Tearsheet

HP (HPQ)


Market Price (12/11/2025): $25.565 | Market Cap: $24.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

HP (HPQ)


Market Price (12/11/2025): $25.565
Market Cap: $24.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Future of Work. Themes include Endpoint Protection, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Future of Work. Themes include Endpoint Protection, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HPQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The HPQ stock experienced a notable decline of 10.4% over the past three months leading up to December 5, 2025. Several factors contributed to this movement:

1. HP's Fiscal Q3 2025 Non-GAAP EPS Decline: While HP Inc. reported a 3.1% year-over-year revenue increase to $13.9 billion in its fiscal Q3 2025, its non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share (EPS) declined by 10.7% from the prior year period, signaling underlying margin pressures. This missed analyst estimates, despite GAAP diluted net EPS increasing.

2. Weak Q4 2025 Guidance and Analyst Concerns: Following stronger-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings per share, HP's guidance for fiscal year 2026 EPS of $2.90–$3.20 fell below analyst expectations of $3.32. This cautious outlook was attributed to anticipated rising memory costs and supply scarcity, leading several analysts, including Morgan Stanley, UBS, Bernstein, and TD Cowen, to lower their price targets for HPQ.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HPQ Return24%57%-26%16%12%-20%49%
Peers Return33%35%-28%59%12%-4%121%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HPQ Win Rate50%67%50%75%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate60%65%31%71%58%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HPQ Max Drawdown-36%-2%-33%-2%-7%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-10%-36%-8%-18%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DELL, AAPL, XRX, MSFT. See HPQ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/10/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHPQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven261 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven487 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven109.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven381 days1480 days

Compare to AAPL, INTC, DELL, MSI, WDC


In The Past

HP's stock fell -38.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2022. A -38.8% loss requires a 63.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About HP (HPQ)

Better Bets than HP (HPQ)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HPQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for HP

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HPQDELLAAPLXRXMSFTMedian
NameHP Dell Tec.Apple Xerox Microsoft 
Mkt Price25.19140.63278.782.62478.56140.63
Mkt Cap25.695.14,154.60.53,557.195.1
Rev LTM55,295104,090408,6256,607293,812104,090
Op Inc LTM3,6246,924130,214-75135,9376,924
FCF LTM2,8004,44996,18428378,0174,449
FCF 3Y Avg2,9784,781100,50341171,3024,781
CFO LTM3,6977,096108,565367147,0397,096
CFO 3Y Avg3,6727,474111,559466121,3847,474

Growth & Margins

HPQDELLAAPLXRXMSFTMedian
NameHP Dell Tec.Apple Xerox Microsoft 
Rev Chg LTM3.2%10.8%6.0%3.7%15.6%6.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.9%0.2%1.8%-1.5%13.2%0.2%
Rev Chg Q4.2%10.8%9.6%28.3%18.4%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%2.6%2.1%7.0%4.3%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM6.6%6.7%31.9%-1.1%46.3%6.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.4%6.1%30.8%2.8%44.6%7.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.2%0.1%-3.3%0.6%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.7%6.8%26.6%5.6%50.0%6.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.8%7.8%28.4%7.0%47.2%7.8%
FCF/Rev LTM5.1%4.3%23.5%4.3%26.6%5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%5.0%25.6%6.2%28.0%6.2%

Valuation

HPQDELLAAPLXRXMSFTMedian
NameHP Dell Tec.Apple Xerox Microsoft 
Mkt Cap25.695.14,154.60.53,557.195.1
P/S0.50.99.30.113.10.9
P/EBIT--29.1-29.629.4
P/E10.118.338.2-0.536.718.3
P/CFO6.913.435.01.326.213.4
Total Yield12.0%7.0%3.0%-204.7%3.4%3.4%
Dividend Yield2.1%1.5%0.4%0.0%0.6%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--3.1%-2.3%2.7%
D/E--0.0-0.00.0
Net D/E--0.0--0.00.0

Returns

HPQDELLAAPLXRXMSFTMedian
NameHP Dell Tec.Apple Xerox Microsoft 
1M Rtn-0.4%-1.4%3.5%-13.5%-5.2%-1.4%
3M Rtn-11.2%13.4%23.0%-27.1%-4.2%-4.2%
6M Rtn2.5%27.4%40.5%-52.4%1.6%2.5%
12M Rtn-25.0%22.6%13.0%-68.6%8.7%8.7%
3Y Rtn-0.3%257.9%99.1%-79.6%99.7%99.1%
1M Excs Rtn-1.2%-2.2%2.7%-14.3%-6.0%-2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-15.7%8.0%16.8%-33.3%-8.8%-8.8%
6M Excs Rtn-11.8%13.0%26.2%-66.8%-12.7%-11.8%
12M Excs Rtn-40.7%3.0%2.2%-80.6%-4.4%-4.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.0%175.4%20.8%-152.9%23.6%20.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity70,112,987
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.4%
Average Daily Volume16,290,568
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.30
Basic Shares Quantity940,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/25/2025-1.4%6.5% 
8/27/20254.6%7.8%-0.5%
5/28/2025-8.3%-7.4%-7.9%
2/27/2025-6.8%-9.5%-14.9%
11/26/2024-11.4%-7.0%-14.2%
8/28/20242.0%-1.0%2.7%
5/29/202417.0%8.6%7.6%
2/28/2024-1.4%5.3%6.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11129
# Negative131215
Median Positive3.9%4.6%9.1%
Median Negative-6.6%-4.4%-8.2%
Max Positive17.0%13.3%17.8%
Max Negative-12.3%-11.7%-29.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251210202510-K 10/31/2025
7312025828202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025228202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241213202410-K 10/31/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024228202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231218202310-K 10/31/2023
7312023911202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023531202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023301202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221206202210-K 10/31/2022
7312022902202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022307202210-Q 1/31/2022

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET