Tearsheet

Virgin Galactic (SPCE)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $3.32 | Market Cap: $196.7 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Virgin Galactic (SPCE)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $3.32
Market Cap: $196.7 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -177%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -307 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18453%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 119x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2%
3   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1206%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16177%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27712%
5   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
6   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -152%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
8   Key risks
SPCE key risks include [1] its precarious financial health, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -177%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -307 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -18453%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 119x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2%
5 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1206%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16177%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27712%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -152%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
10 Key risks
SPCE key risks include [1] its precarious financial health, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SPCE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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Here are the key points explaining why Virgin Galactic's (SPCE) stock experienced significant movements, including an upward trend that could align with a 7.4% change, for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025:

1. Q3 2025 Financial Results and Investor Confidence: While Virgin Galactic's Q3 2025 earnings report on November 13, 2025, initially saw the stock fall by 8.15% due to minimal revenue and an extended timeline for commercial operations, subsequent market sentiment shifted positively. By November 15, 2025, the stock was trading up by 11.78%, driven by a lower-than-expected Q3 loss per share and an increase in revenue, which bolstered investor confidence in the company's future prospects.

2. Progress on Delta-Class Spacecraft Development: Virgin Galactic continued to highlight the ongoing manufacturing and development of its next-generation Delta-class spacecraft throughout the period. The company confirmed that the first SpaceShip's key structural parts were expected in the factory by Q4 2025, with commercial service still targeted for Q4 2026. This consistent progress, despite earlier operational delays, provided a long-term positive outlook for increased flight frequency and potential profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.7% change in SPCE stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -29.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)3.743.34-10.70%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1.701.66-2.18%
P/S Multiple100.53119.1518.52%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)45.6459.25-29.82%
Cumulative Contribution-18.64%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SPCE-10.7% 
Market (SPY)4.4%30.2%
Sector (XLI)3.4%40.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.2% change in SPCE stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 539.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)2.903.3415.17%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5.511.66-69.87%
P/S Multiple18.65119.15538.99%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)35.4459.25-67.19%
Cumulative Contribution-36.82%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SPCE15.2% 
Market (SPY)14.0%24.9%
Sector (XLI)10.0%34.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -46.2% change in SPCE stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -111.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)6.213.34-46.22%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9.421.66-82.36%
P/S Multiple18.45119.15545.83%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)27.9759.25-111.82%
Cumulative Contribution-113.46%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SPCE-46.2% 
Market (SPY)15.8%31.3%
Sector (XLI)18.6%35.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -95.4% change in SPCE stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -349.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)73.003.34-95.42%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1.581.664.86%
P/S Multiple608.12119.15-80.41%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)13.2059.25-349.04%
Cumulative Contribution-151.16%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SPCE-93.6% 
Market (SPY)48.9%30.5%
Sector (XLI)42.7%34.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SPCE Return105%-44%-74%-30%-88%-40%-98%
Peers Return�14%6%10%76%63%�
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SPCE Win Rate50%25%33%50%17%33% 
Peers Win Rate58%50%57%45%53%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SPCE Max Drawdown-9%-45%-75%-60%-89%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown�-8%-24%-16%-20%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BA, LMT, NOC, RTX, RKLB. See SPCE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSPCES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4205.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven256.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven313 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven38 days120 days

Compare to BA, LMT, APEX, BETA, GE

In The Past

Virgin Galactic's stock fell -97.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -97.7% loss requires a 4205.1% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Virgin Galactic (SPCE)

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies for conducting commercial human spaceflight and flying commercial research and development payloads into space. It is also involved in the ground and flight testing, and post-flight maintenance of its spaceflight system vehicles. The company serves private individuals, researchers, and government agencies. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2017 is headquartered in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. was a former subsidiary of Virgin Orbit Holdings, Inc.

