Tearsheet

Coty (COTY)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $3.21 | Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Personal Care Products

Coty (COTY)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $3.21
Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Personal Care Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.6%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.6%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

COTY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate -24.8% stock movement for Coty (COTY) from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025: 1. Coty reported weak fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 results on August 21, 2025, showing significant year-over-year revenue decreases in both its Prestige and Consumer Beauty segments.

2. The company's financial performance was negatively impacted by ongoing retailer inventory reduction, or "destocking," which was highlighted during its earnings call.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
COTY Return-37%50%-18%45%-44%-52%-70%
Peers Return38%66%0%36%-17%-8%139%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
COTY Win Rate33%67%50%50%17%25% 
Peers Win Rate58%70%47%58%43%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
COTY Max Drawdown-76%-10%-43%0%-44%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-6%-41%-24%-36%-44% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EL, ELF, ULTA, IPAR, BBWI. See COTY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCOTYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven265 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-78.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven359.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven926 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-71.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven252.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to BRBR, HLF, EPC, NUS, MED


In The Past

Coty's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 83.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Coty (COTY)

Better Bets than Coty (COTY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to COTY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Coty

Peers to compare with:

Financials

COTYELELFULTAIPARBBWIMedian
NameCoty Estee La.e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Interpar.Bath & B. 
Mkt Price3.22104.1076.36601.5984.2020.0580.28
Mkt Cap2.837.54.524.52.75.34.9
Rev LTM5,79914,3261,38611,9821,4647,3546,576
Op Inc LTM4761,1411361,5862831,205809
FCF LTM2996701421,042142946484
FCF 3Y Avg3241849196189789254
CFO LTM4901,2721721,3592061,180835
CFO 3Y Avg5451,7881051,3491481,047796

Growth & Margins

COTYELELFULTAIPARBBWIMedian
NameCoty Estee La.e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Interpar.Bath & B. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.7%-8.2%13.8%5.5%3.1%-1.0%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.1%-6.8%47.9%7.3%14.7%-1.5%5.2%
Rev Chg Q-5.6%-11.9%14.2%12.9%1.2%-1.0%0.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.6%-3.1%3.2%2.8%0.3%-0.2%0.1%
Op Mgn LTM8.2%8.0%9.8%13.2%19.3%16.4%11.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.4%9.7%12.5%14.0%19.2%16.8%13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-1.1%-1.8%-0.4%0.1%-0.7%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM8.5%8.9%12.4%11.3%14.1%16.0%11.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%11.6%9.8%11.8%10.5%14.2%11.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.2%4.7%10.2%8.7%9.7%12.9%9.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%1.4%8.7%8.4%6.3%10.7%7.3%

Valuation

COTYELELFULTAIPARBBWIMedian
NameCoty Estee La.e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Interpar.Bath & B. 
Mkt Cap2.837.54.524.52.75.34.9
P/S0.62.23.22.02.20.72.1
P/EBIT-23.2-46.555.8-11.2--6.0
P/E-9.2-28.154.520.619.27.613.4
P/CFO7.225.025.918.015.34.516.7
Total Yield-10.9%-3.6%1.8%4.9%8.4%16.4%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.2%3.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.3%1.0%1.3%-2.5%-1.9%
D/E1.20.30.1-0.1-0.2
Net D/E1.10.20.1-0.0-0.1

Returns

COTYELELFULTAIPARBBWIMedian
NameCoty Estee La.e.l.f. B.Ulta Bea.Interpar.Bath & B. 
1M Rtn-8.0%18.5%3.9%13.6%-3.7%-7.7%0.1%
3M Rtn-21.3%24.9%-43.5%16.9%-20.5%-25.4%-20.9%
6M Rtn-31.9%55.8%-39.0%31.0%-37.6%-18.9%-25.4%
12M Rtn-57.1%32.4%-45.7%41.8%-36.9%-45.8%-41.3%
3Y Rtn-59.3%-54.3%37.6%32.2%-3.9%-48.2%-26.1%
1M Excs Rtn-14.2%13.9%-1.4%12.7%-4.6%-9.0%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-25.8%16.3%-50.3%11.1%-23.9%-26.5%-24.9%
6M Excs Rtn-46.2%41.6%-53.3%16.8%-51.9%-33.1%-39.6%
12M Excs Rtn-71.6%15.2%-57.6%32.9%-50.8%-59.4%-54.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-132.4%-126.3%-33.4%-48.2%-80.9%-123.3%-102.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Prestige3,8573,4203,2682,721 
Consumer Beauty2,2612,1342,0361,909 
Corporate0    
Body Care and Other    632
Color Cosmetics    1,467
Fragrances    2,618
Total6,1185,5545,3044,6304,718


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Prestige581484367158 
Consumer Beauty89631027 
Corporate-123-3-136-234 
Total547544241-49 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,945,626
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.6%
Average Daily Volume5,180,506
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.82
Basic Shares Quantity872,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-1.6%-0.3%-11.6%
8/20/2025-21.6%-13.6%-15.4%
5/6/2025-11.6%-1.7%-5.4%
2/10/2025-9.3%-16.5%-18.5%
11/6/2024-2.4%-0.7%2.4%
8/20/20246.3%0.2%-1.5%
5/6/2024-3.5%-2.9%-12.1%
2/7/2024-2.5%-4.6%4.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91110
# Negative141213
Median Positive10.6%8.9%8.0%
Median Negative-5.4%-8.0%-8.2%
Max Positive22.2%32.6%123.1%
Max Negative-21.6%-28.5%-18.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025821202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024820202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023822202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022825202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Ballini Beatrice 11182025Sell7.907,00055,300 Form