Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 4.7 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.6 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.

Key risks
VST key risks include [1] a significant debt burden that constrains financial flexibility and [2] operational challenges across its large and complex generation portfolio, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 4.7 Bil
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.6 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
4 Key risks
VST key risks include [1] a significant debt burden that constrains financial flexibility and [2] operational challenges across its large and complex generation portfolio, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 5/26/2026
Vistra (VST) stock has remained largely at the same level since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Vistra reported strong first-quarter 2026 financial results, significantly exceeding analyst expectations and reaffirming robust full-year guidance. The company announced a GAAP net income of $1,029 million, driven partly by a $723 million unrealized gain from hedges, and an Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $1,494 million for Q1 2026. This performance notably beat the consensus EPS estimate of $1.32 with a reported $2.87 and surpassed revenue forecasts with $5.64 billion. Vistra also reaffirmed its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6.8 billion to $7.6 billion and Adjusted Free Cash Flow before growth guidance of $3.925 billion to $4.725 billion.

2. Vistra achieved investment-grade credit ratings from a second major agency, enhancing its financial profile. Fitch Ratings upgraded Vistra's long-term issuer default rating to investment grade (BBB-) in March 2026, following a similar upgrade from S&P in December 2025. This milestone improves the company's financial flexibility, potentially reduces borrowing costs, and signals increased stability to investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.3% change in VST stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 72.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120265292026Change
Stock Price ($)158.13160.231.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,19119,44513.1%
Net Income Margin (%)6.7%11.5%72.0%
P/E Multiple46.524.2-48.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3393380.3%
Cumulative Contribution1.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VST1.3% 
Market (SPY)9.6%33.9%
Sector (XLU)3.4%53.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.7% change in VST stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120255292026Change
Stock Price ($)187.78160.23-14.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,50819,4455.1%
Net Income Margin (%)12.9%11.5%-10.7%
P/E Multiple26.724.2-9.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3393380.5%
Cumulative Contribution-14.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VST-14.7% 
Market (SPY)11.5%37.7%
Sector (XLU)1.2%56.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.2% change in VST stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 46.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255292026Change
Stock Price ($)128.97160.2324.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,22419,44512.9%
Net Income Margin (%)15.4%11.5%-25.3%
P/E Multiple16.524.246.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3403380.7%
Cumulative Contribution24.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VST24.2% 
Market (SPY)38.0%39.7%
Sector (XLU)15.8%48.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 596.7% change in VST stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 320.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235292026Change
Stock Price ($)23.00160.23596.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13,72819,44541.6%
P/S Multiple0.72.8320.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)39633817.1%
Cumulative Contribution596.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VST596.7% 
Market (SPY)89.0%47.4%
Sector (XLU)41.2%43.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
VST Return20%5%71%262%18%-1%808%
Peers Return19%8%16%46%35%-1%193%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VST Win Rate58%58%67%75%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate60%58%58%60%63%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VST Max Drawdown-33%-22%-13%-35%-49%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-27%-20%-18%-24%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CEG, NRG, NEE, SO, DUK. See VST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventVSTS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-42.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven60 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-25.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven51 days18 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven78.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven337 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-16.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven45 days105 days

Compare to CEG, NRG, NEE, SO, DUK

In The Past

Vistra's stock fell -42.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 72.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventVSTS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-42.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven60 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-25.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven51 days18 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven78.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven337 days140 days

Compare to CEG, NRG, NEE, SO, DUK

In The Past

Vistra's stock fell -42.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 72.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vistra (VST)

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. The company operates through six segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across 20 states in the United States and the District of Columbia. The company is also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 4.3 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 38,700 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Vistra:

  • The ExxonMobil (XOM) of electricity.
  • The AT&T (T) of electricity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Retail Electricity: Vistra sells electricity directly to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Retail Natural Gas: Vistra sells natural gas directly to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Electricity Generation: Vistra produces electricity from a diverse portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage facilities.
  • Wholesale Energy Trading: Vistra engages in the purchase and sale of energy commodities in wholesale markets.
  • Energy Commodity Risk Management: Vistra provides services to manage financial risks associated with energy price volatility.
  • Fuel Production & Logistics: Vistra is involved in the production of fuel and the management of its supply chain.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Vistra (VST) sells electricity and natural gas primarily to a diverse base of customers, including individuals and businesses. Based on the company description, it serves the following categories of customers:

