Tearsheet

X4 Pharmaceuticals (XFOR)


Market Price (1/30/2026): $3.695 | Market Cap: $159.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

X4 Pharmaceuticals (XFOR)


Market Price (1/30/2026): $3.695
Market Cap: $159.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -126%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -161%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -99 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -291%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2926%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 120%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -312%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 507%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -64%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 144%
7   Key risks
XFOR key risks include [1] its critical dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its lead drug, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2926%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -126%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -161%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -99 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -291%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 120%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -303%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -312%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 507%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -64%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 144%
11 Key risks
XFOR key risks include [1] its critical dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its lead drug, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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X4 Pharmaceuticals (XFOR) stock has gained about 10% since 9/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Successful Public Offering and Strengthened Financial Position

X4 Pharmaceuticals successfully completed a substantial underwritten public offering in October 2025, raising gross proceeds of $135 million, which increased to $155.3 million with the full exercise of the underwriters' option. This significant capital infusion bolstered the company's financial stability and extended its cash runway to the end of 2028, specifically to fund the pivotal Phase 3 development of mavorixafor for chronic neutropenia.

2. Strategic Restructuring and Operational Focus

In September 2025, X4 Pharmaceuticals announced a strategic restructuring, including a 50% workforce reduction, anticipated to generate approximately $13 million in annual cost savings. This move was designed to streamline operations and sharpen the company's focus on advancing its 4WARD Phase 3 trial for mavorixafor in chronic neutropenia patients. While initially leading to a short-term stock decline, this strategic re-alignment likely contributed to investor confidence in the company's long-term efficiency and dedication to its core asset.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.9% change in XFOR stock from 9/30/2025 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 507.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020251292026Change
Stock Price ($)3.423.697.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)33343.7%
P/S Multiple0.84.7507.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)743-82.9%
Cumulative Contribution7.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 1/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
XFOR7.9% 
Market (SPY)4.2%25.5%
Sector (XLV)10.5%21.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 94.2% change in XFOR stock from 6/30/2025 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 1034.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020251292026Change
Stock Price ($)1.903.6994.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31348.3%
P/S Multiple0.44.71034.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)743-84.2%
Cumulative Contribution94.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 1/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
XFOR94.2% 
Market (SPY)12.6%26.2%
Sector (XLV)14.6%15.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -83.2% change in XFOR stock from 12/31/2024 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -96.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120241292026Change
Stock Price ($)22.013.69-83.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1342925.7%
P/S Multiple131.24.7-96.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)743-84.5%
Cumulative Contribution-83.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2024 to 1/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
XFOR-83.2% 
Market (SPY)19.5%19.4%
Sector (XLV)13.3%12.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -87.6% change in XFOR stock from 12/31/2022 to 1/29/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120221292026Change
Stock Price ($)29.793.69-87.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0349.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple∞4.7 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)343-93.6%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2022 to 1/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
XFOR-87.6% 
Market (SPY)88.2%17.7%
Sector (XLV)18.5%12.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
XFOR Return-64%-57%-16%-13%-82%-9%-98%
Peers Return-43%-13%6%71%-12%-12%-30%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%86%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XFOR Win Rate33%33%33%33%25%0% 
Peers Win Rate42%50%54%40%50%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XFOR Max Drawdown-70%-70%-39%-67%-94%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-34%-41%-37%-42%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, APLS, XCUR, KURA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXFORS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1596.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-95.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2144.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, APLS, XCUR, KURA

In The Past

X4 Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -94.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/22/2021. A -94.1% loss requires a 1596.1% gain to breakeven.

