Tearsheet

D.R. Horton (DHI)


Market Price (3/15/2026): $140.5 | Market Cap: $41.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

D.R. Horton (DHI)


Market Price (3/15/2026): $140.5
Market Cap: $41.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 8.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 3.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 8.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 3.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

D.R. Horton (DHI) stock has lost about 10% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. D.R. Horton experienced significant year-over-year declines in its fiscal first-quarter 2026 financial results, despite surpassing analyst estimates. While the company reported an EPS of $2.03 and revenue of $6.89 billion, beating consensus estimates, net income attributable to D.R. Horton decreased by 30% and diluted earnings per share fell by 22% compared to the prior year. Additionally, consolidated revenues declined 9% to $6.9 billion, and home sales revenues decreased 9% on 7% fewer homes closed (17,818 homes) year-over-year.

2. The broader housing market faced a cooling trend and affordability constraints due to elevated mortgage rates. Although the Federal Reserve implemented three rate cuts in late 2025, bringing the federal funds rate down to 3.50% to 3.75%, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate remained in the low to mid-6% range and even saw a slight increase to 6.11% on March 12, 2026. This sustained pressure on affordability contributed to a national housing market where annual home price growth slowed to 0.7% in January 2026, a significant drop from 3.5% at the start of 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.4% change in DHI stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253142026Change
Stock Price ($)158.56140.49-11.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)34,25033,524-2.1%
Net Income Margin (%)10.5%9.9%-5.0%
P/E Multiple13.112.3-5.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2962921.2%
Cumulative Contribution-11.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DHI-11.4% 
Market (SPY)-3.1%13.2%
Sector (XLY)-6.2%39.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.6% change in DHI stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120253142026Change
Stock Price ($)168.48140.49-16.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)34,57533,524-3.0%
Net Income Margin (%)11.5%9.9%-13.2%
P/E Multiple12.912.3-4.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3042924.0%
Cumulative Contribution-16.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DHI-16.6% 
Market (SPY)3.0%17.3%
Sector (XLY)-4.2%39.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.1% change in DHI stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 42.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253142026Change
Stock Price ($)125.33140.4912.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)36,68833,524-8.6%
Net Income Margin (%)12.7%9.9%-21.6%
P/E Multiple8.712.342.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)32229210.0%
Cumulative Contribution12.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DHI12.1% 
Market (SPY)12.4%25.3%
Sector (XLY)3.4%39.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 56.5% change in DHI stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 126.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233142026Change
Stock Price ($)89.79140.4956.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)33,68433,524-0.5%
Net Income Margin (%)16.8%9.9%-40.9%
P/E Multiple5.412.3126.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)34429217.8%
Cumulative Contribution56.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DHI56.5% 
Market (SPY)73.4%30.8%
Sector (XLY)56.0%39.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DHI Return59%-17%72%-7%4%-1%118%
Peers Return47%-24%91%9%-6%-1%117%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-1%80%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DHI Win Rate75%42%58%58%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate72%42%63%60%43%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DHI Max Drawdown-4%-44%0%-11%-17%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-4%-41%-0%-5%-22%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-2% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LEN, PHM, NVR, TOL, KBH. See DHI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDHIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven611.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,460 days1,480 days

Compare to LEN, PHM, NVR, TOL, KBH

In The Past

D.R. Horton's stock fell -44.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -44.8% loss requires a 81.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About D.R. Horton (DHI)

D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 31 states and 98 markets under the names of D.R. Horton, America's Builder, Express Homes, Emerald Homes, and Freedom Homes. The company constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as town homes, duplexes, and triplexes. It also provides mortgage financing services; and title insurance policies, and examination and closing services, as well as engages in the residential lot development business. In addition, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; owns non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements; and owns and operates energy related assets. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for D.R. Horton:

  • D.R. Horton is like Ford, but for houses. They mass-produce new homes across the country, offering different brands for various market segments.
  • You can think of D.R. Horton as the Walmart of new home sales. They are the largest homebuilder in the U.S., constructing and selling a vast volume of homes in countless markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Residential Home Sales and Construction: The company constructs and sells a variety of new homes, including single-family detached, town homes, duplexes, and triplexes.
  • Mortgage Financing Services: D.R. Horton provides mortgage financing solutions to homebuyers.
  • Title Services: The company offers title insurance policies along with examination and closing services.
  • Residential Lot Development: D.R. Horton engages in the acquisition and development of land for residential purposes.
  • Rental Property Services: The company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells both multi-family and single-family rental properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

D.R. Horton (DHI) primarily serves individual homebuyers.

