Xponential Fitness (XPOF)


Market Price (11/9/2026): $4.59 | Market Cap: $193.8 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities

Xponential Fitness (XPOF)


Market Price (11/9/2026): $4.59
Market Cap: $193.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Leisure Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Boutique Fitness Services, and Experiential Retail.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.28

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 262%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%

Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 29%

Key risks
XPOF key risks include [1] ongoing government probes and class-action lawsuits over alleged misrepresentation of franchisee metrics, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Boutique Fitness Services, and Experiential Retail.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.28
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 262%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 29%
8 Key risks
XPOF key risks include [1] ongoing government probes and class-action lawsuits over alleged misrepresentation of franchisee metrics, Show more.

XPOF in ETFs

Weight = XPOF's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.01%
IWO0.01%
VTWO0.01%
SCHA0.00%
IWV0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 11/5/2026

Xponential Fitness (XPOF) stock has lost about 30% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Xponential Fitness reported significantly lower-than-expected financial results for its third fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026. The company missed Wall Street's revenue expectations, with total revenue falling 21% year-on-year to $62.26 million against consensus estimates of $63.11 million. Adjusted EPS plunged 73% to $0.04, significantly below analysts' consensus estimates of $0.15. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA was $24.31 million, a 27% decrease from the prior year and slightly missing estimates. North America same-store sales also decreased by 7.5% in fiscal Q3 2026, building on a prior year decline.

2. The company's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, reported on August 6, 2026, already signaled weakness and led to reduced full-year guidance. Xponential Fitness reported an EPS of $0.02, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.13 by $0.11. While revenue of $65.97 million slightly exceeded consensus, it still represented a 13.4% year-over-year decline. Following these results, the company lowered its full-year 2026 guidance, with adjusted EBITDA expectations of $91-$97 million, which was below prior guidance and 2025 levels.

Show more
Updated on 11/5/2026

Xponential Fitness (XPOF) stock has lost about 30% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Xponential Fitness reported significantly lower-than-expected financial results for its third fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026. The company missed Wall Street's revenue expectations, with total revenue falling 21% year-on-year to $62.26 million against consensus estimates of $63.11 million. Adjusted EPS plunged 73% to $0.04, significantly below analysts' consensus estimates of $0.15. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA was $24.31 million, a 27% decrease from the prior year and slightly missing estimates. North America same-store sales also decreased by 7.5% in fiscal Q3 2026, building on a prior year decline.

2. The company's fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, reported on August 6, 2026, already signaled weakness and led to reduced full-year guidance. Xponential Fitness reported an EPS of $0.02, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.13 by $0.11. While revenue of $65.97 million slightly exceeded consensus, it still represented a 13.4% year-over-year decline. Following these results, the company lowered its full-year 2026 guidance, with adjusted EBITDA expectations of $91-$97 million, which was below prior guidance and 2025 levels.

3. Persistent operational challenges, including declining revenue streams and increasing leverage, contributed to investor concerns. The revenue decline in fiscal Q3 2026 was primarily driven by a 16% decrease in franchise revenue (due to lower revenue from franchise agreement terminations), a 92% drop in merchandise revenue (following a transition to an outsourced logistics arrangement), and a 42% decrease in equipment revenue due to fewer installations. As of September 30, 2026, the company maintained $521.1 million in total long-term debt, and concerns were raised in October 2026 about rising net leverage, cited at 5.21x.

