Tearsheet

Zeo Energy (ZEO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.965 | Market Cap: $26.4 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Zeo Energy (ZEO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.965
Market Cap: $26.4 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 1.0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 64%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 178%
6   Key risks
ZEO key risks include [1] regulatory non-compliance leading to a potential Nasdaq delisting and a securities fraud investigation, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 1.0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -19 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 64%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 178%
8 Key risks
ZEO key risks include [1] regulatory non-compliance leading to a potential Nasdaq delisting and a securities fraud investigation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ZEO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Zeo Energy's stock movement by -40.4% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Challenging Residential Solar Market Conditions

2. Weak Nine-Month Financial Performance Despite Q3 Improvements

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ZEO Return4%9%-70%-69%
Peers Return331%11%9%-5%-9%30%479%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ZEO Win Rate83%92%42%25% 
Peers Win Rate72%55%48%42%45%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ZEO Max Drawdown-0%-0%-90%-72% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-26%-38%-42%-43%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSLA, NEE, FSLR, ENPH, SEDG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventZEOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-4.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven340 days464 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

Zeo Energy's stock fell -4.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2022. A -4.3% loss requires a 4.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Zeo Energy (ZEO)

Better Bets than Zeo Energy (ZEO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Zeo Energy Earnings Notes 
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0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ZEO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Zeo Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ZEOTSLANEEFSLRENPHSEDGMedian
NameZeo Ener.Tesla NextEra .First So.Enphase .SolarEdg. 
Mkt Price0.98467.2680.29254.0331.6128.9255.95
Mkt Cap0.01,507.8165.827.24.11.715.7
Rev LTM6995,63326,2984,3431,5121,0452,928
Op Inc LTM-194,8687,4041,362207-471784
FCF LTM-96,8343,073-94321763140
FCF 3Y Avg-34,7192,421-557454-229225
CFO LTM-815,74811,96729925689278
CFO 3Y Avg-214,13011,847762518-110640

Growth & Margins

ZEOTSLANEEFSLRENPHSEDGMedian
NameZeo Ener.Tesla NextEra .First So.Enphase .SolarEdg. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.5%-1.6%0.2%15.4%21.0%2.4%1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.3%11.4%20.6%0.5%-13.6%9.3%
Rev Chg Q21.6%11.6%5.3%8.6%7.8%44.5%10.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.5%3.1%1.5%2.0%2.0%11.1%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-28.1%5.1%28.2%31.3%13.7%-45.1%9.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-11.8%8.3%31.5%22.9%12.9%-57.7%10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.4%-1.1%-1.4%-0.9%0.9%95.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-11.0%16.5%45.5%6.9%16.9%8.6%12.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.2%14.7%44.6%21.7%27.1%-12.5%18.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-12.7%7.1%11.7%-21.7%14.4%6.0%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.3%4.9%9.3%-14.8%23.7%-19.9%-0.2%

Valuation

ZEOTSLANEEFSLRENPHSEDGMedian
NameZeo Ener.Tesla NextEra .First So.Enphase .SolarEdg. 
Mkt Cap0.01,507.8165.827.24.11.715.7
P/S0.515.05.95.43.12.14.3
P/EBIT-205.920.717.119.1-3.219.1
P/E-3.0282.624.018.823.7-3.921.2
P/CFO-4.891.113.079.118.124.521.3
Total Yield-32.1%0.4%7.1%5.3%4.2%-25.6%2.3%
Dividend Yield1.7%0.0%2.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.5%1.3%-2.6%3.9%-15.8%0.5%
D/E-0.00.60.00.30.20.2
Net D/E--0.00.6-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

Returns

ZEOTSLANEEFSLRENPHSEDGMedian
NameZeo Ener.Tesla NextEra .First So.Enphase .SolarEdg. 
1M Rtn-30.3%14.3%-5.7%0.2%14.8%-15.6%-2.8%
3M Rtn-13.0%9.7%15.0%20.6%-18.4%-15.2%-1.6%
6M Rtn-68.1%45.1%13.8%76.8%-13.1%70.3%29.5%
12M Rtn-46.8%-2.6%14.6%34.9%-56.9%101.3%6.0%
3Y Rtn-90.5%211.0%4.1%63.8%-89.6%-91.0%-42.7%
1M Excs Rtn-31.0%13.5%-6.5%-0.5%14.1%-16.3%-3.5%
3M Excs Rtn2.1%10.7%12.8%19.8%-19.1%-18.0%6.4%
6M Excs Rtn-80.5%32.7%1.4%64.4%-25.5%57.9%17.1%
12M Excs Rtn-72.4%-4.0%1.4%16.1%-68.3%105.6%-1.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-158.9%110.0%-67.2%0.6%-158.6%-159.2%-112.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Business of sales and installation of solar panel technology to individual households within the16 
Total16 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity229,898
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202535.8%
Average Daily Volume66,339
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.47
Basic Shares Quantity27,307,260
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/27/2025-1.9%52.8%100.0%
8/20/20241.8%-2.5%16.1%
3/20/20240.7%-4.2%-18.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive212
# Negative121
Median Positive1.2%52.8%58.0%
Median Negative-1.9%-3.3%-18.5%
Max Positive1.8%52.8%100.0%
Max Negative-1.9%-4.2%-18.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025616202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024528202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024123202510-Q 9/30/2024
6302024819202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024516202410-Q 3/31/2024
6302023123202510-Q/A 6/30/2023
3312023123202510-Q/A 3/31/2023
123120222062024S-4/A 12/31/2022