Tearsheet

Allegiant Travel (ALGT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $79.68 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Allegiant Travel (ALGT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $79.68
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 107%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -31%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 107%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -31%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALGT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Allegiant Travel (ALGT) experienced a significant upward movement, with a 25% share price jump in the month leading up to December 3, 2025. While the exact 27.5% figure for the specified period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, isn't precisely matched by a single source, the 25% increase over the last month (leading to December 3, 2025) provides a strong indication of positive momentum in that approximate timeframe. Here are five key points contributing to Allegiant Travel's stock movement: **1. Strong Passenger Growth:** Allegiant Travel reported a substantial 27.4% increase in passenger traffic for October 2025, compared to the same month the previous year. This growth was across its system, with revenue passenger miles also rising by 25.8% for scheduled services. This significant boost in passenger numbers suggests robust demand for Allegiant's leisure travel offerings.

**2. Improved Load Factor:** Accompanying the passenger growth, Allegiant's load factor—the percentage of available seating capacity that is filled with passengers—improved by 3.4 percentage points, reaching 81.9% in October 2025. A higher load factor indicates more efficient use of its aircraft and capacity, contributing positively to profitability.

**3. Strategic Route Expansions:** In November 2025, Allegiant announced the addition of 30 new nonstop routes, entering four new markets. Such expansions can broaden the airline's reach, attract new customers, and increase revenue streams by tapping into underserved cities.

**4. Positive Market Sentiment and Analyst Outlook:** Despite some mixed signals in its financial health, analyst sentiment has been moderately positive, with some maintaining a "Buy" rating due to Allegiant's strong balance sheet and unique market position. The stock's recent performance has also led to a slightly above average MarketRank™ score, indicating favorable market perception within the transportation sector.

**5. Robust Revenue Growth and Ancillary Income:** Allegiant has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with a reported 3-year revenue growth rate of 12.4%. The company's unique business model, which includes robust ancillary income from fees and vacation packages, continues to drive revenue, as seen in Q1 2025 revenues exceeding $650 million. This diversification helps to absorb shocks and sets it apart from pure-play airline stocks.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALGT Return9%-1%-64%23%16%-18%-54%
Peers Return-23%-2%-32%56%46%-8%8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALGT Win Rate58%33%25%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate33%33%31%42%48%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALGT Max Drawdown-62%-14%-66%-16%-55%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-9%-37%-12%-8%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SKYW, JBLU, CAKR, RJET, DAL. See ALGT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALGTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven371.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven210 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days1480 days

Compare to SKYW, JBLU, CAKR, RJET, DAL


In The Past

Allegiant Travel's stock fell -78.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -78.8% loss requires a 371.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Allegiant Travel (ALGT)

Better Bets than Allegiant Travel (ALGT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALGT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
ALGT_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.4%-29.2%-51.3%
ALGT_5312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312022ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-46.3%-34.8%-57.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
ALGT_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302023ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.4%-29.2%-51.3%
ALGT_5312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312022ALGTAllegiant TravelDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-46.3%-34.8%-57.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Allegiant Travel

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALGTSKYWJBLUCAKRRJETDALMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai. 
Mkt Price79.91103.244.71-19.0167.4967.49
Mkt Cap1.44.21.7--43.82.9
Rev LTM2,5783,9789,095-1,35362,9203,978
Op Inc LTM154628-222-2586,072258
FCF LTM9319-1,354-1383,074138
FCF 3Y Avg-44374-1,156--1231,835-44
CFO LTM362895-160-2227,976362
CFO 3Y Avg373758153-2457,253373

Growth & Margins

ALGTSKYWJBLUCAKRRJETDALMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai. 
Rev Chg LTM3.3%19.3%-2.5%-3.7%4.3%3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.8%9.4%2.3%--0.1%10.8%5.8%
Rev Chg Q-0.0%15.0%-1.8%-30.9%6.4%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%3.6%-0.5%-7.4%1.6%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM6.0%15.8%-2.4%-19.1%9.7%9.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.3%9.5%-1.0%-12.2%9.5%9.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.5%-0.9%-2.1%0.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM14.0%22.5%-1.8%-16.4%12.7%14.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%22.4%1.5%-18.1%12.1%14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM0.3%8.0%-14.9%-10.2%4.9%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.7%11.2%-12.4%--9.2%3.0%-1.7%

Valuation

ALGTSKYWJBLUCAKRRJETDALMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai. 
Mkt Cap1.44.21.7--43.82.9
P/S0.41.00.2--0.60.5
P/EBIT-4.36.0-28.0--5.60.6
P/E-3.79.3-3.8--8.02.1
P/CFO3.04.5-11.2--4.63.8
Total Yield-26.7%10.7%-26.2%--13.2%-7.7%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.6%13.4%-60.1%--5.7%1.0%
D/E1.90.65.3--0.61.3
Net D/E1.10.43.8--0.50.8

Returns

ALGTSKYWJBLUCAKRRJETDALMedian
NameAllegian.SkyWest JetBlue .Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai. 
1M Rtn29.0%2.7%12.7%--15.4%14.0%
3M Rtn21.4%-15.7%-13.6%--10.5%-1.5%
6M Rtn41.7%2.6%-6.4%--38.7%20.6%
12M Rtn1.1%-8.0%-22.3%--9.2%-3.4%
3Y Rtn0.9%469.8%-40.7%--94.3%47.6%
1M Excs Rtn29.1%2.7%12.7%--15.4%14.1%
3M Excs Rtn19.0%-19.7%-12.8%--6.5%-3.2%
6M Excs Rtn27.0%-12.1%-21.1%--24.0%5.9%
12M Excs Rtn-15.9%-23.6%-34.7%---6.5%-19.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.5%403.6%-111.4%--32.0%-17.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline4,2134,0473,8723,2152,830
Sunseeker65646411937133
Other non- airline   847
Total4,8694,5113,9913,2593,011


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,868,801
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.0%
Average Daily Volume403,459
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.63
Basic Shares Quantity18,050,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Morgan Sandra Douglass 10302025Sell65.0035022,750711,750Form