4. Several analyst downgrades and significant price target reductions since late July 2026 negatively impacted investor sentiment. For example, on September 16, 2026, UBS cut its price target on XPOF to $4.50 from $7.00, while Guggenheim downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral, citing operational difficulties, declining comparable sales, and marketing issues. A Seeking Alpha article dated July 31, 2026, downgraded the stock to a 'sell' rating due to deteriorating fundamentals, declining revenue and studio openings, and rising leverage. Roth Capital also cut its price target from $7.00 to $5.00 in October 2026, maintaining a "neutral" rating.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -28.7% change in XPOF stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611082026Change
Stock Price ($)6.524.65-28.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)299288-3.4%
P/S Multiple0.80.7-16.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3742-11.2%
Cumulative Contribution-28.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
XPOF-28.7% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%-1.2%
Sector (XLY)1.3%9.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -29.3% change in XPOF stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)430202611082026Change
Stock Price ($)6.584.65-29.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)315288-8.4%
P/S Multiple0.70.7-7.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3542-16.2%
Cumulative Contribution-29.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
XPOF-29.3% 
Market (SPY)2.6%3.6%
Sector (XLY)-0.5%20.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -30.8% change in XPOF stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)1031202511082026Change
Stock Price ($)6.724.65-30.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)317288-9.0%
P/S Multiple0.70.7-8.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3542-16.8%
Cumulative Contribution-30.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
XPOF-30.8% 
Market (SPY)8.7%15.9%
Sector (XLY)-1.4%21.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -67.4% change in XPOF stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311082026Change
Stock Price ($)14.274.65-67.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2812882.5%
P/S Multiple1.70.7-59.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3342-21.4%
Cumulative Contribution-67.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
XPOF-67.4% 
Market (SPY)81.9%20.6%
Sector (XLY)58.2%25.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
XPOF Return67%12%-44%4%-39%-43%-62%
Peers Return-13%-35%14%25%-11%-6%-32%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XPOF Win Rate67%58%42%33%42%36% 
Peers Win Rate38%38%54%56%44%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XPOF Max Drawdown--55%-73%-49%-70%-59% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-53%-47%-39%-40%-46% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PLNT, LTH, PTON, LULU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventXPOFS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-19.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven93 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-43.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven145 days427 days

Compare to PLNT, LTH, PTON, LULU

In The Past

Xponential Fitness's stock fell -19.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 23.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventXPOFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-43.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven145 days427 days

Compare to PLNT, LTH, PTON, LULU

In The Past

Xponential Fitness's stock fell -19.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 23.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Xponential Fitness (XPOF)

Xponential Fitness (XPOF) is a premier franchisor specializing in the fast-growing boutique fitness industry. The company develops and acquires distinct fitness and wellness concepts, which it then franchises to independent operators globally. This business model allows Xponential Fitness to expand its market presence and reach without directly owning and operating all studio locations, focusing instead on brand development, support, and a scalable growth strategy for its franchisees.

The core of Xponential's offering lies in its diverse portfolio of specialized fitness and wellness brands, each catering to specific workout preferences and health goals. These services encompass a wide range of popular modalities, including Pilates (Club Pilates), barre (Pure Barre), indoor cycling (CycleBar), stretching (StretchLab), rowing (Row House), yoga (YogaSix), boxing (Rumble), dance fitness (AKT), running (Stride), and functional training (BFT). This extensive variety ensures a comprehensive selection of high-quality, specialized workout experiences available through its franchised studios.

Xponential Fitness serves a dual customer base: primarily its network of franchisees who invest in and operate the individual fitness studios, and ultimately, the millions of consumers globally seeking specialized, instructor-led fitness and wellness services. With a significant presence in the United States and a growing international footprint, the company targets individuals looking for premium, focused fitness experiences outside of traditional gyms, leveraging its robust network of franchised studios to deliver these services.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Xponential Fitness (XPOF):

  • Yum! Brands for boutique fitness studios.
  • Marriott or Hilton for fitness studios.

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  • Pilates: A low-impact exercise method focused on core strength, flexibility, and overall body conditioning.
  • Barre: A full-body workout inspired by ballet, yoga, and Pilates, emphasizing small, isometric movements.
  • Cycling: High-energy indoor cycling classes designed for cardiovascular fitness and endurance.
  • Stretching: Assisted stretching services focused on improving flexibility, mobility, and reducing muscle stiffness.
  • Rowing: Full-body, low-impact cardio workouts using rowing machines to build strength and endurance.
  • Yoga: Various styles of yoga practices promoting physical and mental well-being through postures, breathing, and meditation.
  • Boxing: High-intensity boxing-inspired fitness workouts combining cardio, strength, and boxing techniques.
  • Dancing: Dance-based cardio fitness classes incorporating various dance styles for a fun, full-body workout.
  • Running: Treadmill-based group fitness classes focusing on speed, endurance, and interval training.
  • Functional Training: High-intensity interval training (HIIT) and strength training focused on movements that mimic everyday activities.

