Allegiant Travel (ALGT)
Market Price (5/10/2026): $83.01 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines
Allegiant Travel (ALGT)
Market Price (5/10/2026): $83.01Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Passenger Airlines
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -102% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6% Key risksALGT key risks include [1] its high dependence on fragile leisure travel demand, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6% |
| Key risksALGT key risks include [1] its high dependence on fragile leisure travel demand, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Weak Second Quarter 2026 Guidance: Allegiant provided second quarter 2026 earnings per share (EPS) guidance ranging from -$1.00 to $0.00, significantly below analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.24. This negative outlook for the upcoming quarter, despite strong first-quarter performance, likely generated investor concern.
2. Elevated Fuel Costs: The company reported that its fuel costs averaged $3.04 per gallon in the first quarter of 2026, surpassing its earlier guidance of approximately $2.60 per gallon, which put unexpected pressure on profit margins.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.3% change in ALGT stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -7.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 88.63 | 83.01 | -6.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,578 | 2,640 | 2.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.6 | -7.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 18 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALGT | -6.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 54.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.0% | 62.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.5% change in ALGT stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.18 | 83.01 | 33.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,578 | 2,640 | 2.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.6 | 31.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 18 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALGT | 33.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 43.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 12.4% | 50.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 76.9% change in ALGT stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 70.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 46.93 | 83.01 | 76.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,513 | 2,640 | 5.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.6 | 70.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 18 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 76.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALGT | 76.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 48.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 33.8% | 52.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.3% change in ALGT stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 100.43 | 83.01 | -17.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,302 | 2,640 | 14.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.6 | -26.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 18 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALGT | -17.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 46.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 81.1% | 53.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALGT Return | -1% | -64% | 23% | 16% | -9% | -4% | -55% |
| Peers Return | -13% | -32% | -17% | 30% | -15% | 5% | -42% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALGT Win Rate | 33% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 40% | 42% | 60% | 48% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALGT Max Drawdown | -14% | -66% | -16% | -55% | -57% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -40% | -38% | -28% | -46% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ULCC, SNCY, LUV, JBLU, ALK. See ALGT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALGT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 235 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -23.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.1% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -12.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 18 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 248 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -18.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.1% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 18 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1854 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Allegiant Travel's stock fell -52.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 109.6% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | ALGT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 235 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -23.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.1% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 18 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 248 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1854 days | 62 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.1% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.6% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Allegiant Travel's stock fell -52.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 109.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Allegiant Travel (ALGT)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Allegiant Travel (ALGT):
- Think of it as a budget version of Southwest Airlines, but exclusively focused on flying vacationers from smaller, regional airports directly to leisure destinations.
- It's like the Dollar General of airlines, connecting smaller communities directly to vacation spots with a focus on low fares and travel packages.
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- Scheduled Air Transportation: Provides limited-frequency, nonstop flights connecting under-served cities to leisure destinations.
- Ancillary Air Services: Offers additional services and products related to air travel, such as baggage fees, seat assignments, priority boarding, and in-flight purchases.
- Third-Party Travel Products: Sells bundled travel components including hotel rooms, rental cars, and hotel shuttle products.
- Charter and Fixed-Fee Air Services: Delivers air transportation services via fixed-fee agreements and ad-hoc charter flights.
- Golf Course Operations: Manages and operates a golf course.
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Allegiant Travel (ALGT) primarily sells its services and products to individuals.
The company serves the following categories of customers:
- Leisure Travelers from Under-served Cities: Individuals residing in smaller, under-served U.S. cities who are seeking affordable, non-stop air transportation to popular leisure destinations.
- Vacation Package Purchasers: Customers who bundle their air travel with third-party products such as hotel rooms, rental cars, and hotel shuttles, looking for convenient and potentially cost-effective vacation packages.
- Groups and Businesses Requiring Charter Services: Organizations, sports teams, or other groups that utilize Allegiant's air transportation services through fixed-fee agreements or ad-hoc charter flights for their specific travel needs.