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  • Tesla for space tourism
  • NetJets for private space flights
  • Concorde for the space age

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  • Suborbital Spaceflight Experiences: Provides private individuals with a multi-day astronaut preparation program culminating in a brief journey to suborbital space, experiencing microgravity and views of Earth.
  • Scientific Research Missions: Offers governmental and academic institutions access to a microgravity environment for scientific and technological experiments during suborbital flights.

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Major Customers of Virgin Galactic (SPCE)

Virgin Galactic (SPCE) primarily sells its services to individuals and institutions rather than other commercial companies. Its business model is centered on commercial space tourism and providing platforms for scientific research.

The company serves two primary categories of customers:

  • Aspiring Astronauts / Private Individuals: This is the core customer base for Virgin Galactic's space tourism business. These are high-net-worth individuals who purchase tickets for suborbital spaceflights. Their motivation is typically for the unique personal experience of space travel, adventure, seeing the Earth from space, and the prestige associated with being a private astronaut.
  • Scientific Researchers / Institutions: This category includes universities, government agencies (such as NASA through its Flight Opportunities program), and private research organizations. These customers utilize Virgin Galactic's spaceflight platform for conducting scientific experiments, testing new technologies, and performing microgravity research in a suborbital environment. They essentially charter or purchase space for their payloads and research teams, rather than for personal travel.

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  • Northrop Grumman (NOC)

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Michael Colglazier, Chief Executive Officer

Michael Colglazier has an extensive career spanning over 30 years at The Walt Disney Company, where he held prominent leadership positions such as President and Managing Director of Disney Parks International and President of The Disneyland Resort in Southern California. During his tenure at Disney, he was responsible for driving new businesses, fostering innovative growth, and ensuring operational excellence across global Disney locations. He also serves as a director on the Board of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation.

Doug Ahrens, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer

Doug Ahrens brings over 25 years of operational and strategic finance experience from multinational companies. Prior to joining Virgin Galactic, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. until its acquisition by NVIDIA Corporation in 2020. He also held the role of CFO at GlobalLogic Inc., a private software engineering firm, and previously served as CFO of Applied Micro Circuits Corporation, a publicly traded semiconductor manufacturer.

Blair Rich, President, Chief Business Officer, Commercial and Consumer Operations

Blair Rich spent 23 years at Warner Bros. Entertainment, where she rose to lead worldwide marketing for the company's theatrical and home entertainment divisions. She oversaw a global team of over 700 people and was instrumental in establishing and shaping successful film franchises, including Harry Potter and the DC Multiverse. Prior to her appointment, she served as a consultant and strategic advisor to Virgin Galactic. More recently, she became Chief Marketing and Commercial Officer at Legendary Entertainment, which is now solely owned by its management and the American equity firm Apollo.

Aparna Chitale, Chief People Officer & EVP, Customer Operations

Aparna Chitale possesses more than 25 years of strategic global experience within the aerospace, technology, and entertainment industries.

Mike Moses, President, Spaceline

Mike Moses is responsible for overseeing Virgin Galactic's commercial spaceflight program, including leading teams in safety, mission operations, and adherence to FAA regulatory compliance. Before joining Virgin Galactic, he had a distinguished 17-year career with NASA, serving from 2008 to 2011 as the Launch Integration Manager at the Kennedy Space Center, where he directed all space shuttle processing activities from landing to launch. He also chaired the Mission Management Team, holding the ultimate decision authority for space shuttle launches.

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The key risks to Virgin Galactic's business (SPCE) include its precarious financial health, operational delays and production challenges, and market competition within the nascent space tourism industry.