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Xponential Fitness (XPOF) sells primarily to other companies, specifically its franchisees. These franchisees are independent business owners or investment groups that acquire licenses to operate Xponential Fitness's branded studios (such as Club Pilates, Pure Barre, CycleBar, StretchLab, Row House, YogaSix, Rumble, AKT, Stride, and BFT). Since these franchisees are numerous (1,556 as of December 31, 2021) and are typically not publicly traded companies, it is not possible to list their individual names or symbols.

Instead, Xponential Fitness's franchisee customer base can be broadly categorized into the following types:

  • Individual Owner-Operators: These are entrepreneurs or small business owners who purchase the rights to open and operate a single Xponential Fitness studio under one of its brands. They are often directly involved in the day-to-day management and operations of their studio, leveraging the established brand and operational model provided by Xponential Fitness.

  • Multi-Unit Developers/Investors: This category includes individuals or investment groups that acquire rights to open and operate multiple Xponential Fitness studios, often within a specific geographic territory. These franchisees focus on scaling their investment and frequently employ general managers and staff to oversee the operations of their various locations, acting more as strategic investors rather than daily operators.

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Mike Nuzzo - Chief Executive Officer

Mike Nuzzo was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Xponential Fitness in August 2025. He brings over 25 years of leadership experience in the retail and consumer services industry. Previously, Mr. Nuzzo served as CEO at Eyemart Express, where he led the business to exceptional revenue growth and its successful acquisition by VSP Vision in January 2025. Prior to that, he spent seven years at Petco as Chief Financial Officer and later Chief Operating Officer, playing a pivotal role in Petco's 2016 sale transaction and its 2021 initial public offering. He also held senior leadership roles at 4moms, General Nutrition Centers (GNC), and Abercrombie & Fitch.

Robert Julian - Interim Chief Financial Officer (effective March 16, 2026)

Robert Julian is set to become Xponential Fitness's interim Chief Financial Officer effective March 16, 2026. He brings over 30 years of financial leadership experience. Mr. Julian's prior roles include serving as Chief Financial Officer at companies such as TheRealReal, Inc., Callaway Golf, and Sportsman's Warehouse.

Sarah Luna - President

Sarah Luna has served as President of Xponential Fitness since January 2021. She started her career as a professional dancer and Pilates instructor, later creating her own Pilates business and becoming a Jazzercise franchisee. Before her current role, she was the National Sales Director and then Senior Vice President of Operations for Club Pilates, where she developed the sales process now used across all Xponential brands. She also served as President of Pure Barre, leading a nationwide studio refresh and system conversion.

Tim Weiderhoft - Chief Operating Officer

Tim Weiderhoft was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Xponential Fitness in January 2025. His experience includes serving as Chief Operating Officer and Vice President of Franchising for Central Bark USA from 2022 to 2025, and Chief Executive Officer at Wow Wow Hawaiian Lemonade from 2019 to 2022. Prior to that, he spent over five years at Massage Envy, progressing from Director of Field Operations to Vice President of Franchise Development.

Gavin O'Connor - Chief Legal & Administrative Officer

Gavin O'Connor has served as Chief Legal Counsel and Administrative Officer of Xponential Fitness since November 2025. Previously, Mr. O'Connor held executive roles at European Wax Center, Inc., including Chief Administrative Officer, Chief Human Resources Officer, and General Counsel and Corporate Secretary.