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Gregory C. Anderson, Chief Executive Officer
Gregory C. Anderson was promoted to Chief Executive Officer of Allegiant Travel Company in September 2024, and he has served as President since August 2022. Prior to his CEO appointment, he served as Chief Financial Officer from April 2019 until January 2023, and as Executive Vice President from April 2019 until August 2022. He also held roles as Principal Accounting Officer from 2015 until January 2021 and Senior Vice President, Treasury from 2017 to 2019. Mr. Anderson joined Allegiant in 2010 in the accounting department. Before joining Allegiant, he worked in corporate accounting for U.S. Airways and in public accounting for Ernst & Young. He is a Certified Public Accountant.
Robert J. Neal, President and Chief Financial Officer
Robert J. Neal serves as President and Chief Financial Officer of Allegiant Travel Company, appointed President in November 2025 while retaining his CFO duties. He became Chief Financial Officer in January 2023. Mr. Neal has been with Allegiant since 2007, progressing through various increasingly senior roles, including Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance from February 2021 to January 2023, and Vice President, Fleet Planning and Corporate Finance from 2016 to February 2021. He has been instrumental in strengthening Allegiant's position in leisure travel and has led significant financial and strategic initiatives, including capital-planning efforts, fleet planning, and cost structure optimization. Mr. Neal holds a Bachelor of Science degree from the University of Nevada, Las Vegas.
Maurice J. Gallagher, Jr., Chairman of the Board
Maurice J. Gallagher, Jr. has been actively involved in the management of Allegiant Travel Company since becoming its majority owner and joining the board of directors in 2001. He served as Chief Executive Officer from 2003 until June 2022, and again from September 2023 to September 2024, and was designated Chairman of the Board in 2006. Mr. Gallagher was one of the founders of ValuJet Airlines, Inc., which was the predecessor of AirTran Airways (later acquired by Southwest Airlines), and he served as an officer and director of ValuJet from its inception in 1993 until 1997. From 1983 until 1992, he was a principal owner and executive of WestAir Commuter Airlines, which was acquired by Mesa Air in May 1992. Additionally, Mr. Gallagher founded and held leadership positions at Mpower Communications, a telecommunications company that went public in 1998.
Drew A. Wells, Chief Commercial Officer
Drew A. Wells was promoted to Chief Commercial Officer in September 2024. In this role, he is responsible for leading efforts to grow the network and ensure its long-term success. Prior to this, he was Senior Vice President, Revenue from February 2021. Mr. Wells has been with Allegiant for over ten years, having worked on both the finance and fleet teams before joining the revenue team.
Tyler J. Hollingsworth, Senior Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
Tyler J. Hollingsworth was appointed Allegiant's interim Chief Operating Officer in 2025. He oversees and manages the airline's day-to-day operations and collaborates with the leadership team on strategic goals. Mr. Hollingsworth began his career as a pilot for Allegiant in 2010, flying until 2014. He then moved into management, serving as the Director of Training, and later as Senior Vice President of Flight Crew Operations, where he led teams overseeing the Operation Control Center, Flight Operations, and Inflight Operations.
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Here are the key risks to Allegiant Travel (ALGT):Key Business Risks for Allegiant Travel (ALGT)
- Challenges with the Sunseeker Resort Project: Allegiant Travel's diversification into the hospitality sector with its Sunseeker Resort at Charlotte Harbor poses a significant risk. The resort has experienced substantial pre-opening losses, reporting a $30 million loss in 2023, which has weighed on the company's overall results. There are concerns that this project could divert capital and management focus away from the core airline business and may not meet performance expectations, potentially straining Allegiant's financial resources.
- Intensified Competition and Revenue Growth Struggles: Allegiant faces increasing competition in the leisure travel market, particularly as major airlines have shifted towards a more leisure-focused approach. The company has struggled with consistent revenue growth, even with increased capacity. This has led to deteriorating load factors, shrinking yield measures, and a downward trend in total revenue per seat mile, indicating pressure on its pricing power and ability to fill seats profitably.