The company caters to a diverse range of customers, which can be broadly categorized into the following segments:

  • First-time homebuyers: These customers are typically entering the housing market for the first time, often seeking more affordable and entry-level homes, a segment often addressed by D.R. Horton's "Express Homes" brand.
  • Move-up homebuyers: This category includes individuals or families looking for larger homes, more amenities, or homes in different locations, often having previously owned a home. D.R. Horton's core brand and "Emerald Homes" often serve this segment.
  • Active adult/Retiree homebuyers: Customers in this segment often seek homes designed for a low-maintenance lifestyle, sometimes in age-restricted or age-targeted communities, a market specifically addressed by D.R. Horton's "Freedom Homes" brand.

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Better Bets vs. D.R. Horton (DHI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to DHI.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MBLY_2272026_Dip_Buyer_HighCashEquity_ExInd02272026MBLYMobileye GlobalDip BuyDB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % Equity
Buying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation
0.0%0.0%0.0%
SAH_2202026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202202026SAHSonic AutomotiveInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.9%-5.9%-6.1%
MAT_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026MATMattelInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
2.9%2.9%0.0%
SONO_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026SONOSonosInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.7%-0.7%-4.6%
DECK_2062026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02062026DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%1.6%-0.8%
DHI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DHID.R. HortonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.8%54.3%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DHILENPHMNVRTOLKBHMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Toll Bro.KB Home  
Mkt Price140.4994.96119.196,466.56136.6952.95127.94
Mkt Cap41.124.023.118.313.13.420.7
Rev LTM33,52434,18717,31210,34211,2536,23614,283
Op Inc LTM4,1222,7502,9791,6891,7215252,235
FCF LTM3,477281,7491,0971,4532871,275
FCF 3Y Avg3,1702,4471,8051,3051,1745531,555
CFO LTM3,6282171,8711,1211,5403361,331
CFO 3Y Avg3,3132,6001,9161,3311,2515941,624

Growth & Margins

DHILENPHMNVRTOLKBHMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Toll Bro.KB Home  
Rev Chg LTM-8.6%-3.5%-3.5%-1.9%4.6%-10.0%-3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.1%0.6%2.9%-0.3%3.2%-3.0%0.3%
Rev Chg Q-9.5%-5.8%-6.3%-4.7%15.4%-15.3%-6.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.1%-1.7%-1.8%-1.3%2.6%-4.7%-1.7%
Op Mgn LTM12.3%8.0%17.2%16.3%15.3%8.4%13.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.0%12.5%20.0%18.1%17.1%10.4%16.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-1.9%-2.1%-0.7%-0.4%-1.3%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%0.6%10.8%10.8%13.7%5.4%10.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.4%7.5%11.3%13.2%11.7%9.2%10.3%
FCF/Rev LTM10.4%0.1%10.1%10.6%12.9%4.6%10.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%7.1%10.6%12.9%10.9%8.5%9.8%

Valuation

DHILENPHMNVRTOLKBHMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Toll Bro.KB Home  
Mkt Cap41.124.023.118.313.13.420.7
P/S1.20.71.31.81.20.51.2
P/EBIT10.08.77.910.27.66.48.3
P/E12.311.510.413.79.57.911.0
P/CFO11.3110.512.416.38.510.111.8
Total Yield9.3%10.8%10.4%7.3%10.9%13.2%10.6%
Dividend Yield1.2%2.2%0.8%0.0%0.4%0.5%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.0%6.1%8.1%5.8%9.7%12.1%7.5%
D/E0.10.20.10.10.20.50.2
Net D/E0.10.1-0.0-0.00.10.40.1