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The key risks to Xponential Fitness (XPOF) are:
  1. Government Investigations and Litigation/Settlements: Xponential Fitness has been subject to ongoing government investigations by entities such as the FTC, the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Central District of California, and the SEC, related to allegations of misleading franchisees regarding studio profitability and other business practices. The company has recently agreed to pay $17 million to resolve an FTC investigation and finalized a $22.75 million settlement with over 500 current and former franchisees, indicating serious deficiencies in financial transparency and compliance. These legal and regulatory challenges have led to significant financial payouts, executive turnover, and a substantial drop in stock price.
  2. Financial Performance and Debt Concerns: The company has experienced bottom-line volatility, reporting a larger-than-expected loss in Q4 2025 and projecting a 16% revenue decline in 2026, which poses significant risks to its financial stability. Xponential Fitness has also seen rising net debt, which ballooned from $98.7 million in 2022 to $314.4 million in 2024, leading to higher interest expenses. A term loan refinancing is due in May 2026, presenting a potential near-term liquidity risk. There is also a notable disconnect between growing system-wide sales and declining corporate revenue.
  3. Franchisee Health and Operational Challenges: Xponential Fitness's growth outlook is pressured by slowing net studio openings, elevated studio closures, and declining same-store sales, particularly in key brands like StretchLab and Club Pilates. The company faces an increasingly competitive landscape and challenges in member acquisition, which has led to increased marketing investments to stabilize its brands. Maintaining franchisee profitability is crucial for the company's growth story and continued net studio openings.

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Xponential Fitness (symbol: XPOF) operates within the growing boutique fitness industry, offering a diverse range of specialized fitness and wellness services. The addressable markets for its main products and services are substantial, encompassing several key segments within the global and U.S. fitness landscape.

Overall Boutique Fitness Market

The global boutique fitness studio market was valued at approximately USD 40.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 80.4 billion by 2034, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.2% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2034. North America holds a dominant share in this market. In the U.S., boutique fitness revenue exceeded USD 22.1 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to USD 26.2 billion in 2025, potentially reaching over USD 30 billion by 2030.

Specific Product/Service Market Sizes:

  • Pilates & Yoga: The global Pilates & yoga studios market size was valued at USD 120.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 520.6 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 14.3% from 2025 to 2035. The U.S. Pilates & yoga studios market was valued at approximately USD 45.5 billion in 2025. The global yoga market size alone was USD 63.82 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 119.69 billion by 2034.
  • Barre: The global Barre Studio market size reached USD 1.42 billion in 2024 and is projected to expand at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2025 to 2033, reaching USD 2.77 billion by 2033. North America led the Barre Studio market with USD 720 million in 2024, representing approximately 50% of global revenues.
  • Cycling: Market size data for specialized cycling fitness services is generally embedded within the broader boutique fitness market rather than being a standalone reported figure.
  • Stretching: The global commercial stretching machine market size was approximately USD 750 million in 2023 and is expected to reach around USD 1.5 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.5%. The global stretching equipment market size was USD 1.94 billion in 2024 and is set to reach USD 3.33 billion by 2033.
  • Rowing: The global rowers market is expected to expand from USD 1.43 billion in 2025 to approximately USD 2.27 billion by 2034, progressing at a CAGR of 4.7%. North America leads this market with a 35% share. Another report estimates the global rowing machines market at USD 1.15 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 1.72 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.3%.
  • Boxing: The global boxing fitness studio market size reached USD 1.82 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 3.58 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 7.8%. The boxing club market, which includes fitness and training facilities, was valued at approximately USD 4.1 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach around USD 7.2 billion by 2033 globally. North America holds the largest share of the boxing club market, at approximately 40%.
  • Dancing: The global Dance Market is valued at USD 3.22 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to grow to USD 12.23 billion by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of 15.98% from 2025 to 2033. Approximately 42 million Americans engaged in dance activities in 2023. The global online dance training market was approximately USD 2.9 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to surge to USD 17.96 billion by 2035.
  • Running: Specific market size data for specialized running fitness services (like running studios) was not directly available but is generally considered part of the broader boutique fitness or general fitness market.
  • Functional Training: The global functional fitness market size was valued at USD 17 billion in 2025 and is projected to expand to USD 28 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 7.0%. The global functional training equipment market is poised to reach USD 9.355 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.3% from 2025 to 2033. North America holds the largest market share for functional training equipment.