- Volatility of Operating Costs (Fuel and Labor): As an airline, Allegiant is highly susceptible to the volatility of key operating expenses, especially fuel and labor costs. Unpredictable spikes in jet fuel prices can quickly erode profit margins, and the industry has been experiencing significant increases in labor costs, further impacting the company's bottom-line growth.
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Allegiant Travel Company's main products and services operate within significant addressable markets in the United States.
U.S. Domestic Leisure Air Travel Market
Allegiant's core business of providing scheduled air transportation for leisure travelers in the United States targets the broad U.S. domestic leisure travel market. This market is projected to reach approximately $895 billion in spending in 2025.
U.S. Packaged Travel Market
Allegiant also offers third-party travel products, such as hotel rooms and ground transportation, which falls under the U.S. packaged travel market. The USA Travel Agency Services Industry, which includes such packaged travel, is estimated at $35 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $86 billion in 2025.
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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic initiatives and operational enhancements. These key drivers leverage the company's established model of serving under-served cities with leisure-focused travel services.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Allegiant Travel:
- Growth in Ancillary Revenue: Allegiant continues to emphasize and expand its high-margin ancillary revenue streams. This includes ongoing growth from baggage fees, advance seat assignments, travel protection products, priority boarding, and food and beverage purchases. Notably, the Allegiant Extra premium seating product and the co-branded Allegiant Allways Visa credit card program are significant contributors, with ancillary revenue per passenger reaching a record high in the first quarter of 2025.
- Strategic Acquisition of Sun Country Airlines: The recently announced agreement to acquire Sun Country Airlines is a pivotal growth driver. This acquisition is anticipated to bolster Allegiant's position within the leisure travel market, diversify revenue streams through the addition of cargo and charter operations, and generate substantial annual synergies. The company views this as a strategic move to create long-term value and aims to build the leading leisure carrier in the U.S.
- Fleet Modernization and Optimization with MAX Aircraft: The integration and growing contribution of more fuel-efficient MAX aircraft into Allegiant's fleet are expected to drive improved unit economics. These aircraft offer better fuel burn advantages and can lead to increased utilization, particularly on peak days, thereby optimizing operational efficiency and contributing meaningfully to revenue.
- Network Expansion and Route Development: Allegiant has identified significant opportunities for further network expansion, with over 1,400 additional domestic routes that align with its existing successful offerings. This strategic route development allows the company to stimulate demand in new under-served markets, thereby extending its reach and customer base.
- Enhanced Commercial Initiatives and Technology Platforms: The company is focused on implementing enhanced capabilities and new commercial initiatives designed to improve unit revenue. This includes transitioning to modern technology platforms to optimize booking experiences, which is expected to drive increased revenues and customer engagement.
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Outbound Investments
- Allegiant Travel announced an agreement to acquire Sun Country Airlines in a cash and stock transaction on January 11, 2026.
- The deal is valued at $1.5 billion.
- Sun Country shareholders are to receive $4.10 in cash plus 0.1557 shares of Allegiant stock for each share of Sun Country they own.
Share Issuance
- As part of the Sun Country Airlines merger agreement announced in January 2026, Allegiant will issue shares of its common stock to Sun Country shareholders.
Capital Expenditures
- Estimated full-year capital expenditures for 2025 are approximately $435 million, primarily allocated towards integrating the new 737 MAX fleet.
- Capital expenditures totaled $334.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, and $274.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024.
