Tearsheet

Waterstone Financial (WSBF)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $17.07 | Market Cap: $301.1 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Waterstone Financial (WSBF)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $17.07
Market Cap: $301.1 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.5%, FCF Yield is 16%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  Key risks
WSBF key risks include [1] margin compression from a shift to higher-cost deposits and [2] vulnerability to intense competition due to limited resources and an "antiquated website."
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.5%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 88%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.5%
8 Key risks
WSBF key risks include [1] margin compression from a shift to higher-cost deposits and [2] vulnerability to intense competition due to limited resources and an "antiquated website."

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WSBF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Waterstone Financial (WSBF) stock experienced notable movements between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025. The stock opened at $17.05 on Friday, December 12, 2025, and reached a 12-month high of $17.13 around that time. Over the last 12 months leading up to December 17, 2025, the stock price increased by 15.20%. Here are five key points that likely contributed to the stock's movement:

1. Strong Earnings Performance: Waterstone Financial reported $0.45 earnings per share for the quarter ending October 23, 2025, demonstrating a net margin of 12.08% and a return on equity of 6.99%. This positive earnings report likely instilled investor confidence. The company also saw core earnings momentum driven by net interest margin expansion (2.76% in Q3 2025 versus 2.14% year-over-year).

2. Analyst Rating Changes: On December 14, 2025, Wall Street Zen downgraded Waterstone Financial from a "buy" to a "hold" rating. However, Weiss Ratings reissued a "buy (b-)" rating, maintaining a consensus "Buy" rating for the company. While one analyst firm lowered its rating, the overall consensus remained positive, potentially mitigating a significant negative impact.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WSBF Return7%24%-16%-13%-1%33%28%
Peers Return-11%32%-5%5%19%14%58%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WSBF Win Rate58%83%33%33%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%72%40%48%50%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WSBF Max Drawdown-32%-2%-23%-40%-23%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-2%-20%-31%-9%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ASB, WTFC, ONB, FMBH, BUSE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWSBFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven259 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven753 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-90.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven916.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2528 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Waterstone Financial's stock fell -56.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2022. A -56.6% loss requires a 130.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Waterstone Financial (WSBF)

Better Bets than Waterstone Financial (WSBF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WSBF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Waterstone Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WSBFASBWTFCONBFMBHBUSEMedian
NameWatersto.Associat.Wintrust.Old Nati.First Mi.First Bu. 
Mkt Price17.0026.76141.1322.8942.2825.2726.02
Mkt Cap0.34.49.48.91.02.33.3
Rev LTM1341,1532,6502,324339636894
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM435631,113729121157360
FCF 3Y Avg3746476056394163314
CFO LTM446051,150758127173389
CFO 3Y Avg3851581559699173344

Growth & Margins

WSBFASBWTFCONBFMBHBUSEMedian
NameWatersto.Associat.Wintrust.Old Nati.First Mi.First Bu. 
Rev Chg LTM3.7%5.8%11.2%24.9%8.3%40.1%9.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.5%1.1%13.2%20.7%10.7%14.8%12.0%
Rev Chg Q8.9%17.7%13.3%45.1%10.8%65.7%15.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%5.3%3.2%10.4%2.6%13.9%4.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM33.2%52.5%43.4%32.6%37.4%27.1%35.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.6%43.5%33.2%29.0%31.8%34.5%32.5%
FCF/Rev LTM32.5%48.8%42.0%31.4%35.6%24.7%34.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.9%39.2%30.9%27.3%30.2%32.6%30.6%

Valuation

WSBFASBWTFCONBFMBHBUSEMedian
NameWatersto.Associat.Wintrust.Old Nati.First Mi.First Bu. 
Mkt Cap0.34.49.48.91.02.33.3
P/S2.13.73.33.72.73.23.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.524.111.314.110.420.112.8
P/CFO6.27.07.711.37.111.97.4
Total Yield12.6%7.8%8.9%7.1%12.2%5.0%8.3%
Dividend Yield4.0%3.6%0.0%0.0%2.6%0.0%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg14.8%14.1%11.6%9.5%11.3%11.5%11.5%
D/E1.70.90.50.80.40.10.6
Net D/E0.90.6-0.50.5-0.1-0.10.2

Returns

WSBFASBWTFCONBFMBHBUSEMedian
NameWatersto.Associat.Wintrust.Old Nati.First Mi.First Bu. 
1M Rtn8.9%6.7%10.0%11.0%13.5%9.1%9.6%
3M Rtn14.2%5.3%6.7%5.7%9.3%5.0%6.2%
6M Rtn30.7%20.4%21.3%14.0%22.6%16.1%20.8%
12M Rtn21.2%8.0%9.0%3.7%6.0%0.3%7.0%
3Y Rtn19.2%37.5%85.7%46.9%41.5%18.5%39.5%
1M Excs Rtn7.9%5.8%9.0%10.0%12.6%8.1%8.6%
3M Excs Rtn11.4%1.2%2.7%1.8%5.5%1.2%2.2%
6M Excs Rtn17.0%6.7%7.6%0.4%8.9%2.4%7.2%
12M Excs Rtn6.9%-5.0%-4.7%-9.0%-7.5%-12.4%-6.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.4%-40.2%1.6%-33.2%-35.6%-56.9%-37.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mortgage Banking77104192231122
Community Banking5662626359
Holding Company and Other-1-4-0-1-1
Total131163254293180


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community Banking1923282125
Holding Company and Other00-000
Mortgage Banking-10-3426011
Total919718136


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Community Banking2,1782,0102,1622,1171,956
Mortgage Banking206199366456259
Holding Company and Other-172-177-312-388-219
Total2,2132,0322,2162,1851,996


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity142,188
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202513.6%
Average Daily Volume43,429
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.27
Basic Shares Quantity17,639,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20253.4%3.2%5.3%
7/22/20253.4%0.3%5.0%
4/22/2025-1.5%-1.6%2.1%
1/28/20257.4%3.0%6.3%
10/22/20242.0%0.9%2.6%
7/25/20240.2%-4.7%-1.2%
4/30/20244.0%6.8%5.3%
1/30/2024-5.5%-10.4%-10.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive878
# Negative787
Median Positive3.0%3.2%5.1%
Median Negative-3.7%-4.1%-5.1%
Max Positive7.4%8.4%20.8%
Max Negative-10.0%-11.2%-16.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hansen Michael L 10282025Sell15.161,54123,362 Form