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About X4 Pharmaceuticals (XFOR)

X4 Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the research, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics for the treatment of rare diseases. Its lead product candidate is mavorixafor, a small molecule inhibitor of the chemokine receptor C-X-C chemokine receptor type 4 (CXCR4), which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of patients with warts, hypogammaglobulinemia, infections, and myelokathexis syndrome; and Phase Ib clinical trial to treat chronic neutropenia and Waldenström macroglobulinemia. The company is also developing X4P-002, a CXCR4 antagonist for the treatment of brain cancers; and X4P-003, a CXCR4 antagonist for the treatment of CXCR4 disorders and primary immunodeficiencies. It has a license agreement with Abbisko Therapeutics Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize mavorixafor in combination with checkpoint inhibitors or other agents in oncology indications. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for X4 Pharmaceuticals:

  • An emerging Vertex Pharmaceuticals, but concentrating on rare immune disorders instead of cystic fibrosis.
  • A specialized rare disease biotech, similar to an early-stage Alexion Pharmaceuticals, focusing on immune and blood system conditions.

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  • Xolremdi (mavorixafor): An oral medication approved for the treatment of WHIM syndrome, a rare primary immunodeficiency disease.

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X4 Pharmaceuticals (symbol: XFOR) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for rare diseases, particularly those involving the immune system. Their primary approved product, XOLREMVI (mavorixafor), is a prescription medication for the treatment of WHIM syndrome.

Like most pharmaceutical companies, X4 Pharmaceuticals sells its products primarily to other companies (intermediaries) rather than directly to individual patients. These direct customers are typically major pharmaceutical distributors and specialty pharmacies. These entities then manage the logistics of distributing the medication to healthcare providers (hospitals, clinics, and specialty pharmacies) who ultimately dispense it to patients.

According to X4 Pharmaceuticals' public filings, such as their 2023 10-K report, the company primarily sells XOLREMVI in the U.S. to a limited number of specialty distributors. For the year ended December 31, 2023, two customers accounted for 90% and 10% of their gross product sales, respectively. While X4 Pharmaceuticals does not publicly name these specific customers in their filings, they are almost certainly among the major pharmaceutical distributors in the United States. These typically include:

  • AmerisourceBergen Corporation (Symbol: ABC)
  • Cardinal Health, Inc. (Symbol: CAH)
  • McKesson Corporation (Symbol: MCK)

These large, publicly traded distributors serve as the primary direct customers for X4 Pharmaceuticals, facilitating the supply chain to get XOLREMVI to the patients who need it.

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  • Avara Pharmaceutical Services
  • Carbogen Amcis

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Dr. Adam Craig Executive Chairman

Dr. Craig brings over 25 years of global experience in drug development and commercialization, particularly in oncology, hematology, and rare diseases. He currently serves as Executive Chairman of X4 Pharmaceuticals, a role he assumed in August 2025. Prior to joining X4, he was President and CEO of CTI BioPharma, where he spearheaded a restructuring, oversaw the approval and launch of its initial product, and guided the company through its $1.7 billion acquisition by Sobi. Dr. Craig also served as interim CEO and remains on the Board of Directors of Stratus Therapeutics (formerly Garuda Therapeutics). His previous roles include Chief Medical Officer and senior development positions at Sunesis Pharmaceuticals and Chemgenex Pharmaceuticals.

John Volpone President & Chief Operating Officer

John Volpone was appointed President of X4 Pharmaceuticals in August 2025, and assumed the additional role of Chief Operating Officer in September 2025. He possesses over two decades of cross-functional drug development leadership experience in oncology and rare diseases. Mr. Volpone previously served as Executive Vice President and Chief of Staff at CTI BioPharma, where he was responsible for business development, regulatory affairs, and clinical operations. His earlier career includes business development roles at Bristol-Myers Squibb and ZymoGenetics.

David Kirske Chief Financial Officer

David Kirske joined X4 Pharmaceuticals as Chief Financial Officer in August 2025. He brings over two decades of strategic financial and operational experience to the company. Mr. Kirske's prior experience includes serving as Executive Vice President and CFO of CTI BioPharma, where he played a crucial role in the company's $1.7 billion acquisition by Sobi. Most recently, he was the CFO of Stratus Therapeutics for one year and provided financial strategy for biotechnology companies as part of Madrona Financial Consulting. Earlier in his career, he worked as a CFO consultant and held senior financial positions at Helix BioMedix, F-5 Networks, Redhook Brewery, and Cray Computer.

