Virgin Galactic (SPCE)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $3.32 | Market Cap: $196.7 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Virgin Galactic (SPCE)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $3.32Market Cap: $196.7 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -177% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -307 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18453% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 119x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1206% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16177%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27712% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -152% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% | ||
| Key risksSPCE key risks include [1] its precarious financial health, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -177% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -307 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18453% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 119x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1206% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16177%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27712% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -152% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
| Key risksSPCE key risks include [1] its precarious financial health, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Here are the key points explaining why Virgin Galactic's (SPCE) stock experienced significant movements, including an upward trend that could align with a 7.4% change, for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025:1. Q3 2025 Financial Results and Investor Confidence: While Virgin Galactic's Q3 2025 earnings report on November 13, 2025, initially saw the stock fall by 8.15% due to minimal revenue and an extended timeline for commercial operations, subsequent market sentiment shifted positively. By November 15, 2025, the stock was trading up by 11.78%, driven by a lower-than-expected Q3 loss per share and an increase in revenue, which bolstered investor confidence in the company's future prospects.
2. Progress on Delta-Class Spacecraft Development: Virgin Galactic continued to highlight the ongoing manufacturing and development of its next-generation Delta-class spacecraft throughout the period. The company confirmed that the first SpaceShip's key structural parts were expected in the factory by Q4 2025, with commercial service still targeted for Q4 2026. This consistent progress, despite earlier operational delays, provided a long-term positive outlook for increased flight frequency and potential profitability.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.7% change in SPCE stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -29.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.74 | 3.34 | -10.70% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1.70 | 1.66 | -2.18% |
| P/S Multiple | 100.53 | 119.15 | 18.52% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 45.64 | 59.25 | -29.82% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.64% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SPCE | -10.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 30.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.4% | 40.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.2% change in SPCE stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 539.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.90 | 3.34 | 15.17% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5.51 | 1.66 | -69.87% |
| P/S Multiple | 18.65 | 119.15 | 538.99% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35.44 | 59.25 | -67.19% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -36.82% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SPCE | 15.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 24.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.0% | 34.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -46.2% change in SPCE stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -111.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.21 | 3.34 | -46.22% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9.42 | 1.66 | -82.36% |
| P/S Multiple | 18.45 | 119.15 | 545.83% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 27.97 | 59.25 | -111.82% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -113.46% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SPCE | -46.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 31.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 18.6% | 35.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -95.4% change in SPCE stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -349.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 73.00 | 3.34 | -95.42% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1.58 | 1.66 | 4.86% |
| P/S Multiple | 608.12 | 119.15 | -80.41% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13.20 | 59.25 | -349.04% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -151.16% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SPCE | -93.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 30.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 42.7% | 34.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SPCE Return | 105% | -44% | -74% | -30% | -88% | -40% | -98% |
| Peers Return | � | 14% | 6% | 10% | 76% | 63% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SPCE Win Rate | 50% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 17% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 57% | 45% | 53% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SPCE Max Drawdown | -9% | -45% | -75% | -60% | -89% | -60% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -8% | -24% | -16% | -20% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BA, LMT, NOC, RTX, RKLB. See SPCE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SPCE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4205.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -71.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 256.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 313 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 120 days |
Compare to BA, LMT, APEX, BETA, GE
In The Past
Virgin Galactic's stock fell -97.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -97.7% loss requires a 4205.1% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- Tesla for space tourism
- NetJets for private space flights
- Concorde for the space age
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- Suborbital Spaceflight Experiences: Provides private individuals with a multi-day astronaut preparation program culminating in a brief journey to suborbital space, experiencing microgravity and views of Earth.
- Scientific Research Missions: Offers governmental and academic institutions access to a microgravity environment for scientific and technological experiments during suborbital flights.
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Major Customers of Virgin Galactic (SPCE)
Virgin Galactic (SPCE) primarily sells its services to individuals and institutions rather than other commercial companies. Its business model is centered on commercial space tourism and providing platforms for scientific research.