Returns

DHILENPHMNVRTOLKBHMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Toll Bro.KB Home  
1M Rtn-14.6%-21.4%-14.2%-20.1%-15.9%-17.2%-16.6%
3M Rtn-9.9%-20.1%-5.5%-14.0%-1.6%-18.9%-12.0%
6M Rtn-20.5%-30.2%-12.7%-23.2%-4.4%-19.0%-19.8%
12M Rtn12.1%-18.2%16.7%-10.6%31.4%-11.2%0.7%
3Y Rtn50.3%-1.0%123.5%21.5%144.6%58.7%54.5%
1M Excs Rtn-11.9%-19.1%-12.1%-17.8%-13.0%-14.8%-13.9%
3M Excs Rtn-7.7%-18.9%-5.0%-12.2%0.4%-15.9%-9.9%
6M Excs Rtn-24.8%-34.5%-16.6%-27.1%-9.5%-23.6%-24.2%
12M Excs Rtn-10.5%-39.7%-5.0%-33.0%8.3%-33.3%-21.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-15.4%-69.6%53.2%-48.6%66.2%-14.2%-14.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Homebuilding27,48124,70022,28518,93215,221
Rental3,1232,8602,697865 
Financial Services2,9572,9803,0062,2351,726
Forestar2,8402,4712,3432,1021,740
Eliminations and Other-297-42920-118 
Eliminations and Other Adjustments    -155
Other    379
Total36,10432,58230,35124,01618,912


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$140.49 
Market Cap ($ Bil)41.1 
First Trading Date06/05/1992 
Distance from 52W High-23.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$154.08$150.36
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-8.8%-6.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility34.4%38.7%
Downside Capture33.0069.38
Upside Capture-28.5768.77
Correlation (SPY)10.0%26.5%
DHI Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.890.090.250.430.490.68
Up Beta-1.210.030.201.300.620.80
Down Beta0.450.700.360.300.140.28
Up Capture-77%23%22%13%59%61%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days13222856125387
Down Capture-176%-69%18%38%64%93%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days8193368126364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DHI
DHI10.5%38.7%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.0%23.7%0.4641.6%
Equity (SPY)19.6%18.9%0.8126.7%
Gold (GLD)71.9%26.3%2.053.5%
Commodities (DBC)19.3%17.3%0.89-1.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%16.3%0.1948.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-15.3%44.2%-0.2516.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DHI
DHI12.9%35.4%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLY)8.0%23.7%0.3051.9%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.0%0.6147.9%
Gold (GLD)24.1%17.3%1.1410.1%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.0%0.474.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1654.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)6.3%56.7%0.3318.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DHI
DHI18.7%35.5%0.58-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.4%21.9%0.5255.8%
Equity (SPY)14.5%17.9%0.7052.8%
Gold (GLD)14.4%15.6%0.7711.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.4015.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2355.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.4%66.8%1.0713.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 21520268.9%
Average Daily Volume2.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity292.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/20/20263.2%-3.0%7.2%
10/28/2025-3.2%-8.7%-2.4%
7/22/202517.0%11.4%28.4%
4/17/20253.2%7.2%7.3%
1/21/20252.2%0.2%-10.2%
10/29/2024-7.2%-5.3%-6.2%
7/18/20240.2%-0.4%2.8%
4/18/20240.1%0.3%3.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141714
# Negative10710
Median Positive3.2%3.7%7.3%
Median Negative-2.8%-2.3%-4.5%
Max Positive17.0%11.4%29.1%
Max Negative-7.2%-8.7%-10.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202501/22/202610-Q
09/30/202511/19/202510-K
06/30/202507/23/202510-Q
03/31/202504/23/202510-Q
12/31/202401/23/202510-Q
09/30/202411/19/202410-K
06/30/202407/23/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202301/24/202410-Q
09/30/202311/17/202310-K
06/30/202307/24/202310-Q
03/31/202304/24/202310-Q
12/31/202201/25/202310-Q
09/30/202211/18/202210-K
06/30/202207/22/202210-Q
03/31/202204/27/202210-Q

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Buchanan, Michael R DirectSell9092025180.741,000180,740215,623Form
2Odom, Aron MSVP, Controller and PAODirectSell9092025183.001,376251,8081,181,631Form
3Auld, David VExecutive ChairmanDirectSell9092025182.2130,0005,466,411148,626,613Form
4Odom, Aron MSVP, Controller and PAODirectSell8142025166.201,233204,9251,301,845Form
5Buchanan, Michael R DirectSell6242025127.702,150274,552280,043Form