Tearsheet

D.R. Horton (DHI)


Market Price (12/9/2025): $151.88 | Market Cap: $44.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

D.R. Horton (DHI)


Market Price (12/9/2025): $151.88
Market Cap: $44.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 6.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 6.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DHI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Underwhelming Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Report

D.R. Horton reported its fourth quarter fiscal 2025 earnings on October 28, 2025, with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.04, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.29 by 7.6%. This earnings miss led to a 7.07% drop in the stock price during pre-market trading following the announcement.

2. Analyst Downgrade

On October 7, 2025, D.R. Horton's stock experienced a 6% decline after Evercore ISI downgraded its rating from "outperform" to "in line" and lowered its price target from $185 to $169. The firm noted that the anticipated rebound in demand from falling mortgage rates had not yet materialized, and margins needed to bottom out before valuation multiples in the homebuilding sector could expand.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DHI Return32%59%-17%72%-7%10%207%
Peers Return14%47%-24%91%9%0%167%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DHI Win Rate67%75%42%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate67%72%42%63%60%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DHI Max Drawdown-45%-4%-44%0%-11%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-4%-41%-0%-5%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LEN, PHM, NVR, TOL, KBH. See DHI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/8/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDHIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven611.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2460 days1480 days

Compare to LEN, PHM, NVR, J, TOL


In The Past

D.R. Horton's stock fell -44.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -44.8% loss requires a 81.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About D.R. Horton (DHI)

Better Bets than D.R. Horton (DHI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DHI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.0%5.0%-1.6%
DHI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DHID.R. HortonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.8%54.3%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.0%5.0%-1.6%
DHI_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018DHID.R. HortonDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.8%54.3%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for D.R. Horton

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DHILENPHMNVRTOLKBHMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Toll Bro.KB Home  
Mkt Price152.43120.71124.887,438.36136.2062.39130.54
Mkt Cap45.130.924.521.413.44.123.0
Rev LTM34,25034,76617,62310,47610,8776,54214,250
Op Inc LTM4,4243,4703,3951,7821,7686352,589
FCF LTM3,284-7131,5521,2929183501,105
FCF 3Y Avg3,1542,7831,8751,4301,2015881,652
CFO LTM3,421-5681,6681,3199953941,157
CFO 3Y Avg3,3052,9181,9831,4571,2746281,720

Growth & Margins

DHILENPHMNVRTOLKBHMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Toll Bro.KB Home  
Rev Chg LTM-6.9%-4.7%1.8%3.4%3.3%-0.9%0.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.9%3.0%5.4%1.4%4.4%-0.5%2.2%
Rev Chg Q-3.2%-6.4%-1.6%-4.5%8.0%-7.5%-3.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.9%-1.7%-0.4%-1.2%2.0%-2.0%-1.1%
Op Mgn LTM12.9%10.0%19.3%17.0%16.3%9.7%14.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.4%13.6%20.6%18.4%17.5%11.2%16.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-1.5%-0.7%-0.6%-0.4%-0.7%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM10.0%-1.6%9.5%12.6%9.1%6.0%9.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.4%8.4%11.6%14.4%11.9%9.5%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM9.6%-2.1%8.8%12.3%8.4%5.3%8.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.9%8.0%10.9%14.2%11.2%8.9%9.9%

Valuation

DHILENPHMNVRTOLKBHMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Toll Bro.KB Home  
Mkt Cap45.130.924.521.413.44.123.0
P/S1.30.91.52.21.00.61.2
P/EBIT11.39.37.612.26.46.68.4
P/E12.612.09.916.18.28.210.9
P/CFO13.2-56.715.617.511.310.712.2
Total Yield9.0%10.0%10.8%6.2%12.7%12.6%10.4%
Dividend Yield1.1%1.6%0.7%0.0%0.4%0.4%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.1%7.3%9.2%6.3%12.1%14.4%8.2%
D/E0.10.20.10.00.30.50.1
Net D/E0.10.10.0-0.00.20.40.1

Returns

DHILENPHMNVRTOLKBHMedian
NameD.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Toll Bro.KB Home  
1M Rtn5.3%-0.7%4.3%2.6%1.8%3.0%2.8%
3M Rtn-16.9%-14.9%-11.6%-12.9%-7.8%-7.6%-12.2%
6M Rtn25.0%10.3%23.5%4.2%24.8%18.8%21.2%
12M Rtn-2.7%-24.9%-0.8%-16.9%-10.9%-19.2%-13.9%
3Y Rtn83.9%42.4%191.6%60.0%187.8%110.2%97.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.1%-1.6%3.1%1.5%0.8%1.4%1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-19.2%-16.9%-13.8%-15.3%-10.9%-10.1%-14.5%
6M Excs Rtn11.0%-3.7%9.5%-9.8%10.8%4.8%7.2%
12M Excs Rtn-16.9%-39.1%-15.2%-30.3%-24.4%-32.9%-27.3%
3Y Excs Rtn13.1%-25.0%115.7%-11.0%122.0%35.9%24.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Homebuilding27,48124,70022,28518,93215,221
Rental3,1232,8602,697865 
Financial Services2,9572,9803,0062,2351,726
Forestar2,8402,4712,3432,1021,740
Eliminations and Other-297-42920-118 
Eliminations and Other Adjustments    -155
Other    379
Total36,10432,58230,35124,01618,912


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,068,147
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202510.2%
Average Daily Volume2,568,870
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.70
Basic Shares Quantity295,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-3.2%-8.7%-2.4%
7/22/202517.0%11.4%28.4%
4/17/20253.2%7.2%7.3%
1/21/20252.2%0.2%-10.2%
10/29/2024-7.2%-5.3%-6.2%
7/18/20240.2%-0.4%2.8%
4/18/20240.1%0.3%3.8%
1/23/2024-2.7%0.1%1.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151714
# Negative10811
Median Positive3.1%3.7%6.7%
Median Negative-2.8%-1.1%-4.6%
Max Positive17.0%11.4%29.1%
Max Negative-7.2%-8.7%-10.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251119202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024123202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023124202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231117202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023724202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023424202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022125202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221118202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022722202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021