  • Residential Customers: Individuals and households who consume electricity and natural gas for their homes.
  • Commercial Customers: Businesses and organizations, ranging from small enterprises to large corporations, that use electricity and natural gas for their operations.
  • Industrial Customers: Large-scale industrial facilities and manufacturing plants that require substantial amounts of electricity and natural gas for production processes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Jim Burke, President and Chief Executive Officer

Jim Burke has been with Vistra and its predecessor companies since 2004, serving in various leadership positions, including president and chief financial officer from December 2020 to July 2022, and chief operating officer from 2016 until December 2020. He previously served as chairman and CEO of TXU Energy, a subsidiary of Vistra and its predecessor company, from August 2005 to October 2016. Before joining TXU Energy, Burke was president and chief operating officer of Gexa Energy, a Houston-based retailer that was subsequently acquired by FPL in 2005. Prior to Gexa Energy, he held roles as vice president of residential marketing and senior vice president of consumer operations with Reliant Energy. Burke also worked at The Coca-Cola Company for six years and was a management consultant for Deloitte & Touche Consulting.

Kris Moldovan, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Kris Moldovan has been with Vistra and its predecessor companies since 2006. He previously served as senior vice president and treasurer from 2017 to 2022, and as assistant treasurer from 2010 to 2017. Moldovan originally joined the company as senior counsel, focusing on finance and mergers and acquisitions. Before joining Vistra, he was an attorney for Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher, LLP and Wildman, Harrold, Allen & Dixon, where he gained extensive experience in M&A, finance, and general corporate advisory.

Stacey Doré, Chief Strategy & Sustainability Officer, Executive Vice President of Public Affairs

Stacey Doré originally joined Vistra's predecessor companies in 2008 as part of the legal team, holding leadership roles including executive vice president, general counsel, and chief restructuring officer. Prior to rejoining Vistra, she most recently served as president and chief executive officer of Hunt Utility Services and Sharyland Utilities from 2019-2021. She also served as senior vice president and general counsel for publicly traded InfraREIT, Inc. from 2016-2019. Doré began her career as an attorney at Vinson & Elkins, LLP in 1997.

Scott A. Hudson, Executive Vice President and President of Vistra Retail

Scott A. Hudson serves as the head of Vistra's retail business and is the president of TXU Energy. He joined TXU Energy in 2011, serving as the company's chief operating officer. Previously, Hudson held various leadership positions at LexisNexis and MBNA.

Carrie Kirby, Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer

Carrie Kirby oversees the functions of human resources, community affairs, supply chain, corporate security, and facilities management at Vistra.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Vistra (VST)

  1. Regulatory and Policy Changes: As an integrated retail electricity and power generation company, Vistra is highly susceptible to regulatory shifts and government policies, particularly those related to environmental protection, carbon emissions, and the structure of energy market deals. Changes in these regulations, especially concerning how power is priced or how "behind-the-meter" data center deals are structured in key operating states like Texas and Pennsylvania, could significantly impact Vistra's operations, compliance costs, strategic direction, and profitability.
  2. Operational Risks in Nuclear Facilities: Vistra operates nuclear generation facilities, which inherently carry significant operational risks. Any unscheduled outages at major nuclear plants, such as Comanche Peak, could lead to severe impacts on the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and cash flow.
  3. Commodity Price Volatility and Debt Levels: Vistra is exposed to the volatility of fuel prices, particularly natural gas, which can impact its operating margins and overall profitability. Furthermore, the company carries a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage. This high debt level increases Vistra's sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations and could affect its ability to raise additional capital, limiting its capacity to react to economic or industry changes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerating global and national shift towards decarbonization and renewable energy sources (solar, wind) coupled with advanced battery storage technology poses a clear emerging threat. This transition is rapidly making traditional fossil fuel-based generation assets (particularly coal, and increasingly natural gas) economically uncompetitive and potentially obsolete well before their planned operational lifespan. Vistra's significant portfolio of coal, natural gas, and nuclear power plants faces the risk of becoming stranded assets, leading to significant write-downs, reduced profitability, and increased operational costs as they compete with ever-cheaper and environmentally preferred alternatives. This fundamental shift challenges the economic viability of a large portion of Vistra's existing generation capacity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Addressable Markets for Vistra (VST)