  1. Financial Health and Cash Burn: Virgin Galactic faces significant financial challenges, marked by substantial cash burn, consistent net losses, and negative free cash flow. The company has had to raise additional capital through measures like issuing new stock and convertible senior notes, and its financial metrics indicate a "distress zone" with a potential risk of bankruptcy. For instance, Q2 2025 financials projected a cash burn of $105M–$115M and a 75% revenue drop to $500K. The company's ongoing spending to develop new spaceplanes, combined with minimal revenue during operational pauses, further exacerbates its cash position.
  2. Operational Delays, Production Challenges, and Technical Risks: Virgin Galactic has a history of delays in the development and deployment of its spacecraft, including its Delta Class program. These delays have led to strategic pauses in commercial flights, which risk customer attrition and investor confidence. Furthermore, the company has relied on a limited number of operational vehicles (VSS Unity and VMS Eve), which creates a risk of significant downtime if either requires extensive maintenance. Past incidents, such as the 2014 crash of SpaceShipTwo during a test flight, highlight the inherent technical and safety risks in spaceflight operations.
  3. Market Competition and Demand Volatility: The commercial space industry is highly competitive, with other companies like Blue Origin and SpaceX rapidly advancing their technologies and capabilities. While Virgin Galactic aims for market leadership in space tourism, the long-term profitability and demand for suborbital spaceflights remain uncertain. The company's dependence on a niche demographic of ultra-high-net-worth individuals makes it vulnerable to shifts in the luxury market or economic downturns, which could reduce discretionary spending on space tourism.

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The successful resumption of crewed suborbital spaceflights by Blue Origin's New Shepard program in May 2024, following a nearly two-year operational pause. This re-establishes a direct, well-funded competitor actively marketing and conducting suborbital tourism flights, intensifying the competitive landscape for Virgin Galactic and offering customers an alternative experience in the nascent suborbital space tourism market.

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Virgin Galactic (SPCE) primarily focuses on suborbital spaceflights for private individuals and researchers, with future aspirations for point-to-point suborbital transport. The addressable markets for these services are as follows:

  • Suborbital Space Tourism:

    • The global space tourism market size was estimated at USD 888.3 million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 10.09 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 44.8% from 2024 to 2030.
    • Another estimate places the global space tourism market size at USD 1.3 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 20.1 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 34.0% during 2025-2033.
    • The suborbital segment dominated the overall space tourism market, gaining a market share of 48.5% in 2023. In 2022, the sub-orbital segment held a dominant position, capturing over 52.7% share with a CAGR of 37.8%.
    • The suborbital tourism market size was valued at approximately USD 600 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 2 billion by 2030 (global).
    • North America led the global space tourism market in 2023, accounting for the largest revenue share of 38.9%, and over 40% in 2024. The U.S. space tourism market held an 83.1% revenue share within North America in 2023. The U.S. sub-orbital segment alone was valued at USD 201.52 million in 2024.
  • Suborbital Spaceflights for Research and Education:

    • This service falls under the broader suborbital flight market and the commercial segment of space tourism. The global suborbital flight market (which includes research applications) was valued at approximately USD 0.57 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1.71 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of about 14% (global).
    • The commercial segment of the space tourism market is expected to dominate, gaining a market share of 55.8% in 2023 (global). The commercial segment contributed 58% market share in 2022 and is poised to grow at a CAGR of 36% from 2025 to 2034 (U.S.).
    • Increasing use of parabolic flights by space agencies and academic institutions for testing equipment in zero gravity is a key factor driving this market.
  • Point-to-Point Suborbital Transport (Future Aspiration):

    • The global point-to-point suborbital transport market size was valued at USD 1.14 billion in 2024, with a robust CAGR of 16.2% projected through the forecast period. By 2033, the market is expected to reach USD 4.53 billion (global).

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Virgin Galactic (SPCE) is poised for significant future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several key initiatives centered around its next-generation Delta Class spaceships and strategic market expansion.

