Better Value, Bigger Growth: HEI, TDG Top BWX Technologies Stock

BWXT: BWX Technologies logo
BWXT
BWX Technologies

HEI, TDG are BWX Technologies’s peers in Aerospace & Defense industry that have:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to BWX Technologies stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying HEI, TDG stocks vs. BWXT stock

Single stock can be risky, but there is a huge value to a broader diversified approach we take with Trefis High Quality Portfolio. Trefis works with Empirical Asset Management – a Boston area wealth manager – whose asset allocation strategies yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. Empirical has incorporated the Trefis HQ Portfolio in this asset allocation framework to provide clients better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.

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Key Metrics Compared

Metric BWXT HEI TDG
P/OpInc* 55.7x 45.8x 18.6x
LTM OpInc Growth -8.6% 20.5% 14.3%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 1.1% 27.4% 24.1%
LTM Revenue Growth 10.1% 13.5% 12.8%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 9.6% 27.3% 18.2%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell BWXT Stock to see if BWX Technologies still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, BWX Technologies (BWXT) provides nuclear components, reactors, fuel, steam generators, materials processing, and environmental restoration services for naval propulsion and nuclear power industries globally.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if BWX Technologies stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for BWX Technologies in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for BWX Technologies would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric BWXT HEI TDG
P/OpInc* 32.4x 39.4x 19.1x
LTM OpInc Growth -4.1% 25.0% 17.3%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 3.1% 27.7% 26.2%
LTM Revenue Growth 9.9% 17.7% 14.8%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 9.4% 27.5% 18.7%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric BWXT HEI TDG
P/S 6.3x 10.2x 8.6x
Market Cap (Current) $ 17.9 Bil $ 44.0 Bil $ 74.1 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 2.86 Bil $ 4.29 Bil $ 8.58 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 321.59 Mil $ 958.62 Mil $ 3.98 Bil
LTM Op Margin 11.2% 22.3% 46.4%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.