Bristow (VTOL)
Market Price (4/11/2026): $49.7 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Bristow (VTOL)
Market Price (4/11/2026): $49.7Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Advanced Helicopter Operations, Search & Rescue Aviation Technologies, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksVTOL key risks include [1] a significant dependence on the volatile offshore energy market and [2] transition and execution challenges with major government contracts like the Irish Coast Guard and UK Search and Rescue. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Offshore Wind Development. Themes include Advanced Helicopter Operations, Search & Rescue Aviation Technologies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksVTOL key risks include [1] a significant dependence on the volatile offshore energy market and [2] transition and execution challenges with major government contracts like the Irish Coast Guard and UK Search and Rescue. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong 2026 Financial Outlook and Increased Free Cash Flow Projections.
Bristow provided robust 2026 financial guidance, projecting Adjusted EBITDA growth of approximately 25% year-over-year, with a range of $295 million to $325 million. The company also anticipates Adjusted Free Cash Flow in excess of $200 million for 2026, following $186.7 million in 2025. This positive outlook for both profitability and cash generation affirmed investor confidence after full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA of $246 million came in line with guidance.
2. Strategic Debt Refinancing and Improved Financial Health.
In January 2026, Bristow successfully refinanced $500 million in senior notes, securing a lower coupon rate of 6.75% and extending the maturity to 2033. This strategic financial maneuver was seen as a positive indicator of improved financial health and a reduction in future interest expenses. This sentiment was further reinforced by S&P Global Ratings upgrading Bristow's issuer credit rating to 'B+' from 'B' in October 2025, anticipating positive free cash flow generation and gross debt reduction in 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 36.3% change in VTOL stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 51.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.51 | 49.77 | 36.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,467 | 1,491 | 1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.7% | 8.7% | -10.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.4 | 11.2 | 51.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 29 | 29 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 36.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTOL | 36.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 41.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 27.4% | 21.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 38.3% change in VTOL stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.98 | 49.77 | 38.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,446 | 1,491 | 3.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.7 | 11.2 | 28.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 29 | 29 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 38.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTOL | 38.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 29.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.6% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 58.1% change in VTOL stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.49 | 49.77 | 58.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,415 | 1,491 | 5.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.7% | 8.7% | 29.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.5 | 11.2 | 18.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 29 | 29 | -1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 58.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTOL | 58.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 54.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 25.0% | 60.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 122.8% change in VTOL stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 539.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.33 | 49.77 | 122.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,192 | 1,491 | 25.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.4% | 8.7% | 539.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 38.7 | 11.2 | -71.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 29 | -3.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 122.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTOL | 122.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 43.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 50.6% | 57.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VTOL Return | 20% | -14% | 4% | 21% | 7% | 35% | 88% |
| Peers Return | 5% | 1% | 53% | 42% | 24% | 20% | 240% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VTOL Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 53% | 57% | 55% | 53% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VTOL Max Drawdown | -8% | -29% | -24% | -12% | -25% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -12% | -26% | -5% | -18% | -23% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FTAI, AIR, CAE, LMT, BA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VTOL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 526 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -69.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 225.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 146.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 424 days | 120 days |
Compare to FTAI, AIR, CAE, LMT, BA
In The Past
Bristow's stock fell -47.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2022. A -47.0% loss requires a 88.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Bristow (VTOL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bristow is like the "FedEx for offshore oil rigs," flying critical personnel and equipment, that also provides "Coast Guard-style" search and rescue operations globally.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Offshore Energy Aviation Services: Providing helicopter transportation for personnel and equipment to support integrated, national, and independent offshore energy operations.
- Search and Rescue (SAR) Services: Offering specialized helicopter services for commercial and public sector search and rescue missions.