  1. Launch and Scaled Operations of Delta Class Spaceships: The most critical driver is the introduction of the Delta Class spaceships, with commercial operations for research flights expected to begin in summer 2026 and private astronaut missions in fall 2026. These new spaceships are engineered for a significantly higher flight cadence, capable of up to eight missions per month per vehicle, a substantial increase from the VSS Unity's monthly flight capability. This increased frequency is crucial for clearing the existing customer backlog and serving a larger market.
  2. Growth in Commercial Space Tourism and Customer Base: With the enhanced capacity provided by the Delta Class fleet, Virgin Galactic anticipates a substantial increase in private astronaut flights. The company has a waitlist of approximately 675 customers, and new ticket sales are projected to reopen in the first quarter of 2026, with tickets currently priced at $600,000. The improved operational model aims to make space travel more accessible, thereby expanding the potential customer base.
  3. Diversification into Research and Government Missions: Virgin Galactic plans to broaden its revenue streams by expanding into scientific research and government missions. The Delta Class spaceships are designed to carry research payloads, with commercial service for these missions scheduled to commence in summer 2026. Furthermore, the company's carrier aircraft, HALE-Heavy, is being evaluated for defense and intelligence applications, including airborne research and missile defense support, indicating a strategic diversification of services.
  4. International Expansion and New Spaceports: To tap into a broader global market, Virgin Galactic is exploring international expansion. This includes conducting a feasibility study for a second spaceport in Italy and actively targeting the Asian market for future space tourism flights. The establishment of additional spaceports worldwide, coupled with an expanded fleet, is expected to significantly augment revenue potential.
  5. Fleet Expansion with Additional Spaceships and Motherships: Beyond the initial Delta Class spaceships, Virgin Galactic is seeking additional funding to accelerate the development and deployment of two more Delta-class vehicles and a second mothership. This accelerated fleet expansion, potentially bringing new vehicles into commercial service by 2028, two years earlier than organic funding alone would allow, will further increase flight capacity and drive subsequent revenue growth.

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Share Issuance

  • In August 2020, Virgin Galactic completed an underwritten public offering of 23.6 million shares, generating approximately $460.2 million in gross proceeds.
  • For the full year 2024, the company generated $138 million in gross proceeds through the issuance of 12.9 million shares as part of its at-the-market (ATM) offering programs.
  • During the first quarter of 2025, Virgin Galactic generated $31 million in gross proceeds by issuing 6.9 million shares through its ATM offering program, followed by $56 million from the issuance of 15.7 million shares in the second quarter of 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Cash paid for capital expenditures significantly increased from $44 million in the full year 2023 to $122 million in the full year 2024.
  • Capital expenditures continued to rise in 2025, with $46 million spent in Q1 2025 and $58 million in Q2 2025, compared to $13 million and $34 million in the respective prior year periods.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on investments in tooling, manufacturing capacity, and the production of the new Delta-class SpaceShips, indicating a shift from research and development to building manufacturing assets.

Better Bets than Virgin Galactic (SPCE)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SPCE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.7%18.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.9%6.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.0%6.0%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Virgin Galactic

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SPCEBALMTNOCRTXRKLBMedian
NameVirgin G.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop.RTX Rocket L. 
Mkt Price3.34218.16485.75582.35186.3877.18202.27
Mkt Cap0.2165.8112.683.3250.340.898.0
Rev LTM280,75773,34940,92885,98855557,138
Op Inc LTM-307-8,4245,9974,0988,815-2291,934
FCF LTM-460-6,3504,5931,8344,726-232801
FCF 3Y Avg-482-3,0295,6342,1375,547-170983
CFO LTM-269-3,7166,3613,4387,963-1031,667
CFO 3Y Avg-373-9767,3863,7918,691-891,851

Growth & Margins

SPCEBALMTNOCRTXRKLBMedian
NameVirgin G.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop.RTX Rocket L. 
Rev Chg LTM-82.4%10.2%2.9%-0.1%8.8%52.4%5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg72.7%10.1%4.3%5.2%9.4%44.3%9.7%
Rev Chg Q-9.2%30.4%8.8%4.3%11.9%48.0%10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.2%7.2%2.1%1.1%2.9%10.0%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-18,453.3%-10.4%8.2%10.0%10.3%-41.4%-1.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-11,496.5%-7.2%11.0%9.0%7.7%-54.4%0.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM514.4%2.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%2.7%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-16,177.1%-4.6%8.7%8.4%9.3%-18.6%1.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10,012.0%-1.3%10.5%9.4%11.3%-25.0%4.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-27,712.4%-7.9%6.3%4.5%5.5%-41.8%-1.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14,433.7%-3.9%8.0%5.3%7.2%-46.2%0.7%

