Tearsheet

Block (XYZ)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $65.36 | Market Cap: $39.9 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Block (XYZ)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $65.36
Market Cap: $39.9 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XYZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 15, 2025, Block's stock (symbol: XYZ) experienced a decline of 18.7% due to several key factors.

1. Block's Q3 2025 Earnings Missed Analyst Expectations: The company's third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.54 fell short of the forecasted $0.63, and revenue of $6.11 billion also missed the anticipated $6.33 billion. This performance, announced on November 6, 2025, led to a stock decline, with shares falling nearly 10% in early trading following the report.

2. Intensifying Competition in the Fintech Industry: Block faced increasing competition across the digital payments and consumer finance sectors, contributing to its stock's underperformance compared to peers. As of December 9, 2025, Block's shares were down 28.1% year-to-date, partly attributed to this intensifying competition.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XYZ Return248%-26%-61%23%10%-25%2%
Peers Return-53%169%30%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XYZ Win Rate83%50%42%42%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate43%37%65%52%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XYZ Max Drawdown-39%-27%-68%-38%-26%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-58%-9%-24%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PYPL, FI, GPN, AFRM, COIN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXYZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven618.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven125.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven74 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven546 days120 days

Compare to MA, V, GPN, WU, PYPL


In The Past

Block's stock fell -86.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/5/2021. A -86.1% loss requires a 618.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Block (XYZ)

Better Bets than Block (XYZ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to XYZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Block

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XYZPYPLFIGPNAFRMCOINMedian
NameBlock PayPal Fiserv Global P.Affirm Coinbase. 
Mkt Price64.7561.66-82.0567.25267.4667.25
Mkt Cap39.558.635.119.723.468.337.3
Rev LTM23,97432,86221,11210,6803,4597,00815,896
Op Inc LTM2,3086,2966,3442,1115401,8902,209
FCF LTM1,8325,5655,1572,8667691,8072,349
FCF 3Y Avg1,1155,2654,1292,2323617971,674
CFO LTM1,9736,4266,7723,5009721,8072,736
CFO 3Y Avg1,2715,9725,6402,8775278282,074

Growth & Margins

XYZPYPLFIGPNAFRMCOINMedian
NameBlock PayPal Fiserv Global P.Affirm Coinbase. 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%4.5%6.7%21.0%37.0%48.6%13.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.6%6.7%7.5%6.8%34.4%23.3%10.0%
Rev Chg Q2.3%7.3%8.0%0.5%33.6%3.3%5.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%1.8%2.0%0.1%7.3%0.7%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM9.6%19.2%30.0%19.8%15.6%27.0%19.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.9%17.9%26.7%19.8%-13.4%2.9%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.1%0.7%-0.1%5.1%-6.0%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM8.2%19.6%32.1%32.8%28.1%25.8%26.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%19.0%28.4%29.7%17.8%10.6%18.4%
FCF/Rev LTM7.6%16.9%24.4%26.8%22.2%25.8%23.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%16.8%20.7%23.0%11.2%9.6%14.0%

Valuation

XYZPYPLFIGPNAFRMCOINMedian
NameBlock PayPal Fiserv Global P.Affirm Coinbase. 
Mkt Cap39.558.635.119.723.468.337.3
P/S1.81.93.41.97.412.32.7
P/EBIT21.59.811.56.937.824.216.5
P/E14.113.021.011.4109.230.117.5
P/CFO22.49.910.55.726.247.716.4
Total Yield7.1%7.7%4.8%10.0%0.9%3.3%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%7.5%5.3%9.4%1.6%0.5%4.1%
D/E0.20.20.40.80.30.10.2
Net D/E-0.10.00.40.70.2-0.10.1

Returns

XYZPYPLFIGPNAFRMCOINMedian
NameBlock PayPal Fiserv Global P.Affirm Coinbase. 
1M Rtn7.1%-1.8%-11.1%-4.6%-5.8%-1.8%
3M Rtn-11.1%-7.6%--3.6%-19.1%-17.2%-11.1%
6M Rtn5.2%-12.7%-10.6%13.8%10.2%10.2%
12M Rtn-29.6%-32.1%--27.3%-4.9%-13.9%-27.3%
3Y Rtn-1.7%-11.4%--11.0%548.5%604.2%-1.7%
1M Excs Rtn-1.2%-7.9%-6.7%-14.5%-11.7%-7.9%
3M Excs Rtn-16.4%-11.1%--5.4%-28.0%-21.4%-16.4%
6M Excs Rtn-9.1%-27.0%--3.6%-0.5%-4.0%-4.0%
12M Excs Rtn-44.3%-43.5%--41.3%-11.7%-24.7%-41.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.5%-90.5%--87.8%419.5%474.7%-67.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Cash App14,68211,03212,3155,9681,106
Square7,0336,2945,1933,5293,462
Corporate and Other201206152  
Caviar revenue    146
Total21,91617,53217,6619,4984,714


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,709,734
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.8%
Average Daily Volume9,978,575
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.18
Basic Shares Quantity610,199,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-7.7%-12.2% 
8/7/2025-4.5%-1.1%-1.3%
5/1/2025-20.4%-14.3%5.6%
2/20/2025-17.7%-22.6%-26.4%
11/7/2024-0.9%10.8%26.8%
8/1/20240.8%2.2%10.3%
5/2/2024-1.2%4.1%-8.5%
2/22/202416.1%16.9%18.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131212
# Negative111212
Median Positive9.6%9.6%18.0%
Median Negative-4.5%-10.2%-18.2%
Max Positive26.1%25.0%47.8%
Max Negative-20.4%-22.6%-27.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021