- Ad Hoc Transportation Services: Delivering other non-scheduled helicopter and fixed-wing aircraft transportation solutions for various clients.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) primarily provides aviation services to **other companies** in the energy sector and to **public sector entities** for search and rescue services. Given its stated focus on "integrated, national, and independent offshore energy companies," Bristow's major customers are typically large oil and gas corporations and government agencies. While Bristow's SEC filings do not consistently name individual customers accounting for a significant portion of its revenue due to the nature of its contract-based business and confidentiality, the following public companies are representative examples of the types of major offshore energy companies it serves globally: * **ExxonMobil Corporation** (NYSE: XOM) * **Shell plc** (NYSE: SHEL) * **BP p.l.c.** (NYSE: BP) * **Chevron Corporation** (NYSE: CVX) * **Equinor ASA** (NYSE: EQNR) * **Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras** (NYSE: PBR) * **Woodside Energy Group Ltd** (NYSE: WDS) * **Hess Corporation** (NYSE: HES) In addition to these energy companies, Bristow also serves various government and public sector entities for search and rescue operations, such as the UK Maritime and Coastguard Agency, though these are not public companies with stock symbols.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are Bristow's major suppliers:
- Leonardo S.p.A. (BIT: LDO)
- Airbus SE (Euronext Paris: AIR)
- Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE: LMT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Christopher Bradshaw
President and Chief Executive Officer
Christopher Bradshaw has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Bristow Group Inc., and formerly Era Group Inc., since 2014. He previously held the position of Chief Financial Officer of Era Group Inc. from October 2012 to September 2015. From 2009 until 2012, Mr. Bradshaw co-founded U.S. Capital Advisors LLC, an independent financial advisory firm, where he served as Managing Partner and Chief Financial Officer. Before co-founding U.S. Capital Advisors LLC, he was an energy investment banker at UBS Securities LLC, Morgan Stanley & Co., and PaineWebber Incorporated.
Jennifer Whalen
Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Jennifer Whalen became Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer for Bristow Group Inc. in June 2020. Prior to this, she served as the Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer for Era Group Inc. starting in February 2018. Ms. Whalen was also the Company's Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer from August 2013 until June 2017, when she was appointed Vice President, Acting Chief Financial Officer. She joined the company as Controller in April 2012. From August 2007 to March 2012, she held various roles, including Director of Accounting, at nLIGHT Photonics Corporation, a high-performance laser supplier.
David Stepanek
Executive Vice President, Chief Transformation Officer
David Stepanek assumed the role of Bristow's Executive Vice President, Chief Transformation Officer in February 2023. In this position, he is responsible for leading the company's transformation by introducing Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) aircraft and expanding its core business into new regions. He previously served as Bristow's Executive Vice President, Sales and Chief Transformation Officer from April 2021 to February 2023, and as Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer from June 2020 until March 2021. Mr. Stepanek joined Era Group Inc. in January 2020 as Senior Vice President, Business Development.
Alan Corbett
Chief Operating Officer for Government Services
Alan Corbett was appointed Chief Operating Officer for Government Services in February 2023. In this role, he is responsible for overseeing all of Bristow's Government Services activities, including existing operations, new business development, and emerging markets, particularly within the Search and Rescue (SAR) sector. He also has responsibility for Airnorth and the Humberside airport. Before this appointment, he served as Senior Vice President for Europe, Africa, Middle East, Asia (EAMEA) and Search and Rescue from June 2020 to February 2023.
Stuart Stavley
Chief Operating Officer for Energy Services
Stuart Stavley was appointed Chief Operating Officer for Energy Services in February 2023. He is responsible for the oversight of Bristow's oil and gas operations across all global regions, as well as global operational shared services such as Safety, Standards, Supply Chain, and Fleet Management. Prior to this, he served as Senior Vice President, Operations and Fleet Management from June 2020 to February 2023, and held the same role for Era Group Inc. before that.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Bristow Group Inc.'s business include:
-
Supply Chain Constraints: Bristow faces persistent global supply chain challenges for new aircraft and critical parts, which is identified as the biggest near-term risk. These disruptions directly impact aircraft availability and utilization rates, hindering the company's ability to fully capitalize on demand and sometimes leading to penalties.
-
Energy Market Volatility and Reliance on Offshore Energy Services: A substantial portion of Bristow's revenue, approximately 66-67%, is derived from its Offshore Energy Services segment, which is highly dependent on global energy demand and oil prices. This exposes the company to the inherent volatility of the energy market and potential downturns in offshore exploration and production activities.