  • Retail Electricity: The addressable market for retail electricity in the United States was approximately $424.3 billion in 2021.
  • Natural Gas Distribution: The U.S. natural gas distribution market was valued at approximately $170.0 billion in 2024.
  • Electricity Generation: The revenue for the U.S. power generation industry totaled approximately $129.2 billion in 2022. Net electricity generation from utility-scale generators in the United States was about 4,178 billion kilowatthours (4.18 trillion kWh) in 2023.
  • Energy Trading and Risk Management (ETRM): The U.S. Energy Trading and Risk Management market was valued at an estimated $10.8 billion in 2025.
  • Fuel Production and Fuel Logistics Management: Null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Vistra (VST) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  • Strategic Acquisitions: Vistra's inorganic growth strategy, including the acquisition of Energy Harbor in 2024 and Cogentrix's natural gas plants, significantly bolsters its generation capacity and nuclear footprint. These acquisitions are expected to increase the company's asset base and contribute to higher Adjusted EBITDA.
  • Rising Power Demand from Data Centers and AI: The increasing demand for electricity from power-intensive sectors like cloud infrastructure, high-performance computing, and artificial intelligence is a significant driver for Vistra. The company has secured multi-decade power purchase agreements with major technology companies like AWS and Meta to meet this accelerating load growth.
  • Expansion of Zero-Carbon Generation and Energy Storage: Vistra is actively expanding its nuclear, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. This includes repurposing retired coal plants for solar and energy storage, aligning with its goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. This expansion also makes the company eligible for government subsidies and nuclear production tax credits (PTCs), which have already contributed to increased revenues.
  • Growth in Retail Customer Base and Strong Performance: The company anticipates continued strong performance in its retail segment, driven by growth in its customer count and improved margins. Vistra currently serves approximately 5 million customers across 20 states, indicating a solid foundation for ongoing retail revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Vistra executed approximately $4.9 billion in share repurchases between November 2021 and February 24, 2025, resulting in a reduction of approximately 30% in outstanding shares from November 2021 levels.
  • As of May 2, 2025, Vistra had repurchased shares totaling $5.2 billion since November 2021, with approximately $1.5 billion of share repurchase authorization remaining, which is expected to be completed by year-end 2026.
  • Vistra's board authorized an additional $1 billion for share repurchases in March 2023, increasing the total authorization to approximately $1.8 billion, expected to be completed by year-end 2024. As of October 31, 2025, $2.2 billion remained under current authorization, expected to be fully utilized by the end of 2027.

Share Issuance

  • In October 2021, Vistra announced a private offering of $1 billion of 8% Series A Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, with the net proceeds intended for common stock repurchases.
  • Vistra's shares outstanding have consistently decreased over recent years, from 0.48 billion at the end of 2021 to 0.353 billion in 2024 and 0.338 billion at the end of 2025, primarily due to share repurchases.

Outbound Investments

  • Vistra completed the acquisition of Energy Harbor Corp. on March 1, 2024, adding approximately 4,000 megawatts of 24/7 nuclear generation and about 1 million additional retail customers.
  • On October 22, 2025, Vistra completed the acquisition of seven modern natural gas generation facilities from Lotus Infrastructure Partners, totaling approximately 2,600 MW of capacity, for a base purchase price of $1.9 billion.
  • In January 2026, Vistra announced the acquisition of Cogentrix Energy, which includes 10 natural gas plants with approximately 5,500 MW capacity.

Capital Expenditures

  • Vistra is strategically committing significant capital expenditures to enhance its renewable energy and energy storage portfolio.
  • The company aims to invest $2.27 billion in 2025, an increase from $1.85 billion in 2024 and $1.61 billion in 2023.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is the development of solar, battery storage, and modernized gas-fired facilities, supporting Vistra's clean energy transition.