The company serves two primary categories of customers:
- Aspiring Astronauts / Private Individuals: This is the core customer base for Virgin Galactic's space tourism business. These are high-net-worth individuals who purchase tickets for suborbital spaceflights. Their motivation is typically for the unique personal experience of space travel, adventure, seeing the Earth from space, and the prestige associated with being a private astronaut.
- Scientific Researchers / Institutions: This category includes universities, government agencies (such as NASA through its Flight Opportunities program), and private research organizations. These customers utilize Virgin Galactic's spaceflight platform for conducting scientific experiments, testing new technologies, and performing microgravity research in a suborbital environment. They essentially charter or purchase space for their payloads and research teams, rather than for personal travel.
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- Northrop Grumman (NOC)
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Michael Colglazier, Chief Executive Officer
Michael Colglazier has an extensive career spanning over 30 years at The Walt Disney Company, where he held prominent leadership positions such as President and Managing Director of Disney Parks International and President of The Disneyland Resort in Southern California. During his tenure at Disney, he was responsible for driving new businesses, fostering innovative growth, and ensuring operational excellence across global Disney locations. He also serves as a director on the Board of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation.
Doug Ahrens, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Doug Ahrens brings over 25 years of operational and strategic finance experience from multinational companies. Prior to joining Virgin Galactic, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. until its acquisition by NVIDIA Corporation in 2020. He also held the role of CFO at GlobalLogic Inc., a private software engineering firm, and previously served as CFO of Applied Micro Circuits Corporation, a publicly traded semiconductor manufacturer.
Blair Rich, President, Chief Business Officer, Commercial and Consumer Operations
Blair Rich spent 23 years at Warner Bros. Entertainment, where she rose to lead worldwide marketing for the company's theatrical and home entertainment divisions. She oversaw a global team of over 700 people and was instrumental in establishing and shaping successful film franchises, including Harry Potter and the DC Multiverse. Prior to her appointment, she served as a consultant and strategic advisor to Virgin Galactic. More recently, she became Chief Marketing and Commercial Officer at Legendary Entertainment, which is now solely owned by its management and the American equity firm Apollo.
Aparna Chitale, Chief People Officer & EVP, Customer Operations
Aparna Chitale possesses more than 25 years of strategic global experience within the aerospace, technology, and entertainment industries.
Mike Moses, President, Spaceline
Mike Moses is responsible for overseeing Virgin Galactic's commercial spaceflight program, including leading teams in safety, mission operations, and adherence to FAA regulatory compliance. Before joining Virgin Galactic, he had a distinguished 17-year career with NASA, serving from 2008 to 2011 as the Launch Integration Manager at the Kennedy Space Center, where he directed all space shuttle processing activities from landing to launch. He also chaired the Mission Management Team, holding the ultimate decision authority for space shuttle launches.
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The key risks to Virgin Galactic's business (SPCE) include its precarious financial health, operational delays and production challenges, and market competition within the nascent space tourism industry.
- Financial Health and Cash Burn: Virgin Galactic faces significant financial challenges, marked by substantial cash burn, consistent net losses, and negative free cash flow. The company has had to raise additional capital through measures like issuing new stock and convertible senior notes, and its financial metrics indicate a "distress zone" with a potential risk of bankruptcy. For instance, Q2 2025 financials projected a cash burn of $105M–$115M and a 75% revenue drop to $500K. The company's ongoing spending to develop new spaceplanes, combined with minimal revenue during operational pauses, further exacerbates its cash position.
- Operational Delays, Production Challenges, and Technical Risks: Virgin Galactic has a history of delays in the development and deployment of its spacecraft, including its Delta Class program. These delays have led to strategic pauses in commercial flights, which risk customer attrition and investor confidence. Furthermore, the company has relied on a limited number of operational vehicles (VSS Unity and VMS Eve), which creates a risk of significant downtime if either requires extensive maintenance. Past incidents, such as the 2014 crash of SpaceShipTwo during a test flight, highlight the inherent technical and safety risks in spaceflight operations.