-
Contract Transition Costs in Government Services: While the Government Services segment provides stable revenue and growth, the transition to new contracts, such as the Irish Coast Guard (IRCG) contract, can incur significant start-up costs. These initial expenses can negatively impact profitability in the short term, and delays in aircraft availability related to new contracts have also led to penalties.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The global energy transition away from fossil fuels, which is leading to reduced investment and activity in the offshore oil and gas industry, poses a clear emerging threat to Bristow's primary business of providing aviation services to offshore energy companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) operates in two primary addressable markets:
-
Offshore Helicopter Services: The global offshore helicopter services market was valued at approximately USD 3.27 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 5.57 billion by 2033, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1% from 2026 to 2033. Another estimate valued the global market at USD 6.17 billion in 2025, with a projected growth to USD 10.44 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 6.8%. North America held the largest share of this market, valued at USD 1.12 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 1.141.5 million by 2032. Europe accounts for approximately 30% of the global market share. The oil and gas industry segment constituted 70.71% of the market share in 2026.
-
Search and Rescue (SAR) Helicopter Services: The global search and rescue helicopter market was valued at USD 1.91 billion in 2021 and is anticipated to reach USD 2.84 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.1% from 2022 to 2030. More recent data indicates the market was valued at USD 2.6 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 3.73 billion by 2033. Another projection places the global market size at USD 2.90 billion in 2025, reaching USD 4.18 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 4.68%. North America represented the largest revenue share in 2021, exceeding 37.30%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:
- Expansion of Government Services Contracts: Bristow's Government Services segment is a significant growth engine, with adjusted operating income expected to double in 2026. The full-year contribution from new long-term contracts, such as the Irish Coast Guard (IRCG) search and rescue (SAR) contract and the Second-Generation Search and Rescue Aviation (UKSAR2G) program in the UK, is projected to materially boost earnings from 2026 onwards. Additionally, the company sees further growth opportunities in core government SAR and broader aviation services to government and military customers, supported by anticipated increases in defense spending.
- Increased Activity and Improved Pricing in Offshore Energy Services (OES): The company maintains a positive long-term outlook for offshore energy services, driven by favorable deepwater projects expected to attract increased upstream capital investment. Bristow anticipates a 15% increase in adjusted operating income from its offshore energy services business in 2026, primarily due to improved contract renewal terms, with global rate uplifts for leading-edge contracts averaging around 25%. Strong demand in offshore markets, particularly in regions like Brazil, Africa, and the Caribbean, coupled with a tight supply of heavy and super-medium helicopters, further supports revenue growth in this segment. New contracts, including a notable five-year agreement with a U.S.-based energy operator, are also expected to contribute by 2026.
- Fleet Modernization and Expansion: Bristow's strategic investment in new aircraft, such as the agreement for 10 AW189 super medium helicopters (with options for 10 more) for delivery between 2025 and 2028, is a key driver. These modern helicopters will enhance offshore transport and SAR capabilities, offering greater operational flexibility, superior performance, and lower operating costs, thereby driving EBITDA growth.
- Strategic Initiatives in Advanced Air Mobility (AAM): Bristow is strategically positioning itself in the emerging Advanced Air Mobility market. The company anticipates sustained revenue growth through these initiatives, as evidenced by CEO Chris Bradshaw's statement on strategic investments in AAM. A binding deposit agreement with Electra for the first EL9 aircraft deliveries further solidifies Bristow's strategic presence in the electric vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) sector, presenting a potential avenue for future growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Bristow Group Inc. authorized a share repurchase program of up to $125 million on February 26, 2025.
- Since February 2025, Bristow repurchased 123,966 shares for US$3.95 million.
- Common stock repurchases amounted to approximately $15.2 million in 2025, $4.1 million in 2024, and $2.7 million in 2023.
Capital Expenditures
- Maintenance capital expenditures were approximately $11.7 million in 2025.
- Maintenance capital expenditures were approximately $16.5 million in 2024.
