Plug Power (PLUG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.195 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Plug Power (PLUG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.195Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Fuel Cell Technology, and Hydrogen Infrastructure. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -906 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -135% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 140% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -122% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -122% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% | ||
| Short seller report |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Fuel Cell Technology, and Hydrogen Infrastructure. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -158% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -906 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -135% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 140% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -122% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -122% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% |
| Short seller report |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PLUG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Plug Power's stock moved by 42% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Improved Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Outlook
Plug Power announced its Q3 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, reporting a slight beat on adjusted earnings per share (EPS) at -$0.12 against a forecast of -$0.13. The company also highlighted a significant 46% sequential increase in GenEco electrolyzer revenue, reaching approximately $65 million, which contributed to positive investor sentiment. Furthermore, Plug Power demonstrated a 49% year-over-year improvement in net cash used in operating activities and reaffirmed its target to achieve EBITDAS-positive status in the second half of 2026.
2. Successful Capital Raises and Debt Management Initiatives
Subsequent to the third quarter, Plug Power successfully completed a capital raise of approximately $370 million through the exercise of existing investor warrants. Additionally, in November 2025, the company secured $375 million through a convertible notes offering. These funds were strategically utilized to retire existing high-cost debt and refinance 2026 convertible notes, significantly bolstering the company's liquidity and improving its financial flexibility.
3.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PLUG Return | 973% | -17% | -56% | -64% | -53% | -1% | -33% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 14% | -18% | 46% | 54% | 28% | 205% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PLUG Win Rate | 83% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 52% | 38% | 50% | 58% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PLUG Max Drawdown | -13% | -41% | -59% | -72% | -64% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -13% | -45% | -15% | -15% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VICR, POWL, AZZ, ENR, AIGO. See PLUG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PLUG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2039.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 211.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 556.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4145 days | 1480 days |
Compare to VICR, POWL, AZZ, ENR, AIGO
In The Past
Plug Power's stock fell -95.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -95.3% loss requires a 2039.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Plug Power Earnings Notes | |||
| Can Plug Power Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| Plug Power Stock Surged 110%, Here's Why | |||
| Day 9 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 88% Return (vs. 24% YTD) [9/22/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 8 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 55% Return (vs. 2.3% YTD) [9/21/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for Plug Power Stock with 49% Return (vs. -1.4% YTD) [9/18/2025] | Notification | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Plug Power (PLUG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Is Plug Power Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Why Plug Power Stock Jumped 110%? | November 25th, 2025 | ||
| Can PLUG Stock Fall More? | November 17th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Happening With PLUG Stock? | October 10th, 2025 | ||
| PLUG Stock Up 88% after 9-Day Win Streak | September 23rd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PLUG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Plug Power
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 92.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,081 |
| Op Inc LTM | 211 |
| FCF LTM | 117 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 130 |
| CFO LTM | 134 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 141 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.2 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 6.8 |
| P/E | 10.4 |
| P/CFO | 6.5 |
| Total Yield | 7.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -17.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 25.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 82.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 75.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -17.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 67.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales of cryogenic equipment and liquefiers | 232 | 88 | 8 | ||
| Sales of hydrogen infrastructure | 184 | 142 | 135 | -43 | 19 |
| Sales of fuel cell systems | 181 | 208 | 225 | -55 | 131 |
| Sales of electolyzers | 83 | 28 | 17 | 4 | |
| Fuel delivered to customers and related equipment | 66 | 57 | 47 | -16 | 29 |
| Power Purchase Agreements | 64 | 47 | 35 | 27 | 26 |
| Services performed on fuel cell systems and related infrastructure | 39 | 35 | 27 | -10 | 25 |
| Sales of engineered equipment | 32 | 93 | 8 | ||
| Other | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 891 | 701 | 502 | -93 | 230 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |