AVPT Shares Tumbled 21%, Opportunity Or Trap?

AVPT: AvePoint logo
AVPT
AvePoint

AvePoint stock has fallen by 20.8% in less than a month, from levels of $19.31 on 7/30/2025 to $15.29 now. Should you buy this dip? Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips.
 
As it turns out, AvePoint passes basic quality checks. However, it only has one past instance where it dipped sharply (>30% in 30 days), and returned -28% in one year and 3.7% as peak return subsequently. AVPT provides cloud-hosted SaaS solutions for Microsoft 365 data management and collaboration through a comprehensive suite of software products worldwide.

Price behaviour is one thing, but what do the fundamentals say? Read Buy or Sell AVPT Stock to see the full picture.
 
That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio presents an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
 
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
 

Period Past Median Return
1M -3.1%
3M -20.2%
6M -18.9%
12M -28.3%

 
Historical Dip-Wise Details
 
AVPT had 1 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered

  • 3.7% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 21 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • -44% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

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30 Day Dip AVPT Subsequent Performance
Date AVPT SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median     -28% 4% -44% 21
12142021 -32% 1% -28% 4% -44% 21

 
AvePoint Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
 
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) 24.4% Pass
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) 20.4% Pass
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 23.0% Pass

 
Dip buying, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.