to 30%. Even the 2018 correction saw a 22% pullback. Solid companies can still get hit hard when market storms hit.
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