- Market Competition and Demand Volatility: The commercial space industry is highly competitive, with other companies like Blue Origin and SpaceX rapidly advancing their technologies and capabilities. While Virgin Galactic aims for market leadership in space tourism, the long-term profitability and demand for suborbital spaceflights remain uncertain. The company's dependence on a niche demographic of ultra-high-net-worth individuals makes it vulnerable to shifts in the luxury market or economic downturns, which could reduce discretionary spending on space tourism.
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The successful resumption of crewed suborbital spaceflights by Blue Origin's New Shepard program in May 2024, following a nearly two-year operational pause. This re-establishes a direct, well-funded competitor actively marketing and conducting suborbital tourism flights, intensifying the competitive landscape for Virgin Galactic and offering customers an alternative experience in the nascent suborbital space tourism market.
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Virgin Galactic (SPCE) primarily focuses on suborbital spaceflights for private individuals and researchers, with future aspirations for point-to-point suborbital transport. The addressable markets for these services are as follows:
-
Suborbital Space Tourism:
- The global space tourism market size was estimated at USD 888.3 million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 10.09 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 44.8% from 2024 to 2030.
- Another estimate places the global space tourism market size at USD 1.3 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 20.1 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 34.0% during 2025-2033.
- The suborbital segment dominated the overall space tourism market, gaining a market share of 48.5% in 2023. In 2022, the sub-orbital segment held a dominant position, capturing over 52.7% share with a CAGR of 37.8%.
- The suborbital tourism market size was valued at approximately USD 600 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 2 billion by 2030 (global).
- North America led the global space tourism market in 2023, accounting for the largest revenue share of 38.9%, and over 40% in 2024. The U.S. space tourism market held an 83.1% revenue share within North America in 2023. The U.S. sub-orbital segment alone was valued at USD 201.52 million in 2024.
-
Suborbital Spaceflights for Research and Education:
- This service falls under the broader suborbital flight market and the commercial segment of space tourism. The global suborbital flight market (which includes research applications) was valued at approximately USD 0.57 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1.71 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of about 14% (global).
- The commercial segment of the space tourism market is expected to dominate, gaining a market share of 55.8% in 2023 (global). The commercial segment contributed 58% market share in 2022 and is poised to grow at a CAGR of 36% from 2025 to 2034 (U.S.).
- Increasing use of parabolic flights by space agencies and academic institutions for testing equipment in zero gravity is a key factor driving this market.
-
Point-to-Point Suborbital Transport (Future Aspiration):
- The global point-to-point suborbital transport market size was valued at USD 1.14 billion in 2024, with a robust CAGR of 16.2% projected through the forecast period. By 2033, the market is expected to reach USD 4.53 billion (global).
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Virgin Galactic (SPCE) is poised for significant future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several key initiatives centered around its next-generation Delta Class spaceships and strategic market expansion.
- Launch and Scaled Operations of Delta Class Spaceships: The most critical driver is the introduction of the Delta Class spaceships, with commercial operations for research flights expected to begin in summer 2026 and private astronaut missions in fall 2026. These new spaceships are engineered for a significantly higher flight cadence, capable of up to eight missions per month per vehicle, a substantial increase from the VSS Unity's monthly flight capability. This increased frequency is crucial for clearing the existing customer backlog and serving a larger market.
- Growth in Commercial Space Tourism and Customer Base: With the enhanced capacity provided by the Delta Class fleet, Virgin Galactic anticipates a substantial increase in private astronaut flights. The company has a waitlist of approximately 675 customers, and new ticket sales are projected to reopen in the first quarter of 2026, with tickets currently priced at $600,000. The improved operational model aims to make space travel more accessible, thereby expanding the potential customer base.
- Diversification into Research and Government Missions: Virgin Galactic plans to broaden its revenue streams by expanding into scientific research and government missions. The Delta Class spaceships are designed to carry research payloads, with commercial service for these missions scheduled to commence in summer 2026. Furthermore, the company's carrier aircraft, HALE-Heavy, is being evaluated for defense and intelligence applications, including airborne research and missile defense support, indicating a strategic diversification of services.
