8-Day Rally Sends Arch Capital Stock Up 7.9%
Arch Capital (ACGL) stock hit day 8 of a continuous streak of days with gains, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 7.9% return. The company has gained about $2.5 Bil in value over the last 8 days, with its current market capitalization at about $34 Bil. The stock remains 0.4% above its value at the end of 2024. This compares with year-to-date returns of 14.6% for the S&P 500.
Arch Capital’s recent streak reflects strong Q3 earnings, where the company significantly surpassed EPS estimates, coupled with reassuring analyst “Buy” ratings. This momentum is further bolstered by a robust reinsurance market, benefiting from disciplined pricing and healthy capital inflows.
What is the point? Momentum often precedes conviction. A multi-day win streak can signal growing investor confidence or spark follow-on buying. Tracking such trends can help you ride the strength, or prepare for a well-timed entry if momentum fades. Our take: There is not much to fear in ACGL stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Low valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (see Buy or Sell ACGL). Nevertheless, equities is not the only thing we do. Is a portfolio of 10% commodities, 10% gold, and 2% crypto in addition to equities and bonds – likely to return more and protect you better? We have crunched the numbers.
For quick background, ACGL provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products, including casualty reinsurance for liabilities, workers’ compensation, and direct mortgage insurance and mortgage reinsurance.
Comparing ACGL Stock Returns With The S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for ACGL stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | ACGL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 1.1% | -1.7% |
| 8D (Current Streak) | 7.9% | -1.7% |
| 1M (21D) | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| 3M (63D) | 2.2% | 4.5% |
| YTD 2025 | 0.4% | 14.6% |
| 2024 | 30.8% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 18.3% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | 41.2% | -19.4% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has ACGL behaved after prior drops? See ACGL Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 62 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 40 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 27 | 28 |
| 4D | 8 | 12 |
| 5D | 15 | 0 |
| 6D | 6 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 6 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 62 | 40 |
Key Financials for Arch Capital (ACGL)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $13.3 Bil | $16.9 Bil |
| EBT | $3.4 Bil | $4.5 Bil |
| Net Income | $4.4 Bil | $4.3 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $5.0 Bil | $5.0 Bil |
| EBT | $1.4 Bil | $1.5 Bil |
| Net Income | $1.2 Bil | $1.4 Bil |
While ACGL stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.