Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $16.86 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $16.86Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% | ||
| Key risksDFTX key risks include [1] an overwhelming dependence on the successful clinical trial outcome and regulatory approval of its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
| Key risksDFTX key risks include [1] an overwhelming dependence on the successful clinical trial outcome and regulatory approval of its lead candidate, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Definium Therapeutics's Rebranding and Renewed Strategic Focus.
Definium Therapeutics (formerly MindMed) officially rebranded and changed its Nasdaq ticker symbol to "DFTX" effective January 15, 2026. This rebrand underscored a sharpened mission to deliver accessible, science-backed psychiatric therapies, emphasizing disciplined execution and scientific leadership. The company aims to evolve the treatment paradigm for mental health by focusing on innovative, next-generation therapeutics to address underlying causes of psychiatric and neurological disorders.
2. Robust Late-Stage Clinical Pipeline and Anticipated Phase 3 Readouts.
The company's stock gained momentum due to its strong late-stage clinical pipeline, featuring three Phase 3 trial readouts expected in 2026. Notably, its lead candidate, DT120 orally dissolving tablet (ODT) for generalized anxiety disorder (GAD), has already received FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation. Positive results from a prior Phase 2b study for DT120 demonstrated a 48% remission rate in generalized anxiety disorder. Definium is positioned to deliver critical data across two major psychiatric indications, potentially affecting over 50 million people in the U.S.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DFTX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | -26.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.2% | -18.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DFTX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 8.9% | -26.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 20.2% | -18.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DFTX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | -26.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.6% | -18.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DFTX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.1% | -26.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.4% | -18.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DFTX Return | - | - | - | - | - | 19% | 19% |
| Peers Return | -16% | 52% | 9% | 5% | 39% | 8% | 119% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 84% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DFTX Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 64% | 53% | 50% | 58% | 83% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DFTX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -21% | -20% | -17% | -17% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AXSM, NBIX, ALKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
DFTX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AXSM, NBIX, ALKS
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
- Mito-reprogramming Platform: This is a proprietary technology platform used for discovering and developing small molecule therapies that restore and enhance mitochondrial function.
- Investigational Therapies for Neurodegenerative Diseases: Definium Therapeutics is developing pre-clinical drug candidates designed to address mitochondrial dysfunction in neurodegenerative conditions such as Parkinson's disease, Huntington's disease, and ALS.
- Investigational Therapies for Metabolic and Age-Related Diseases: The company also has early-stage drug candidates aimed at improving mitochondrial health to treat various metabolic disorders and other age-related conditions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing novel small molecule therapies for inflammatory diseases and cancer. As a clinical-stage company, Definium Therapeutics does not currently have commercial products on the market generating ongoing sales, and therefore does not have traditional "major customers" in the sense of entities purchasing therapeutics for commercial use or distribution to individuals.
Biotechnology companies at this stage primarily generate revenue through strategic partnerships, collaborations, grants, or the sale/licensing of intellectual property and assets. In this context, the most significant recent transaction that could be considered a "customer-like" relationship involved the sale of specific assets prior to the company's rebranding and strategic pivot.
While operating under its former name, Finch Therapeutics Group, Inc., the company completed a strategic transaction in July 2023 that included the sale of intellectual property and assets related to its CP101 and FIN-524 programs to:
- Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (NYSE: TAK)
This transaction involved an upfront payment and potential future milestones, representing a major sale of assets to another company. As Definium Therapeutics, the company is now focused on advancing its new pipeline of drug candidates. Its future revenue streams would typically involve further financing rounds, grants, and potential future licensing or collaboration agreements with other pharmaceutical or biotechnology companies as its drug candidates progress through clinical development.
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Robert Barrow, Chief Executive Officer and Board Director
Robert Barrow assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer in June 2021, succeeding co-founder J.R. Rahn. Prior to this, he served as the Chief Development Officer. He holds a Master's degree in Pharmacology from The Ohio State University and a Bachelor of Science degree from Wake Forest University, where he graduated summa cum laude. During his tenure, he was instrumental in building a diverse clinical pipeline and forging research partnerships.
Brandi Roberts, CPA, Chief Financial Officer
Brandi Roberts serves as the Chief Financial Officer. She participated in the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference in January 2026.
Daniel R. Karlin, MD, MA, Chief Medical Officer
Daniel R. Karlin was appointed Chief Medical Officer following MindMed's acquisition of HealthMode, where he held the position of CEO.
Stephanie Fagan, MS, Chief Corporate Affairs Officer
Stephanie Fagan holds the title of Chief Corporate Affairs Officer. She was involved in communicating the company's rebranding from MindMed to Definium Therapeutics, explaining the rationale behind the new name.