Better Bets vs. Vistra (VST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to VST.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
SRE_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026SRESempraInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
-2.1%-2.1%-4.9%
CTRI_12122025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V212122025CTRICenturiInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
41.5%41.5%-5.5%
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.1%2.1%-4.0%
VST_5312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312025VSTVistraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
11.7%-1.2%-10.9%
VST_6302022_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V206302022VSTVistraInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
7.0%18.5%-7.4%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VSTCEGNRGNEESODUKMedian
NameVistra Constell.NRG Ener.NextEra .Southern Duke Ene. 
Mkt Price160.23287.75134.0887.0192.05122.73128.41
Mkt Cap54.1101.927.8181.2103.595.598.7
Rev LTM19,44529,86732,38427,86730,17433,16630,020
Op Inc LTM3,7535,0331,1687,7517,2938,5816,163
FCF LTM1,8031,137-3562,363-3,466-3,299390
FCF 3Y Avg2,315-3,5731,0033,250-1,452-1,762-224
CFO LTM4,6704,55588912,3309,77811,6657,224
CFO 3Y Avg4,617-7231,80912,6629,17511,5226,896

Growth & Margins

VSTCEGNRGNEESODUKMedian
NameVistra Constell.NRG Ener.NextEra .Southern Duke Ene. 
Rev Chg LTM7.4%23.4%10.6%10.3%8.3%7.2%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.6%5.1%1.4%4.3%1.7%4.6%4.4%
Rev Chg Q43.4%63.8%19.5%7.3%8.0%11.3%15.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.6%17.0%5.4%1.7%2.1%2.9%4.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM-3.1%26.7%-54.1%4.8%-1.1%3.1%1.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg158.9%361.8%64.9%3.2%12.3%9.4%38.6%
Op Mgn LTM19.3%16.9%3.6%27.8%24.2%25.9%21.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.6%14.3%5.9%29.9%25.2%25.9%21.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.3%4.7%-2.7%-1.4%-0.5%-0.7%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM24.0%15.3%2.7%44.2%32.4%35.2%28.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.7%-4.4%6.1%47.4%33.0%37.0%30.3%
FCF/Rev LTM9.3%3.8%-1.1%8.5%-11.5%-9.9%1.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.3%-15.4%3.5%12.3%-5.0%-5.6%-0.8%

Valuation

VSTCEGNRGNEESODUKMedian
NameVistra Constell.NRG Ener.NextEra .Southern Duke Ene. 
Mkt Cap54.1101.927.8181.2103.595.598.7
P/S2.83.40.96.53.42.93.1
P/Op Inc14.420.223.823.414.211.117.3
P/EBIT14.416.725.318.412.49.815.5
P/E24.226.9116.122.123.718.623.9
P/CFO11.622.431.214.710.68.213.1
Total Yield4.7%4.2%0.9%7.2%7.2%6.3%5.5%
Dividend Yield0.6%0.5%0.0%2.7%3.0%0.9%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.9%-6.2%6.2%2.2%-1.5%-1.9%0.4%
D/E0.40.20.80.60.71.00.7
Net D/E0.40.20.80.60.70.90.6

Returns

VSTCEGNRGNEESODUKMedian
NameVistra Constell.NRG Ener.NextEra .Southern Duke Ene. 
1M Rtn4.2%-3.0%-9.7%-7.6%-0.7%-2.1%-2.6%
3M Rtn-7.7%-12.5%-24.8%-7.2%-4.7%-5.4%-7.5%
6M Rtn-10.2%-20.8%-20.4%1.5%2.7%0.7%-4.7%
12M Rtn0.8%-4.7%-12.2%29.9%7.1%10.0%4.0%
3Y Rtn594.1%250.9%318.9%29.8%46.5%56.5%153.7%
1M Excs Rtn-2.0%-9.2%-16.0%-13.8%-7.0%-8.4%-8.8%
3M Excs Rtn-17.9%-22.7%-35.0%-17.4%-14.9%-15.6%-17.7%
6M Excs Rtn-18.0%-30.0%-29.7%-8.8%-7.3%-9.6%-13.8%
12M Excs Rtn-29.5%-34.8%-41.8%4.6%-21.0%-17.7%-25.3%
3Y Excs Rtn494.0%166.6%239.0%-54.8%-39.1%-31.1%67.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail12,79710,5729,4557,8718,270
East5,6615,8903,7062,5872,415
Texas5,3943,9793,7332,7904,116
West839914336374282
Asset Closure390384863
Corporate and Other-7,506-6,57610 
Eliminations  -4,755-2,284-4,895
Sunset  8686531,252
Total17,22414,77913,72812,07711,443


