Can Snowflake Stock Recover If Markets Fall?
Snowflake (SNOW) stock is down 11.4% in a day. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around Snowflake’s softer product revenue guidance and AI investment costs, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?
Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Snowflake stands today.
- Size: Snowflake is a $79 Bil company with $4.1 Bil in revenue currently trading at $234.77.
- Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 28.4% and operating margin of -37.4%.
- Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.04 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.44
- Valuation: Snowflake stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of -54.4 and P/EBIT multiple of -54.7
- Has returned (median) -0.7% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See SNOW Dip Buy Analysis.
These metrics point to a Strong operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Relatively Expensive. For details, see Buy or Sell SNOW Stock
That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is SNOW stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose SNOW stock falls another 20-30% to $164 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.
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2022 Inflation Shock
- SNOW stock fell 71.8% from a high of $401.89 on 16 November 2021 to $113.30 on 13 June 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- The stock is yet to recover to its pre-Crisis high
- The highest the stock has reached since then is $277.14 on 3 November 2025 , and currently trades at $234.77
| SNOW | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -71.8% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | Not Fully Recovered | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic
- SNOW stock fell 27.8% from a high of $390.00 on 8 December 2020 to $281.40 on 31 December 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 15 November 2021
| SNOW | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -27.8% | -33.9% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 319 days | 148 days |
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