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Xponential Fitness (NYSE: XPOF) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. International Expansion: The company views international markets as a significant growth opportunity, with plans to expand its portfolio of brands globally through a master franchise strategy. Initiatives include bringing Pure Barre, Club Pilates, and Rumble Boxing to Mexico and Japan, and YogaSix to Germany and Japan. Xponential's CEO has expressed a goal to eventually have as many studios operating internationally as domestically.
  2. Net New Studio Openings: While the projected net new studio openings for 2026 are a decrease compared to prior years, the expansion of the studio footprint remains a fundamental revenue driver for the franchisor. A significant portion of these new openings is expected to come from Club Pilates, which is highlighted as a primary growth driver among its brands. The company aims for 150-170 global net new studio openings in 2026.
  3. Same-Store Sales Growth and Enhanced Member Acquisition: Xponential Fitness is focusing on improving same-store sales by investing in member acquisition strategies and digital platforms. This includes efforts to address past marketing and lead management missteps, particularly for brands like Club Pilates. Improved performance marketing, more brand content, and new member trial offers are being implemented to drive traffic and increase average unit volumes (AUVs).
  4. Improved Franchisee Experience and Support: Under new leadership, Xponential is prioritizing the franchisee experience, which is expected to foster long-term growth. This involves revamping the franchisee recruiting process to attract qualified partners and implementing operational playbooks to simplify studio opening and operation, aiming to ensure more profitable studios. Stronger franchisee performance directly contributes to sustained royalty revenue and overall system-wide sales.

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Share Repurchases

  • Xponential Fitness repurchased 85,340 shares of its Convertible Preferred Stock in January 2023, which would have been convertible into 5.9 million shares of Class A common stock. This was funded with $130.0 million in incremental term loans and available cash.
  • In August 2023, the company announced a $50 million share buyback program, funded by borrowing from an existing lender.
  • In December 2025, Xponential Fitness repurchased all outstanding Series A and Series A-1 Convertible Preferred Stock for approximately $127.0 million in cash plus $1.4 million in accrued dividends, eliminating preferred stock convertible into approximately 8.2 million shares of common stock. This repurchase was funded by a new $525 million term loan.

Share Issuance

  • Xponential Fitness completed its initial public offering (IPO) in July 2021, pricing 10,000,000 shares of Class A common stock at $12.00 per share, raising $120 million.
  • For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, proceeds from the issuance of common stock related to stock-based compensation plans amounted to $193,000.
  • For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, proceeds from the issuance of common stock related to stock-based compensation plans were $210,000.

Outbound Investments

  • In October 2021, Xponential Fitness acquired BFT, a functional training and strength-based program.
  • The company's acquisition of Rumble occurred prior to the first quarter of 2022, with related contingent consideration expenses noted in Q1 2023 earnings.

Capital Expenditures

  • Xponential Fitness anticipated capital expenditures of approximately $10 million to $12 million for the full year 2023.
  • In Q4 2025, the company invested $511K in capital expenditures.
  • For the full year 2026, anticipated capital expenditures are approximately $6 million-$10 million, with a primary focus on data transformation initiatives, website and mobile applications, learning management systems, and general technology investments.