Valuation

SPCEBALMTNOCRTXRKLBMedian
NameVirgin G.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop.RTX Rocket L. 
Mkt Cap0.2165.8112.683.3250.340.898.0
P/S119.12.11.52.02.973.62.5
P/EBIT-0.7-24.018.815.124.0-178.57.2
P/E-0.7-16.826.820.738.0-206.510.0
P/CFO-0.7-44.617.724.231.4-394.78.5
Total Yield-147.8%-5.9%5.8%5.6%4.0%-0.5%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.1%0.8%1.4%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-184.5%-2.6%4.8%2.8%3.7%-3.4%0.1%
D/E2.10.30.20.20.20.00.2
Net D/E0.10.20.20.20.1-0.00.2

Returns

SPCEBALMTNOCRTXRKLBMedian
NameVirgin G.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop.RTX Rocket L. 
1M Rtn-0.6%21.8%8.5%3.4%7.6%81.8%8.1%
3M Rtn-10.7%1.4%0.7%-0.3%15.9%58.5%1.0%
6M Rtn15.2%9.7%7.6%20.6%32.9%138.6%17.9%
12M Rtn-46.2%21.6%2.4%25.8%62.5%190.2%23.7%
3Y Rtn-95.4%15.4%9.1%14.5%100.8%1,947.2%14.9%
1M Excs Rtn-4.0%18.4%5.1%0.0%4.2%78.4%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-8.7%-2.8%-3.9%-5.1%11.6%60.6%-3.3%
6M Excs Rtn-0.0%-5.2%-5.2%6.0%18.9%100.7%3.0%
12M Excs Rtn-62.1%6.1%-14.6%9.3%46.1%193.5%7.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-177.2%-64.1%-72.2%-66.6%22.9%1,797.4%-65.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment72304
Total72304


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$3.34 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date09/29/2017 
Distance from 52W High-48.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.74$3.42
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA-10.6%-2.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility83.6%89.9%
Downside Capture302.99231.28
Upside Capture190.82136.88
Correlation (SPY)31.0%31.4%
SPCE Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.991.801.641.681.431.97
Up Beta0.632.272.052.011.241.47
Down Beta9.872.492.571.881.181.63
Up Capture133%132%170%158%148%448%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days818275699319
Down Capture122%148%80%144%146%112%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11233263136414

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of SPCE With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 SPCESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-44.1%20.9%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility89.4%18.8%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.280.870.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 35.1%31.4%0.5%10.0%24.6%24.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of SPCE With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 SPCESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-63.5%14.0%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility94.7%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio-0.640.660.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 32.1%35.8%5.0%6.5%30.5%22.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of SPCE With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 SPCESector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-39.3%13.4%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility84.1%19.9%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio-0.220.600.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 30.2%34.2%7.1%9.3%31.0%18.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,603,301
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020254.9%
Average Daily Volume5,335,164
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.74
Basic Shares Quantity59,252,000
Short % of Basic Shares24.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/202510.9%3.6%-6.3%
8/6/2025-9.5%-19.6%-14.8%
5/15/202543.3%9.9%-8.7%
2/26/2025-0.3%-9.1%-15.4%
11/6/2024-11.8%-0.6%-9.0%
8/7/202414.0%17.8%10.8%
5/7/2024-1.5%25.7%-18.0%
2/27/2024-7.9%-15.8%-23.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11107
# Negative131417
Median Positive7.4%14.1%22.4%
Median Negative-9.5%-16.1%-18.4%
Max Positive43.3%40.4%95.9%
Max Negative-17.6%-28.3%-53.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021