- For the fourth quarter of 2025, capital expenditures were $56.7 million, with $35.9 million for aircraft-related capital expenditures.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ALGT.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04172026 | RSG | Republic Services | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.1% |
| 04102026 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -1.0% |
| 09302023 | ALGT | Allegiant Travel | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.4% | -29.2% | -51.3% |
| 05312022 | ALGT | Allegiant Travel | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -46.3% | -34.8% | -57.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 6,483 |
| Op Inc LTM | 156 |
| FCF LTM | -439 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -290 |
| CFO LTM | 318 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 280 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -36.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/Op Inc | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | 12.7 |
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/CFO | 3.5 |
| Total Yield | -0.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.9% |
| D/E | 1.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -22.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 35.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -10.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -29.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 16.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 13.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -94.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $83.03 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/08/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -27.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $82.55 | $75.99 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 0.6% | 9.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 61.2% | 63.0% |
| Downside Capture | 1.71 | 1.04 |
| Upside Capture | 121.09 | 194.63 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 57.0% | 46.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.15 | 2.55 | 2.46 | 2.24 | 2.44 | 1.75 |
| Up Beta | 3.20 | 3.06 | 3.71 | 2.62 | 3.16 | 2.06 |
| Down Beta | 6.59 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 1.85 | 2.14 | 1.58 |
| Up Capture | 107% | 137% | 199% | 323% | 392% | 287% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 16 | 26 | 56 | 117 | 356 |
| Down Capture | 794% | 304% | 215% | 169% | 163% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 27 | 37 | 68 | 133 | 394 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALGT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGT | 73.2% | 63.4% | 1.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 31.0% | 15.6% | 1.53 | 51.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 46.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -24.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 39.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 26.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALGT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGT | -17.2% | 53.9% | -0.15 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.7% | 17.4% | 0.57 | 54.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 49.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 4.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 42.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 23.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALGT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGT | -4.7% | 50.8% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.9% | 20.0% | 0.61 | 57.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 51.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 11.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 47.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 14.9% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/30/2026 | -0.8% | 8.6% | |
| 2/4/2026 | -0.4% | 9.5% | -20.4% |
| 11/4/2025 | 25.1% | 15.0% | 42.4% |
| 8/4/2025 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 35.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | 3.7% | 18.1% | 11.1% |
| 2/4/2025 | -15.3% | -13.6% | -36.7% |
| 10/30/2024 | 3.3% | 17.3% | 30.0% |
| 7/31/2024 | -11.1% | -30.2% | -24.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 17 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 8.6% | 24.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -7.8% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 25.1% | 18.1% | 46.1% |
| Max Negative | -15.3% | -30.2% | -36.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted Operating Margin | 12.0% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 22.7% | 2.5% | Raised | Guidance: 11.0% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted Earnings Per Share | 2.5 | 3 | 3.5 | 50.0% | Raised | Guidance: 2 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Earnings Per Share | 8 | 83.9% | Raised | Guidance: 4.35 for 2025 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 System ASMs - year over year change | 0.1 | ||||||
| Q4 2025 Scheduled service ASMs - year over year change | 0.1 | ||||||
| Q4 2025 Fuel cost per gallon | 2.55 | ||||||
| Q4 2025 Adjusted operating margin | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | ||||
| Q4 2025 Adjusted earnings per share | 1.5 | 2 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2025 Adjusted airline-only earnings per share | 4.35 | 33.8% | Raised | Guidance: 3.25 for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Adjusted consolidated earnings per share | 3 | 33.3% | Raised | Guidance: 2.25 for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Interest expense | 135.00 Mil | 140.00 Mil | 145.00 Mil | -3.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 145.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Interest income | 35.00 Mil | 40.00 Mil | 45.00 Mil | 14.3% | Raised | Guidance: 35.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Recurring principal payments | 140.00 Mil | 145.00 Mil | 150.00 Mil | -12.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 165.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gallagher, Maurice J JR | Executive Chairman | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 113.52 | 18,757 | 2,129,276 | 214,249,858 | Form |
| 2 | Gallagher, Maurice J JR | Executive Chairman | See footnote | Sell | 2102026 | 114.00 | 861 | 98,154 | 17,100,000 | Form |
| 3 | Gallagher, Maurice J JR | Executive Chairman | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 114.81 | 56,243 | 6,457,450 | 218,846,396 | Form |
| 4 | Gallagher, Maurice J JR | Executive Chairman | See footnote | Sell | 2102026 | 115.50 | 49,139 | 5,675,486 | 17,424,236 | Form |
| 5 | Gallagher, Maurice J JR | Executive Chairman | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 114.23 | 175,000 | 19,990,890 | 224,166,189 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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