Tearsheet

Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $320.03 | Market Cap: $86.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $320.03
Market Cap: $86.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  Key risks
CDNS key risks include [1] intense competition from established rivals like Synopsys and Siemens EDA and [2] geopolitical tensions and export controls impacting growth in key markets such as China.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
5 Key risks
CDNS key risks include [1] intense competition from established rivals like Synopsys and Siemens EDA and [2] geopolitical tensions and export controls impacting growth in key markets such as China.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CDNS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested period from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, actual stock performance data and reasons for a specific -8.8% movement for Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) during this time are not yet available. However, based on available analyst reports and company statements made with projections into late 2025, here are some points regarding Cadence Design Systems' outlook and potential factors that *could* influence its stock performance, while acknowledging these are forward-looking statements or analyses from earlier in 2025 and cannot definitively explain a future actual decline:

1. Cadence Design Systems reported strong Q3 2025 financial results, exceeding analyst expectations for both EPS and revenue, and raising its full-year 2025 revenue growth outlook to approximately 14% year-over-year. This generally indicates positive momentum for the company.

2. In Q4 2024 (reported February 2025), Cadence provided a soft guidance for 2025, with projected revenue growth of 11-12% and non-GAAP EPS growth of 12%, which was below analysts' consensus at the time and led to a stock decline of 10% in February 2025. This earlier guidance from the beginning of 2025 could set a cautious tone for the year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CDNS Return97%37%-14%70%10%6%359%
Peers Return55%31%-17%33%7%14%174%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CDNS Win Rate75%58%33%67%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate65%60%40%58%58%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CDNS Max Drawdown-22%-12%-28%-2%-9%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-9%-36%-14%-25%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SNPS, KEYS, ADSK, RMBS, CEVA. See CDNS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCDNSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven178 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven37 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven114 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven828.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2713 days1480 days

Compare to SNPS, ADSK, KEYS, RMBS, MBLY


In The Past

Cadence Design Systems's stock fell -29.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -29.6% loss requires a 42.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)

Better Bets than Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CDNS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.7%8.7%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%12.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.8%8.8%0.0%
CDNS_2282025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282025CDNSCadence Design SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
39.9%27.1%-7.5%
CDNS_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022CDNSCadence Design SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
39.1%58.4%-5.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
8.7%8.7%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%12.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.8%8.8%0.0%
CDNS_2282025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282025CDNSCadence Design SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
39.9%27.1%-7.5%
CDNS_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022CDNSCadence Design SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
39.1%58.4%-5.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cadence Design Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CDNSSNPSKEYSADSKRMBSCEVAMedian
NameCadence .Synopsys Keysight.Autodesk Rambus CEVA  
Mkt Price319.53463.34204.87293.9894.6921.24249.43
Mkt Cap86.674.235.267.710.20.551.5
Rev LTM5,2136,4355,2436,8886781085,228
Op Inc LTM1,6401,1048891,644247-11997
FCF LTM1,4791,3021,4152,083292-61,359
FCF 3Y Avg1,2221,3001,1811,690220-61,201
CFO LTM1,6171,4421,5432,155319-41,492
CFO 3Y Avg1,3501,4611,3471,765246-41,348

Growth & Margins

CDNSSNPSKEYSADSKRMBSCEVAMedian
NameCadence .Synopsys Keysight.Autodesk Rambus CEVA  
Rev Chg LTM19.7%8.0%4.8%15.6%31.0%5.5%11.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.0%9.7%0.1%12.1%17.3%-3.9%10.9%
Rev Chg Q10.1%14.0%11.1%18.0%22.7%4.3%12.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%3.4%2.6%4.3%5.1%1.1%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM31.5%17.2%17.0%23.9%36.5%-10.1%20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.8%21.6%20.2%22.0%27.8%-9.9%21.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-3.7%0.1%0.9%0.2%0.6%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM31.0%22.4%29.4%31.3%47.0%-3.8%30.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.1%26.3%25.5%29.1%44.2%-3.7%27.7%
FCF/Rev LTM28.4%20.2%27.0%30.2%43.1%-6.0%27.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.2%23.4%22.3%27.9%39.3%-6.2%25.3%

Valuation

CDNSSNPSKEYSADSKRMBSCEVAMedian
NameCadence .Synopsys Keysight.Autodesk Rambus CEVA  
Mkt Cap86.674.235.267.710.20.551.5
P/S18.312.85.49.816.54.711.3
P/EBIT60.256.025.6-41.8-58.141.8
P/E89.841.151.860.949.0-45.150.4
P/CFO58.957.018.331.435.1-125.933.3
Total Yield1.1%2.4%1.9%1.6%2.0%-2.2%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.6%1.7%4.3%-3.3%-1.2%1.7%
D/E0.00.20.1-0.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.00.20.0--0.1-0.2-0.0

Returns

CDNSSNPSKEYSADSKRMBSCEVAMedian
NameCadence .Synopsys Keysight.Autodesk Rambus CEVA  
1M Rtn1.5%18.9%14.4%-1.8%-0.6%-13.6%0.4%
3M Rtn-8.4%8.8%19.1%-7.7%-2.4%-12.8%-5.1%
6M Rtn6.9%-2.5%27.7%-1.0%58.0%5.5%6.2%
12M Rtn1.9%-11.3%19.9%-3.6%60.1%-36.1%-0.8%
3Y Rtn95.8%40.8%17.8%52.8%154.9%-24.3%46.8%
1M Excs Rtn0.5%17.9%13.4%-2.8%-1.6%-14.5%-0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-11.0%5.9%15.5%-11.0%-5.9%-17.4%-8.4%
6M Excs Rtn-6.8%-16.2%14.0%-14.6%44.3%-8.2%-7.5%
12M Excs Rtn-8.7%-21.8%9.3%-17.3%50.6%-46.5%-13.0%
3Y Excs Rtn22.4%-30.6%-59.5%-21.5%80.3%-93.6%-26.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Core Electronic Design Automation (EDA)3,108    
Semiconductor Intellectual Property (IP)491401366355287
System Design and Analysis491401309254198
Custom Integrated Circuit (IC) Design and Simulation 735647634551
Digital Integrated Circuit (IC) Design and Signoff 935816736661
Functional Verification, including Emulation and Prototyping Hardware 868675558507
Services 222175146132
Total4,0903,5622,9882,6832,336


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,397,998
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.1%
Average Daily Volume1,704,387
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.58
Basic Shares Quantity271,152,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-2.9%-4.6%-13.6%
7/28/20259.7%9.3%3.1%
2/18/2025-8.8%-17.2%-13.9%
10/28/202412.5%14.5%22.7%
7/22/2024-1.4%-9.8%-2.0%
4/22/2024-1.1%-0.9%1.8%
2/12/2024-4.0%-4.7%-0.1%
10/23/2023-1.0%-2.6%12.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7911
# Negative13119
Median Positive4.2%9.3%9.3%
Median Negative-1.2%-3.2%-3.7%
Max Positive12.5%14.5%22.7%
Max Negative-8.8%-17.2%-19.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231023202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023724202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023424202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221024202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022725202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022425202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021222202210-K 1/1/2022