Better Bets vs. Xponential Fitness (XPOF)

Peer Outperformance in Leisure Facilities

XPOF has trailed 91% of its 11 Leisure Facilities peers over 5Y. Leisure Facilities ranks 13th of 22 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Leisure Facilities constituents that XPOF has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
40%
of 15 industry peers · -27.3% return
3Y
0%
of 11 industry peers · -64.2% return
5Y
9%
of 11 industry peers · -76.3% return
No Leisure Facilities peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten XPOF by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Leisure Facilities is XPOF's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -14.6%32.0%43.4% CVSA 236% · GHC 113% · LRN 109%
Homebuilding 17 2.8%30.2%31.1% PHM 176% · TOL 159% · GRBK 156%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 19.1%64.5%10.0% RCL 261% · MAR 158% · HLT 148%
Automotive Retail 17 -4.5%15.1%9.6% MUSA 202% · PAG 116% · ORLY 112%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -4.8%5.1%2.6% HD 6% · LOW 6% · FND -62%
Home Furnishings 3 3.8%80.9%-1.0% SGI 51% · MHK -14%
Footwear 9 75.5%91.6%-14.0% DECK 25% · SHOO -11% · CROX -14%
Restaurants 36 1.5%-2.3%-20.8% EAT 372% · CAKE 166% · TXRH 117%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -12.1%33.5%-24.5% FTDR 176% · HRB 153% · ADT 24%
Distributors 4 -6.7%-16.2%-25.6% ARMK 98% · GPC 5% · POOL -56%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 32.8%83.4%-25.8% BBY -3% · GME -54%
Leisure Products 14 -18.0%-3.8%-35.5% GOLF 51% · HAS 49% · BC -15%
Leisure Facilities ← 12 16.8%8.8%-39.5% OSW 164% · LTH 142% · PLNT -37%
Household Appliances 18 36.3%22.9%-40.0% WHR -82%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 37 -13.5%-21.6%-46.0% GTX 193% · PATK 65% · ALV 39%
Broadline Retail 12 -4.4%23.6%-46.1% EBAY 81% · AMZN 49% · OLLI 25%
Apparel Retail 27 -5.5%4.9%-48.7% ANF 229% · VSXY 115% · TJX 108%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 14.6%23.7%-50.6% TPR 256% · RL 222% · KTB 56%
Casinos & Gaming 21 -25.1%-15.4%-51.0% BYD 25% · RRR 22% · LVS 5%
Other Specialty Retail 25 -5.3%-7.9%-58.5% ULTA 66% · ASO 51% · ARHS 23%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -57.1%-42.1%-70.4% GM 51% · TSLA -8% · F -16%
Consumer Electronics 11 -31.6%-31.4%-80.7% GRMN 116%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XPOFPLNTLTHPTONLULUMedian
NameXponenti.Planet F.Life TimePeloton .Lululemo. 
Mkt Price4.5960.2647.385.63111.4847.38
Mkt Cap0.24.510.62.512.64.5
Rev LTM2881,4393,2932,45411,0942,454
Op Inc LTM384305722761,979430
FCF LTM-10214-2064541,354214
FCF 3Y Avg-0203-492811,407203
CFO LTM-64139104611,982461
CFO 3Y Avg53777492932,079377

Growth & Margins

XPOFPLNTLTHPTONLULUMedian
NameXponenti.Planet F.Life TimePeloton .Lululemo. 
Rev Chg LTM-9.0%11.7%13.0%-0.1%1.7%1.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.4%10.5%15.6%-4.0%8.0%8.0%
Rev Chg Q-13.4%9.0%14.2%1.5%-4.3%1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.4%2.1%3.5%0.3%-1.0%0.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM43.0%13.6%30.4%189.1%-20.7%30.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg1.0%17.5%39.8%129.4%1.8%17.5%
Op Mgn LTM13.0%29.9%17.4%11.2%17.8%17.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.4%28.8%15.2%1.7%21.2%15.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.5%-1.0%0.1%2.5%-0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.0%28.7%27.6%18.8%17.9%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.6%29.4%25.5%11.9%19.6%19.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.3%14.9%-6.3%18.5%12.2%12.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.1%15.9%-1.4%11.4%13.3%11.4%