- The company's investments focus on next-generation aircraft and emergency response services to broaden its customer base, support innovation, and improve long-term profitability.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to VTOL.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 65.2% | 65.2% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | FTAI | FTAI Aviation | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 38.7% | 38.7% | -8.0% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -6.5% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 169.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.3 |
| Rev LTM | 3,999 |
| Op Inc LTM | 446 |
| FCF LTM | 47 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -4 |
| CFO LTM | 564 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 96 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.3 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 17.7 |
| P/E | 28.0 |
| P/CFO | 13.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 64.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 78.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 27.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 38.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 11.1% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offshore energy services | 597 | 624 | ||
| Government services | 434 | 427 | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 248 | 180 | ||
| Construction-in-progress | 244 | 99 | ||
| Accounts receivable, net | 212 | 235 | ||
| Other assets | 143 | 138 | ||
| Inventories | 115 | 100 | ||
| Other Services | 63 | 61 | ||
| Prepaid expenses and other current assets | 42 | 45 | ||
| Investment in unconsolidated affiliates | 22 | 20 | ||
| Restricted cash | 4 | 3 | ||
| Corporate | 3 | 4 | ||
| Total | 2,125 | 1,937 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $49.77 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/22/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $45.59 | $39.44 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 9.2% | 26.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.0% | 32.4% |
| Downside Capture | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| Upside Capture | 181.08 | 100.56 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.3% | 36.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.03 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| Up Beta | 2.43 | 1.27 | 0.76 | 0.74 | 0.96 | 1.07 |
| Down Beta | 0.71 | 1.07 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 1.50 | 1.27 |
| Up Capture | 133% | 116% | 226% | 117% | 104% | 94% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 36 | 69 | 138 | 386 |
| Down Capture | 82% | 51% | 38% | 48% | 82% | 96% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 26 | 56 | 111 | 356 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTOL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTOL | 94.4% | 34.6% | 1.97 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 53.0% | 22.2% | 1.83 | 52.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 45.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 15.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 43.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 36.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -5.7% | 43.7% | -0.01 | 19.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTOL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTOL | 13.4% | 40.7% | 0.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.6% | 26.1% | 0.78 | 59.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 44.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 11.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 42.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 36.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 17.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTOL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTOL | 18.8% | 83.7% | 0.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.8% | 29.5% | 0.40 | 35.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 27.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 3.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 23.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 27.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 7.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | 2.8% | -3.9% | -0.6% |
| 11/4/2025 | -6.1% | -6.7% | -11.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| 2/26/2025 | 9.2% | -6.1% | -6.5% |
| 11/5/2024 | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| 8/6/2024 | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
| 3/5/2024 | -4.6% | -5.5% | -0.7% |
| 11/1/2023 | 9.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.4% | -6.1% | -9.1% |
| Max Positive | 11.7% | 16.5% | 35.8% |
| Max Negative | -10.4% | -13.2% | -26.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/06/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-KT |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/31/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.58 Bil | 1.64 Bil | 1.69 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.64 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 295.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 325.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 310.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow | 200.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Adjusted Operating Income | 280.00 Mil | 295.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 1.46 Bil | 1.49 Bil | 1.52 Bil | -1.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.51 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.58 Bil | 1.64 Bil | 1.69 Bil | -2.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.68 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 240.00 Mil | 245.00 Mil | 250.00 Mil | -2.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 250.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 295.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 325.00 Mil | -2.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 317.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Growth | 27.0% | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brass, Lorin L | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 38.00 | 2,500 | 95,000 | 824,790 | Form | |
| 2 | Mickelson, George Mark | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 38.40 | 10,000 | 384,035 | 2,314,389 | Form | |
| 3 | Brass, Lorin L | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 38.51 | 2,500 | 96,266 | 932,045 | Form | |
| 4 | Solus, Alternative Asset Management Lp | See footnotes | Sell | 11182025 | 38.05 | 200,000 | 7,610,000 | 109,462,088 | Form | |
| 5 | Manzo, Robert | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 38.75 | 6,000 | 232,505 | 1,262,617 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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