Matt Wiley, Chief Commercial Officer
Matt Wiley is the Chief Commercial Officer and was present at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference in January 2026.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing treatments for psychiatric and neurological disorders, faces several significant risks inherent to its business model, primarily centered around the success of its lead product candidate, DT120.
- Clinical Trial and Regulatory Approval Risk: The company's future and investment narrative are heavily dependent on the successful outcome of its ongoing Phase 3 trials for DT120, an orally disintegrating tablet being developed for generalized anxiety disorder and major depressive disorder. Failure to achieve positive results in these trials, or an inability to secure regulatory approval thereafter, would significantly impair Definium Therapeutics' ability to generate revenue and continue operations.
- Funding and Commercialization Risk: As a loss-making clinical-stage company with no current revenue, Definium Therapeutics relies heavily on successful clinical development and subsequent commercialization to achieve profitability. The company has a rising research and development (R&D) spend and recently engaged in equity dilution through a US$225,000,000 raise, alongside a credit facility secured against most assets. This highlights a significant dependence on further funding and the successful market entry of its products to sustain operations and generate returns.
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nullAI Analysis | Feedback
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Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX) is poised for significant future revenue growth, primarily driven by the advancement and potential commercialization of its pipeline products in the psychiatric therapeutics market. The company recently rebranded to emphasize its focus on late-stage psychiatry drug development.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Definium Therapeutics over the next 2-3 years:
- Commercialization of DT120 ODT for Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD) and Major Depressive Disorder (MDD): The primary driver of future revenue growth is the potential launch of DT120 ODT, the company's lead candidate, which is in late-stage development for both GAD and MDD. Definium Therapeutics is actively advancing its commercial strategy and operational readiness for a potential launch, assuming regulatory approval. This product aims to address large psychiatric markets that are currently underserved by existing treatments.
- Positive Outcomes from Phase 3 Trials for DT120 ODT: Definium Therapeutics has four Phase 3 trials underway for DT120 ODT across GAD and MDD, with multiple readouts expected in 2026. Successful and positive results from these pivotal trials are crucial for gaining regulatory approvals (e.g., FDA submissions) and will be a direct precursor to market entry and revenue generation.
- Advancement of Early-Stage Pipeline with DT402 for Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD): Beyond its lead candidate, Definium Therapeutics is also progressing its early-stage pipeline. The company has dosed the first patient in a Phase 2a study of DT402 in adults with autism spectrum disorder. Continued advancement and positive data from this program represent a future revenue stream and diversification beyond DT120.
- Strategic Positioning and Differentiation in the Psychiatric Market: Definium Therapeutics is strategically positioning itself as a leader in developing next-generation, psychedelic-inspired therapeutics to address the underlying causes of psychiatric and neurological disorders, rather than just symptoms. This differentiation, particularly with DT120's formulation as an orally disintegrating tablet (ODT) and the aim to potentially bypass mandatory talk therapy requirements, could allow it to capture significant market share if approved. This strategic focus aims to unlock healing at scale and change the trajectory of mental health care.
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Share Issuance
- In October 2025, the company completed an underwritten public offering of 21,131,250 common shares at $12.25 per share, including the full exercise of the underwriters' option, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $259 million.
- The net proceeds from this October 2025 offering, approximately $242.8 million, are intended to fund research and development of product candidates, working capital, and general corporate purposes, with potential use for future acquisitions.
- In June 2025, Mind Medicine (MindMed) Inc. (the company's former name) filed a Form S-8 to register up to 16,367,773 additional common shares for employee equity compensation programs, including 4,500,000 newly reserved shares for the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2021, Mind Medicine (MindMed) Inc. (the company's former name) acquired digital health startup HealthMode for approximately CAD$41.25 million.
- The acquisition consideration included the issuance of 81,497 multiple voting shares (equivalent to 8,149,700 subordinate voting shares) and approximately CAD$286,000 in cash.
Capital Expenditures
- Research and development (R&D) expenses significantly increased, reaching $31.0 million in Q3 2025 and $29.8 million in Q2 2025, primarily driven by costs associated with the MM120 ODT program.
- The operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months ending Q3 2025 was -$113.94 million, reflecting the annual cash burn from core operations.
- The net proceeds from the October 2025 public offering are projected to fund operations into 2028, with a primary focus on advancing the MM120 ODT program and its three Phase 3 readouts expected in 2026.
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 86.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,041 |
| Op Inc LTM | 127 |
| FCF LTM | 206 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 144 |
| CFO LTM | 231 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 166 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 27.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 22.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.3 |
| P/S | 5.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.9 |
| P/E | 16.6 |
| P/CFO | 10.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 29.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 11.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -43.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/12/2021 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/13/2021 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/14/2021 | 6-K |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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