vTv Therapeutics (VTVT)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $30.39 | Market Cap: $200.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
vTv Therapeutics (VTVT)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $30.39Market Cap: $200.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.5% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -150718% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -96% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11934x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -98% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -129559%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -129559% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 6397% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -96% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -150718% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11934x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -98% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -129559%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -129559% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 6397% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
VTVT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
During the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025, vTv Therapeutics (VTVT) experienced a 106% stock increase due to several key developments related to its lead drug candidate, cadisegliatin, and a significant financial infusion.
1. Successful $80 Million Private Placement. In September 2025, vTv Therapeutics announced the successful closing of an $80 million private placement. This substantial capital infusion significantly strengthened the company's balance sheet, providing critical funding for the ongoing Phase 3 CATT1 trial and continued development of the cadisegliatin program.
2. First Patient Randomized in Phase 3 CATT1 Trial. In August 2025, vTv Therapeutics announced the randomization of the first study participant in its CATT1 Phase 3 trial. This milestone represents a crucial advancement in the clinical development of cadisegliatin, a potential first-in-class oral adjunctive therapy for type 1 diabetes, moving the drug closer to potential market approval.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VTVT Return | 9% | -47% | -33% | -57% | 20% | 126% | -54% |
| Peers Return | -15% | -9% | -6% | -3% | -3% | -17% | -44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VTVT Win Rate | 50% | 25% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 18% | 15% | 23% | 31% | 22% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VTVT Max Drawdown | -12% | -49% | -60% | -68% | -31% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -13% | -14% | -15% | -30% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VTVT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -93.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1518.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -91.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1018.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND
In The Past
vTv Therapeutics's stock fell -93.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2021. A -93.8% loss requires a 1518.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold vTv Therapeutics Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VTVT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for vTv Therapeutics
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.99 |
| Mkt Cap | 56.0 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | -22 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,020 |
| CFO LTM | -22 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,198 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -44.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1,807.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -75,359.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -76,337.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1,664.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -64,763.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -72,019.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -64,765.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -72,020.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 56.0 |
| P/S | 5,971.9 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/CFO | 10.4 |
| Total Yield | -3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -13.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -12.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -96.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 2.2% | ||
| 8/12/2025 | -3.2% | 7.1% | 38.4% |
| 3/20/2025 | -5.5% | -2.6% | 11.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | 7.1% | 18.1% | 12.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | -1.8% | 0.0% | 12.3% |
| 5/9/2024 | -3.1% | 3.9% | -32.6% |
| 2/28/2024 | 95.9% | 61.6% | 180.0% |
| 8/11/2023 | 2.6% | -6.9% | -32.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 3.6% | 12.9% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -5.4% | -16.8% |
| Max Positive | 95.9% | 61.6% | 180.0% |
| Max Negative | -11.7% | -16.9% | -48.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
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| FinViz |