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The key risks to X4 Pharmaceuticals (symbol: XFOR) are primarily centered around the successful development and commercialization of its lead drug candidate, its financial sustainability, and market adoption.

  1. Reliance on Mavorixafor's Clinical and Regulatory Success: X4 Pharmaceuticals is highly dependent on the successful development and regulatory approval of its lead product, mavorixafor (marketed as XOLREMDI for WHIM syndrome). The company is currently advancing mavorixafor through a pivotal Phase 3 trial for chronic neutropenia (CN), and the outcome of this trial is critical for the company's future growth and market expansion. A failure in clinical trials or delays in regulatory approval could significantly impact the company's stock price and overall viability.
  2. Financial Health and Need for Additional Capital: X4 Pharmaceuticals has a history of significant losses and has not generated substantial revenue from product sales. The company's financial health is considered poor, with significant operational challenges, substantial net losses, and a reliance on debt financing. While recent public offerings and licensing agreements have extended its cash runway, there is an ongoing need for capital, which may lead to further dilution for existing investors or restrictions on its operations. The company has been categorized as "Distressed" due to its negative profitability ratios.
  3. Market Penetration, Reimbursement, and Competition: Even if mavorixafor receives additional regulatory approvals, X4 Pharmaceuticals faces risks related to market penetration, patient adoption, and securing favorable reimbursement from payers. Commercialization efforts require effective provider education on rare diseases and overcoming potential competition from existing or future treatments, which could impact the product's ultimate commercial success.

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X4 Pharmaceuticals' main product, mavorixafor (XOLREMDI), targets two primary addressable markets: WHIM syndrome and chronic neutropenia.

  • For WHIM syndrome, the estimated total addressable market in the U.S. is approximately $450 million. In 2023, the WHIM market size in the EU4 (Germany, Spain, Italy, France) and the UK was estimated to be around USD 1.3 million. The total market size for WHIM syndrome across the 7 major markets (United States, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, and Japan) was valued at USD 9.2 million in 2024, with projections to reach USD 15.2 million by 2035.
  • For chronic neutropenia, the U.S. commercial opportunity, representing the addressable market, is projected to be between $1 billion and $2 billion, targeting approximately 15,000 patients.

The total addressable market for mavorixafor across both WHIM syndrome and chronic neutropenia is estimated to be roughly $3.825 billion.

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X4 Pharmaceuticals (XFOR) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives:

  1. Continued Commercialization of XOLREMDI for WHIM Syndrome in the U.S.

    The successful U.S. launch of XOLREMDI (mavorixafor) in May 2024 for WHIM syndrome, a rare primary immunodeficiency, is a primary driver. The company has already generated U.S. sales from this product, and ongoing education and awareness campaigns are leading to an increase in newly identified patients on treatment, indicating continued growth in customer base.

  2. European Expansion of XOLREMDI for WHIM Syndrome

    X4 Pharmaceuticals is actively pursuing market expansion for XOLREMDI in Europe. The Marketing Authorization Application (MAA) for WHIM syndrome was accepted by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) in January 2025, with approval and launch in the EU market anticipated in the first half of 2026. This will open a significant new geographical market for the drug.

  3. Strategic Partnerships for Global Commercialization

    The company has established strategic partnerships to maximize the global potential of mavorixafor. Collaborations with Norgine for Europe and Australia/New Zealand, and with Taiba Access Rare for the Middle East and North Africa region, are expected to contribute significantly to revenue. The Norgine partnership, in particular, was a primary driver of X4's strong Q1 2025 revenue.

  4. Advancement and Potential Approval of Mavorixafor for Chronic Neutropenia (CN)

    X4 Pharmaceuticals is progressing with its Phase 3 4WARD trial for mavorixafor in chronic neutropenia, which represents a substantially larger market opportunity than WHIM syndrome. Full enrollment in the trial is expected by Q3 or Q4 2025, with top-line data anticipated in the second half of 2026. A successful outcome and subsequent approval would introduce mavorixafor to a new, broader patient population.