Valuation

XPOFPLNTLTHPTONLULUMedian
NameXponenti.Planet F.Life TimePeloton .Lululemo. 
Mkt Cap0.24.510.62.512.64.5
P/S0.73.13.21.01.11.1
P/Op Inc5.110.518.69.06.49.0
P/EBIT-61.310.018.69.36.49.3
P/E-5.019.525.317.18.917.1
P/CFO-33.610.911.75.46.36.3
Total Yield-19.9%5.1%4.0%5.9%11.3%5.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.1%4.0%-0.5%10.4%6.4%4.0%
D/E2.70.70.40.70.20.7
Net D/E2.70.60.40.10.10.4

Returns

XPOFPLNTLTHPTONLULUMedian
NameXponenti.Planet F.Life TimePeloton .Lululemo. 
1M Rtn-7.3%25.6%16.6%10.0%18.0%16.6%
3M Rtn-8.7%20.5%8.1%-0.9%-13.3%-0.9%
6M Rtn-18.0%31.3%48.4%-1.1%-15.0%-1.1%
12M Rtn-28.3%-43.3%85.7%-26.5%-32.9%-28.3%
3Y Rtn-64.7%-4.3%252.5%26.2%-72.6%-4.3%
1M Excs Rtn-2.5%41.9%22.7%19.5%25.3%22.7%
3M Excs Rtn-2.9%27.9%16.5%7.0%-7.9%7.0%
6M Excs Rtn-17.7%31.6%48.7%-0.8%-14.7%-0.8%
12M Excs Rtn-38.4%-42.8%78.1%-29.6%-42.1%-38.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-138.1%-62.4%246.3%-57.3%-146.3%-62.4%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Franchise business of its health and wellness brands315320318243 
Equipment revenue    23
Franchise marketing fund revenue    14
Franchise revenue    74
Merchandise revenue    20
Other service revenue    24
Total315320318243155


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Franchise business of its health and wellness brands-54-99-6-1
Total-54-99-6-1


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$4.65 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date07/23/2021 
Distance from 52W High-48.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$4.42$5.95
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA5.3%-21.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility75.8%82.1%
Downside Capture29.92173.33
Upside Capture-1.64116.44
Correlation (S&P 500)0.9%15.5%
XPOF Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-2.520.14-0.320.171.061.19
Up Beta-0.812.170.140.790.430.85
Down Beta-7.02-3.37-3.22-1.160.101.08
Up Capture-74%39%-52%-4%160%112%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days7162760120358
Down Capture-57%180%155%103%152%112%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days15273665125379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with XPOF
XPOF-29.1%82.1%0.00-
Sector ETF (XLY)-1.9%19.8%-0.2221.4%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4015.7%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.05-6.2%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-22.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.519.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.2%43.6%-0.6116.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with XPOF
XPOF-26.3%79.8%-0.01-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.0%24.2%0.1231.9%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4829.0%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.742.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.301.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0423.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%51.6%0.2616.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with XPOF
XPOF-11.3%79.5%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.8%22.3%0.5231.4%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7029.1%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.592.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.332.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2423.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.3%1.0016.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202611.4%
Average Daily Volume0.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest13.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity42.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares28.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20265.2%  
8/6/2026-20.9%-23.4%-22.8%
5/7/2026-14.4%-21.9%-15.7%
3/10/20265.1%-0.5%32.1%
11/6/20251.6%0.8%27.0%
8/7/2025-26.4%-12.7%-9.8%
5/8/2025-6.4%0.6%7.5%
3/13/2025-38.4%-28.1%-39.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101013
# Negative151411
Median Positive11.2%12.5%15.7%
Median Negative-6.7%-9.3%-17.7%
Max Positive39.4%37.2%60.6%
Max Negative-38.4%-28.1%-39.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20265.2%  
8/6/2026-20.9%-23.4%-22.8%
5/7/2026-14.4%-21.9%-15.7%
3/10/20265.1%-0.5%32.1%
11/6/20251.6%0.8%27.0%
8/7/2025-26.4%-12.7%-9.8%
5/8/2025-6.4%0.6%7.5%
3/13/2025-38.4%-28.1%-39.4%
11/7/202429.1%18.5%21.7%
8/1/2024-22.9%-15.5%-24.1%
5/2/2024-14.1%-7.9%-31.4%
2/29/202439.4%37.2%60.6%
1/8/2024-1.4%5.2%-5.2%
11/7/2023-6.7%-9.5%-18.7%
8/3/2023-4.9%5.4%8.0%
5/4/2023-4.4%-7.4%-17.7%
3/2/202316.1%13.7%20.4%
1/9/20236.3%-0.4%12.8%
11/10/20224.3%11.4%10.4%
8/11/202218.5%19.2%22.7%
5/12/2022-13.6%-1.0%-11.2%
3/3/2022-4.6%-2.3%15.5%
1/11/2022-1.6%-19.6%15.7%
11/12/202120.8%15.5%2.6%
8/24/2021-4.0%-9.0%-2.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101013
# Negative151411
Median Positive11.2%12.5%15.7%
Median Negative-6.7%-9.3%-17.7%
Max Positive39.4%37.2%60.6%
Max Negative-38.4%-28.1%-39.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/07/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/04/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202403/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202303/04/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202203/06/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/07/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/04/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202403/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202303/04/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202203/06/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/12/202210-Q
03/31/202205/13/202210-Q
12/31/202103/07/202210-K
09/30/202111/12/202110-Q
06/30/202108/25/202110-Q
03/31/202107/26/2021424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/6/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net New Studio OpeningsReported124127130-15.3% LoweredGuidance: 150 for 2026
2026 RevenueReported250.00 Mil255.00 Mil260.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 255.00 Mil for 2026
2026 North America System-wide SalesReported1.70 Bil1.73 Bil1.75 Bil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 1.73 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported91.00 Mil92.50 Mil94.00 Mil-1.6% LoweredGuidance: 94.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Class A Common Stock Share CountReported 41.00 Mil    