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Texas2,133398-615-2,5121,760
Retail1,2164241,1582,196309
East9021,749-868-56741
West486454-238150
Asset Closure-131-6-147-298-101
Corporate and Other -1,527-27053-1,021
Eliminations  00 
Sunset  -230-137-414
Total4,6061,492-1,210-1,264624


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$160.23 
Market Cap ($ Bil)54.2 
First Trading Date05/10/2017 
Distance from 52W High-26.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$154.38$172.91
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA3.8%-7.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility50.7%48.6%
Downside Capture256.09224.45
Upside Capture132.35157.19
Correlation (SPY)35.3%37.4%
VST Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.091.181.141.531.581.72
Up Beta0.500.940.950.521.281.53
Down Beta4.910.410.231.101.442.08
Up Capture115%118%146%204%224%1140%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days14263865131415
Down Capture257%174%147%191%151%108%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days8172660121335

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VST
VST-0.8%48.5%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLU)13.5%14.2%0.6652.0%
Equity (SPY)30.3%11.8%1.9437.4%
Gold (GLD)37.5%26.7%1.1711.5%
Commodities (DBC)39.6%18.8%1.63-2.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.5%13.1%0.6413.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.8%41.6%-0.8122.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VST
VST60.4%47.8%1.16-
Sector ETF (XLU)9.4%17.2%0.4043.3%
Equity (SPY)14.3%17.0%0.6644.6%
Gold (GLD)18.8%18.0%0.8512.6%
Commodities (DBC)10.2%19.4%0.4115.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0827.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.6%54.6%0.4620.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VST
VST28.6%42.9%0.80-
Sector ETF (XLU)9.8%19.2%0.4442.9%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.7646.0%
Gold (GLD)13.3%16.0%0.6910.0%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%17.9%0.3321.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2436.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.0%66.9%1.0617.0%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date5152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 43020267.8%
Average Daily Volume5.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity337.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 5/29/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-2.7%-9.9% 
2/26/20260.8%-6.8%-13.0%
11/6/2025-2.5%-5.9%-12.3%
8/7/20252.4%2.2%-6.4%
5/7/2025-3.7%7.0%18.0%
2/27/2025-12.3%-14.4%-19.3%
11/7/20247.6%12.7%26.9%
8/8/20246.9%7.2%-0.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111416
# Negative14118
Median Positive5.2%6.6%6.7%
Median Negative-2.6%-5.9%-9.3%
Max Positive9.1%20.6%34.4%
Max Negative-24.2%-23.2%-25.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/28/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA6.80 Bil7.20 Bil7.60 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 7.20 Bil for 2026
2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG3.92 Bil4.33 Bil4.72 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 4.33 Bil for 2026
2027 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA7.40 Bil7.60 Bil7.80 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 7.60 Bil for 2027
2027 Share Repurchases 1.50 Bil -16.7% LoweredGuidance: 1.80 Bil for 2027

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA6.80 Bil7.20 Bil7.60 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 7.20 Bil for 2026
2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted FCFbG3.92 Bil4.33 Bil4.72 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 4.33 Bil for 2026
2027 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA Midpoint Opportunity7.40 Bil7.60 Bil7.80 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 7.60 Bil for 2027
2027 Share Repurchases 1.80 Bil    

Insider Activity

Updated 5/29/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Montemayor, MargaretSVP, Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell5292026164.965,000824,8002,368,826Form
2Moore, Stephanie ZapataEVP and General CounselDirectSell3112026160.3110,0001,603,10018,340,907Form
3Burke, James APresident and CEODirectSell12152025162.0522,2513,605,77548,290,576Form
4Moore, Stephanie ZapataEVP and General CounselDirectSell11262025173.358,2191,424,76413,842,691Form
5Hudson, Scott AEVP & President Vistra RetailDirectSell11182025168.8656,0009,456,16051,772,476Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 5/29/2026