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Share Issuance

  • X4 Pharmaceuticals closed an underwritten public offering on October 27, 2025, selling 52,844,000 common shares and issuing pre-funded warrants for up to 700,000 shares, generating approximately $155.3 million in gross proceeds.
  • As of September 30, 2025, the company sold $23.6 million of common stock through its Controlled Equity OfferingSM Sales Agreement (ATM) since August 7, 2020, with an additional $66.0 million authorized for future sale.
  • In March 2021, X4 Pharmaceuticals raised approximately $55.0 million in gross proceeds through a private investment in public equity (PIPE) financing by selling 6,321,837 shares of common stock and pre-funded warrants.

Inbound Investments

  • On August 13, 2025, X4 Pharmaceuticals completed an upsized private placement, raising $85 million from the sale of common stock and pre-funded warrants. This financing was led by Coastlands Capital, with support from existing investors including Empery Asset Management, Bain Capital Life Sciences, and New Enterprise Associates.
  • In May 2023, X4 Pharmaceuticals completed a Post IPO funding round, securing $65 million from investors such as New Enterprise Associates and Bain Capital Life Sciences.
  • A $55.0 million PIPE financing in March 2021 included participation from institutional investors like Abingworth, Altium Capital, Driehaus Capital Management, Lincoln Park Capital, Monashee Investment Management, Sio Capital, Bain Capital Life Sciences, Ikarian Capital, and OrbiMed.

Capital Expenditures

  • Proceeds from the October 2025 public offering, totaling approximately $135 million, are intended to fund the pivotal Phase 3 development of mavorixafor, general and administrative expenses, working capital, and capital expenditures.
  • The company's corporate headquarters in Boston, Massachusetts, and research facility in Vienna, Austria, represent ongoing capital asset bases for the company.
  • The proceeds from the March 2021 PIPE financing were designated for clinical development of its pipeline, business development activities, working capital, and general corporate purposes, which typically encompass capital expenditures.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

XFORVRTXAPLSXCURKURAMedian
NameX4 Pharm.Vertex P.Apellis .Exicure Kura Onc. 
Mkt Price3.69475.6823.054.268.228.22
Mkt Cap0.2121.62.90.00.70.7
Rev LTM3411,7231,0160104104
Op Inc LTM-99-9280-9-240-92
FCF LTM-1063,33779-88379
FCF 3Y Avg-1092,064-255-9-68-68
CFO LTM-1033,71879-88879
CFO 3Y Avg-1062,419-255-9-66-66

Growth & Margins

XFORVRTXAPLSXCURKURAMedian
NameX4 Pharm.Vertex P.Apellis .Exicure Kura Onc. 
Rev Chg LTM2,925.7%10.3%42.1%-100.0%-26.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%115.2%-20.1%-10.5%
Rev Chg Q215.2%11.0%133.0%--133.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%2.7%34.7%-24.9%14.3%
Op Mgn LTM-291.1%-0.8%7.9%--230.5%-115.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%-80.7%---27.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM32.0%1.0%33.1%-33.3%32.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-303.4%31.7%7.8%-84.4%19.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%-84.9%---30.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-312.3%28.5%7.7%-79.9%18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%-85.1%---32.7%

Valuation

XFORVRTXAPLSXCURKURAMedian
NameX4 Pharm.Vertex P.Apellis .Exicure Kura Onc. 
Mkt Cap0.2121.62.90.00.70.7
P/S4.710.42.9-6.95.8
P/EBIT-1.927.331.8-1.8-3.4-1.8
P/E-1.733.164.8-2.9-3.3-1.7
P/CFO-1.532.737.0-3.38.28.2
Total Yield-59.6%3.0%1.5%-34.3%-30.1%-30.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-68.3%1.9%-3.9%-123.4%-7.9%-7.9%
D/E0.50.00.20.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.7-0.2

