Adtalem Global Education Stock To $124?
Adtalem Global Education (ATGE) stock has fallen by 21.8% in less than a month, from $121.67 on 22nd Jan, 2026 to $95.17 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Adtalem Global Education Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, ATGE stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 61%, with median peak return reaching 70%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 30% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 8.1% |
| 3M | 24.6% |
| 6M | 32.0% |
| 12M | 60.6% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
ATGE had 8 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered
- 70% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 264 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -6.3% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | ATGE Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | ATGE | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 61% | 70% | -6% | 264 | ||||
| 10312025 | -30% | 3% | 3% | 24% | -9% | 83 | ||
| 2172022 | -31% | -7% | 94% | 109% | -6% | 264 | ||
| 9212020 | -31% | -2% | 53% | 67% | -6% | 172 | ||
| 3162020 | -30% | -25% | 69% | 74% | -11% | 361 | ||
| 2052016 | -33% | -8% | 97% | 106% | -6% | 341 | ||
| 8022012 | -32% | 1% | 73% | 84% | -2% | 264 | ||
| 8182011 | -34% | -15% | -51% | 13% | -55% | 67 | ||
| 9032010 | -30% | 0% | -1% | 62% | -4% | 320 | ||
Adtalem Global Education Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 11.9% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 9.5% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 22.7% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 9.2 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 1.4 |
Not sure if you can take a call on ATGE stock? Consider portfolio approach
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