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net new studio openingsReported 150 -6.2% LoweredGuidance: 160 for 2026
2026 North America system-wide salesReported1.70 Bil1.73 Bil1.75 Bil-2.0% LoweredGuidance: 1.76 Bil for 2026
2026 RevenueReported250.00 Mil255.00 Mil260.00 Mil-3.8% LoweredGuidance: 265.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported91.00 Mil94.00 Mil97.00 Mil-10.5% LoweredGuidance: 105.00 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 10/15/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Voss, Capital, LP By: Voss Value Master Fund, L.P.Buy52120265.5024,147132,7845,082,913Form
2Voss, Capital, LP By: Voss Value-Oriented Special Situations Fund, L.P.Buy52120265.505,00227,5061,013,598Form
3Voss, Capital, LP By: Voss Value Master Fund, L.P.Buy52120264.70141,534665,6854,233,900Form
4Voss, Capital, LP By: Voss Value-Oriented Special Situations Fund, L.P.Buy52120264.7029,322137,912843,416Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Voss, Capital, LP By: Voss Value Master Fund, L.P.Buy52120265.5024,147132,7845,082,913Form
2Voss, Capital, LP By: Voss Value-Oriented Special Situations Fund, L.P.Buy52120265.505,00227,5061,013,598Form
3Voss, Capital, LP By: Voss Value Master Fund, L.P.Buy52120264.70141,534665,6854,233,900Form
4Voss, Capital, LP By: Voss Value-Oriented Special Situations Fund, L.P.Buy52120264.7029,322137,912843,416Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 9, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Voss Capital, LP$38.9 Mil2.2%39ADD +7.0%13F
Kanen Wealth Management LLC$5.1 Mil1.8%36ADD +426.2%13F
Solel Partners LP$7.5 Mil1.6%19Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Kanen Wealth Management LLC$5.1 Mil1.8%36ADD +426.2%13F
Voss Capital, LP$38.9 Mil2.2%39ADD +7.0%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Voss Capital, LP$38.9 Mil2.2%39ADD +7.0%13F
Solel Partners LP$7.5 Mil1.6%19Hold13F
Kanen Wealth Management LLC$5.1 Mil1.8%36ADD +426.2%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/8/2026