Returns

XFORVRTXAPLSXCURKURAMedian
NameX4 Pharm.Vertex P.Apellis .Exicure Kura Onc. 
1M Rtn-11.3%4.8%-8.7%-22.5%-19.6%-11.3%
3M Rtn-7.5%13.3%11.2%-4.1%-21.3%-4.1%
6M Rtn119.6%4.1%3.2%-40.3%35.9%4.1%
12M Rtn-83.3%7.7%-21.8%-60.3%6.9%-21.8%
3Y Rtn-87.4%48.7%-56.3%-37.8%-37.6%-37.8%
1M Excs Rtn-15.1%2.5%-9.3%-23.0%-22.3%-15.1%
3M Excs Rtn-4.3%11.5%-24.4%-7.7%-22.9%-7.7%
6M Excs Rtn98.9%-8.1%11.8%-44.8%21.0%11.8%
12M Excs Rtn-89.3%-6.9%-36.1%-77.9%-9.1%-36.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-161.3%-21.8%-128.9%-113.5%-115.2%-115.2%

Comparison Analyses

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FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA218709  XOLREMDImavorixaforcapsule4262024-26.0%-58.3%-83.7%-89.6%-89.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment147156117123161
Total147156117123161


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$3.69 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date11/16/2017 
Distance from 52W High-83.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.79$3.35
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-2.8%10.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility74.8%134.0%
Downside Capture348.16309.12
Upside Capture265.2579.99
Correlation (SPY)19.5%19.1%
XFOR Betas & Captures as of 12/31/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta6.851.962.004.071.481.48
Up Beta-3.00-3.72-1.124.511.201.45
Down Beta0.54-1.151.151.081.062.00
Up Capture1521%544%439%1421%69%30%
Bmk +ve Days11233772143431
Stock +ve Days1118275399341
Down Capture768%367%251%295%161%110%
Bmk -ve Days11182755108320
Stock -ve Days11203167144389

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with XFOR
XFOR-70.1%143.4%-0.27-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.4%17.2%0.2011.8%
Equity (SPY)15.9%19.2%0.6418.8%
Gold (GLD)96.0%20.8%3.15-4.9%
Commodities (DBC)15.3%15.5%0.722.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.8%16.5%0.057.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-12.7%39.6%-0.2516.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with XFOR
XFOR-55.7%115.1%-0.17-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.1%14.5%0.3112.4%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.1%0.6618.6%
Gold (GLD)23.5%15.8%1.200.7%
Commodities (DBC)13.3%18.7%0.584.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%18.8%0.1713.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)21.8%57.5%0.5710.7%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with XFOR
XFOR-37.6%138.7%0.07-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.5%16.6%0.5212.5%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.7614.6%
Gold (GLD)16.8%14.9%0.94-1.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.2%17.6%0.436.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.1%20.8%0.2612.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.2%66.5%1.105.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 123120253.1%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity43.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-10.6%-11.1%0.3%
3/25/2025-12.1%-19.9%-31.8%
11/13/2024-53.2%-37.8%1.4%
8/8/20243.2%-2.8%3.2%
5/7/2024-9.2%-18.6%-10.0%
5/4/20234.1%8.8%48.6%
11/5/2020-6.7%1.7%7.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive225
# Negative552
Median Positive3.6%5.2%3.2%
Median Negative-10.6%-18.6%-20.9%
Max Positive4.1%8.8%48.6%
Max Negative-53.2%-37.8%-31.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202403/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202303/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/21/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q
12/31/202103/17/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Craig, Adam RExecutive ChairmanDirectBuy102720252.9086,206249,9971,090,652Form
2Baldry, MarkChief Commercial OfficerDirectBuy52020252.481,0322,56162,886Form
3Baldry, MarkChief Commercial OfficerDirectBuy21420250.6821,64614,65478,376Form
4Baldry, MarkChief Commercial OfficerDirectBuy21420250.3413,4044,59844,306Form
5Ragan, PaulaPresident and CEODirectSell12720250.4576,47334,719493,673Form