Caterpillar Stock Hands $56 Bil Back – Worth a Look?
In the last decade, Caterpillar (CAT) stock has returned a notable $56 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.
As it turns out, CAT stock has returned the 48th highest amount to shareholders in history.
| CAT | S&P Median | |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends | $22 Bil | $4.4 Bil |
| Share Repurchase | $33 Bil | $5.5 Bil |
| Total Returned | $56 Bil | $9.1 Bil |
| Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap | 17.3% | 24.5% |
Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.
Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return
| Total Money Returned | As % Of Current Market Cap | via Dividends | via Share Repurchases | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | $874 Bil | 21.9% | $143 Bil | $731 Bil |
| MSFT | $376 Bil | 12.0% | $172 Bil | $204 Bil |
| GOOGL | $357 Bil | 8.6% | $15 Bil | $342 Bil |
| XOM | $218 Bil | 36.7% | $146 Bil | $72 Bil |
| WFC | $212 Bil | 72.1% | $58 Bil | $153 Bil |
| META | $184 Bil | 10.3% | $10 Bil | $174 Bil |
| JPM | $181 Bil | 21.3% | $0.0 | $181 Bil |
| JNJ | $159 Bil | 28.6% | $105 Bil | $54 Bil |
| ORCL | $158 Bil | 34.5% | $35 Bil | $123 Bil |
| CVX | $157 Bil | 46.4% | $99 Bil | $58 Bil |
For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking
What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.
That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for CAT. (see Buy or Sell Caterpillar Stock for more details)
Caterpillar Fundamentals
- Revenue Growth: -1.5% LTM and 4.9% last 3-year average.
- Cash Generation: Nearly 11.7% free cash flow margin and 17.7% operating margin LTM.
- Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for CAT was -1.5%.
- Valuation: Caterpillar stock trades at a P/E multiple of 34.9
| CAT | S&P Median | |
|---|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials | – |
| Industry | Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | – |
| PE Ratio | 34.9 | 24.4 |
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| LTM* Revenue Growth | -1.5% | 6.4% |
| 3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth | 4.9% | 5.6% |
| Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y | -1.5% | 0.1% |
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| LTM* Operating Margin | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| 3Y Average Operating Margin | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin | 11.7% | 14.0% |
*LTM: Last Twelve Months
The table gives good overview of what you get from CAT stock, but what about the risk?
CAT Historical Risk
Caterpillar isn’t immune to big sell-offs. It dropped over 52% in the Dot-Com crash and more than 73% during the Global Financial Crisis. The 2018 correction took it down about 33%, while the Covid slump shaved nearly 39% off its peak. Even the recent inflation shock caused a drop of around 32%. Solid fundamentals matter, but when turmoil hits, CAT can still take a serious hit.
But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read CAT Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.
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