- International Expansion and New Spaceports: To tap into a broader global market, Virgin Galactic is exploring international expansion. This includes conducting a feasibility study for a second spaceport in Italy and actively targeting the Asian market for future space tourism flights. The establishment of additional spaceports worldwide, coupled with an expanded fleet, is expected to significantly augment revenue potential.
- Fleet Expansion with Additional Spaceships and Motherships: Beyond the initial Delta Class spaceships, Virgin Galactic is seeking additional funding to accelerate the development and deployment of two more Delta-class vehicles and a second mothership. This accelerated fleet expansion, potentially bringing new vehicles into commercial service by 2028, two years earlier than organic funding alone would allow, will further increase flight capacity and drive subsequent revenue growth.
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Share Issuance
- In August 2020, Virgin Galactic completed an underwritten public offering of 23.6 million shares, generating approximately $460.2 million in gross proceeds.
- For the full year 2024, the company generated $138 million in gross proceeds through the issuance of 12.9 million shares as part of its at-the-market (ATM) offering programs.
- During the first quarter of 2025, Virgin Galactic generated $31 million in gross proceeds by issuing 6.9 million shares through its ATM offering program, followed by $56 million from the issuance of 15.7 million shares in the second quarter of 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Cash paid for capital expenditures significantly increased from $44 million in the full year 2023 to $122 million in the full year 2024.
- Capital expenditures continued to rise in 2025, with $46 million spent in Q1 2025 and $58 million in Q2 2025, compared to $13 million and $34 million in the respective prior year periods.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on investments in tooling, manufacturing capacity, and the production of the new Delta-class SpaceShips, indicating a shift from research and development to building manufacturing assets.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to SPCE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 18.7% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Virgin Galactic
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 202.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 98.0 |
| Rev LTM | 57,138 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,934 |
| FCF LTM | 801 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 983 |
| CFO LTM | 1,667 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,851 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 98.0 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 7.2 |
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 14.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $3.34 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/29/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -48.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.74 | $3.42 |
| DMA Trend | down | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | -10.6% | -2.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 83.6% | 89.9% |
| Downside Capture | 302.99 | 231.28 |
| Upside Capture | 190.82 | 136.88 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 31.0% | 31.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.99 | 1.80 | 1.64 | 1.68 | 1.43 | 1.97 |
| Up Beta | 0.63 | 2.27 | 2.05 | 2.01 | 1.24 | 1.47 |
| Down Beta | 9.87 | 2.49 | 2.57 | 1.88 | 1.18 | 1.63 |
| Up Capture | 133% | 132% | 170% | 158% | 148% | 448% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 18 | 27 | 56 | 99 | 319 |
| Down Capture | 122% | 148% | 80% | 144% | 146% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 32 | 63 | 136 | 414 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of SPCE With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -44.1% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 89.4% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.28 | 0.87 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 35.1% | 31.4% | 0.5% | 10.0% | 24.6% | 24.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of SPCE With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -63.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 94.7% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.64 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 32.1% | 35.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 30.5% | 22.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of SPCE With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -39.3% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 84.1% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.22 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 30.2% | 34.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 31.0% | 18.0% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | 10.9% | 3.6% | -6.3% |
| 8/6/2025 | -9.5% | -19.6% | -14.8% |
| 5/15/2025 | 43.3% | 9.9% | -8.7% |
| 2/26/2025 | -0.3% | -9.1% | -15.4% |
| 11/6/2024 | -11.8% | -0.6% | -9.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 14.0% | 17.8% | 10.8% |
| 5/7/2024 | -1.5% | 25.7% | -18.0% |
| 2/27/2024 | -7.9% | -15.8% | -23.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| # Negative | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| Median Positive | 7.4% | 14.1% | 22.4% |
| Median Negative | -9.5% | -16.1% | -18.4% |
| Max Positive | 43.3% | 40.4% | 95.9% |
| Max Negative | -17.6% | -28.3% | -53.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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