Carrier Global vs Trane Technologies: Which Stock Could Rally?

CARR: Carrier Global logo
CARR
Carrier Global

Carrier Global surged 5.8% during the past Day. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Trane Technologies gives you more. Trane Technologies (TT) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Carrier Global (CARR) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in TT

  • TT’s quarterly revenue growth was 6.0%, vs. CARR’s 2.4%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 6.4%, ahead of CARR’s -1.9%.
  • TT leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 18.2% and 3-year average of 17.7%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how CARR’s fundamentals stack up against those of TT on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: CARR Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

  CARR TT Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 37.6 26.6 TT
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 2.4% 6.0% TT
Last 12 Months -1.9% 6.4% TT
Last 3 Year Average 7.1% 9.9% TT
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 7.2% 18.2% TT
Last 3 Year Average 9.3% 17.7% TT
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 63.8% 175.6% TT

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell TT Stock and Buy or Sell CARR Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
CARR Return 45% -23% 41% 20% -22% 28% 92%    
TT Return 41% -15% 47% 53% 6% 18% 239%   <===
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 8% 97%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
CARR Win Rate 83% 42% 50% 75% 25% 67%   57%  
TT Win Rate 67% 33% 67% 83% 50% 67%   61%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 50%   62% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
CARR Max Drawdown -15% -37% -22% -19% -37% -19%   -25%  
TT Max Drawdown -18% -40% -16% -12% -21% -14%   -20%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -5% -25% -10% -8% -19% -9%   -13% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/9/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read TT Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about CARR or TT? Consider portfolio approach.

The Best Investors Think In Portfolios

Single stocks swing wildly, but staying invested matters. A well-built portfolio helps you stay invested, captures upside, and softens the blows from individual stocks.

Why settle for average market returns? The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio invests in a diverse group of 30 stocks that have collectively delivered stronger upside with reduced volatility compared to the broader indices. Discover the methodology behind these smoother, higher returns by checking the HQ Portfolio performance data.