Plug Power (PLUG)
Market Price (11/6/2025): $2.52 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Plug Power (PLUG)
Market Price (11/6/2025): $2.52Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -906 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -135% | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 240% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -122% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -71% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 120% | ||
| Short seller report |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -906 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -135% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 240% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -122% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -71% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 120% |
| Short seller report |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
PLUG Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PLUG Return | 973% | -17% | -56% | -64% | -53% | 24% | -16% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 11% | -28% | 63% | 67% | 28% | 208% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PLUG Win Rate | 83% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 52% | 37% | 47% | 63% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PLUG Max Drawdown | -13% | -41% | -59% | -72% | -64% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -10% | -50% | -19% | -13% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: POWL, VICR, AZZ, ENR, ADSE. See PLUG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/5/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PLUG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2039.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 211.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 556.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4145 days | 1480 days |
Compare to POWL, VICR, AZZ, ENR, ADSE
In The Past
Plug Power's stock fell -95.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -95.3% loss requires a 2039.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Plug Power Stock Fell 32% in a Month, What Now? | Return | ||
| Day 9 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 88% Return (vs. 24% YTD) [9/22/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 8 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 55% Return (vs. 2.3% YTD) [9/21/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 49% Return (vs. -1.4% YTD) [9/18/2025] | Notification | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| What’s Happening With PLUG Stock? | October 10th, 2025 | ||
| PLUG Stock Up 88% after 9-Day Win Streak | September 23rd, 2025 | ||
| PLUG Stock Up 55% after 8-Day Win Streak | September 22nd, 2025 | ||
| PLUG Stock Up 49% after 7-Day Win Streak | September 19th, 2025 | ||
| Why Is Plug Power Stock Riding High? | September 18th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PLUG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.9% | -0.9% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.8% | -0.8% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.9% | -7.9% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.9% | -0.9% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.8% | -0.8% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.9% | -7.9% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Plug Power
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 59.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,081 |
| Op Inc LTM | 211 |
| FCF LTM | 117 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 130 |
| CFO LTM | 134 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 141 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 6.5 |
| P/E | 9.9 |
| P/CFO | 6.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 34.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 72.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 98.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 25.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 51.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 14.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales of cryogenic equipment and liquefiers | 232 | 88 | 8 | ||
| Sales of hydrogen infrastructure | 184 | 142 | 135 | -43 | 19 |
| Sales of fuel cell systems | 181 | 208 | 225 | -55 | 131 |
| Sales of electolyzers | 83 | 28 | 17 | 4 | |
| Fuel delivered to customers and related equipment | 66 | 57 | 47 | -16 | 29 |
| Power Purchase Agreements | 64 | 47 | 35 | 27 | 26 |
| Services performed on fuel cell systems and related infrastructure | 39 | 35 | 27 | -10 | 25 |
| Sales of engineered equipment | 32 | 93 | 8 | ||
| Other | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 891 | 701 | 502 | -93 | 230 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/11/2025 | -2.5% | 5.1% | -8.9% |
| 5/12/2025 | -10.2% | -12.7% | 52.7% |
| 3/3/2025 | 8.0% | 14.0% | -12.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -4.0% | 0.0% | 25.6% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.0% | -2.9% | -22.6% |
| 3/1/2024 | 10.2% | 10.5% | -2.5% |
| 11/9/2023 | -40.5% | -29.5% | -31.0% |
| 8/9/2023 | -15.8% | -20.2% | -26.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 14 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 10.2% | 12.2% | 17.0% |
| Median Negative | -5.7% | -12.8% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 17.6% | 24.3% | 61.6% |
| Max Negative | -40.5% | -29.5% | -31.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Crespo Jose Luis | Chief Revenue Officer | 6132025 | Sell | 1.32 | 37,300 | 49,236 | 356,442 | Form |
| 1 | MIDDLETON PAUL B | See Remarks | 6092025 | Buy | 1.03 | 650,000 | 672,035 | 2,644,782 | Form |
| 2 | MIDDLETON PAUL B | CFO & Executive VP | 5192025 | Buy | 0.72 | 350,000 | 250,390 | 1,365,029 | Form |
| 3 | MCNAMEE GEORGE C | 11052024 | Sell | 2.09 | 10,000 | 20,916 | 1,432,290 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |