Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Freight Technology, and Advanced Air Mobility.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 62x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 535x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 122x

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2%

Key risks
VSEC key risks include [1] challenges integrating its strategic acquisitions and [2] its significant debt load and the related potential for goodwill and asset write-downs.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Freight Technology, and Advanced Air Mobility.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 62x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 535x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 122x
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2%
6 Key risks
VSEC key risks include [1] challenges integrating its strategic acquisitions and [2] its significant debt load and the related potential for goodwill and asset write-downs.

VSEC in ETFs

Weight = VSEC's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.20%
IJR0.35%
VB0.03%
SLYG0.71%
IJT0.70%
NUSC0.47%
+13 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/7/2026

VSE (VSEC) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong First Quarter 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance.

VSE Corporation (VSEC) reported robust financial results for its fiscal first quarter ended March 31, 2026, on May 5, 2026. The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.17 significantly surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.93 by $0.24. Concurrently, quarterly revenue increased by 26.8% year-over-year to $324.58 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $309.19 million. Net income for the quarter also saw a substantial increase of 108% compared to fiscal Q1 2025, reaching $29.1 million. Following these strong results, management raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting revenue growth of 57% to 61% and adjusted EBITDA margins of approximately 18.1% to 18.5%.

2. Strategic Acquisition of Precision Aviation Group (PAG).

On May 5, 2026, VSE completed the strategic acquisition of Precision Aviation Group (PAG) for $2.025 billion. This acquisition significantly expanded VSE's aviation aftermarket platform, increasing its global presence to 61 locations across eight countries. The company anticipates the acquisition to be immediately accretive to Adjusted EBITDA margins and pro forma approximately 50% accretive to revenue for fiscal year 2025. The integration of PAG is expected to enhance VSE's scale and product mix, particularly by increasing its proportion of higher-margin, engine-related aftermarket revenue and broadening its services across commercial, business, general aviation, and rotorcraft markets.

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Updated on 7/7/2026

VSE (VSEC) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong First Quarter 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance.

VSE Corporation (VSEC) reported robust financial results for its fiscal first quarter ended March 31, 2026, on May 5, 2026. The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $1.17 significantly surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.93 by $0.24. Concurrently, quarterly revenue increased by 26.8% year-over-year to $324.58 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $309.19 million. Net income for the quarter also saw a substantial increase of 108% compared to fiscal Q1 2025, reaching $29.1 million. Following these strong results, management raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting revenue growth of 57% to 61% and adjusted EBITDA margins of approximately 18.1% to 18.5%.

2. Strategic Acquisition of Precision Aviation Group (PAG).

On May 5, 2026, VSE completed the strategic acquisition of Precision Aviation Group (PAG) for $2.025 billion. This acquisition significantly expanded VSE's aviation aftermarket platform, increasing its global presence to 61 locations across eight countries. The company anticipates the acquisition to be immediately accretive to Adjusted EBITDA margins and pro forma approximately 50% accretive to revenue for fiscal year 2025. The integration of PAG is expected to enhance VSE's scale and product mix, particularly by increasing its proportion of higher-margin, engine-related aftermarket revenue and broadening its services across commercial, business, general aviation, and rotorcraft markets.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets.

Analysts responded positively to VSE's performance and strategic moves, contributing to increased investor confidence. As of July 7, 2026, Jefferies raised its price target on VSE Corp. to $260 from $245 while maintaining a Buy rating, anticipating a raise in fiscal 2026 organic topline guidance to low-double-digits. Similarly, Citi also increased its price target for VSE Corp. to $263 from $230. The consensus rating from 9 analysts as of July 5, 2026, is a "Strong Buy," with an average price target of $239.78, representing a projected upside of 8.47% from the stock's price of $221.06 on July 7, 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 19.9% change in VSEC stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 300.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120267072026Change
Stock Price ($)184.32221.0619.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1121,1816.2%
Net Income Margin (%)1.1%4.2%300.3%
P/E Multiple355.7122.2-65.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2327-17.9%
Cumulative Contribution19.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSEC19.9% 
Market (SPY)15.0%53.7%
Sector (XLI)12.8%73.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.1% change in VSEC stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 290.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120257072026Change
Stock Price ($)172.61221.0628.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,0381,18113.7%
Net Income Margin (%)1.1%4.2%290.6%
P/E Multiple318.8122.2-61.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2127-24.8%
Cumulative Contribution28.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSEC28.1% 
Market (SPY)9.9%52.2%
Sector (XLI)17.9%69.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 69.2% change in VSEC stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 185.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020257072026Change
Stock Price ($)130.67221.0669.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8801,18134.2%
Net Income Margin (%)1.5%4.2%185.9%
P/E Multiple207.9122.2-41.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2127-25.0%
Cumulative Contribution69.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSEC69.2% 
Market (SPY)22.0%50.9%
Sector (XLI)24.9%66.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 309.5% change in VSEC stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 445.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237072026Change
Stock Price ($)53.99221.06309.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6981,18169.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%4.2%-5.0%
P/E Multiple22.4122.2445.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1327-53.3%
Cumulative Contribution309.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSEC309.5% 
Market (SPY)74.6%47.0%
Sector (XLI)77.0%57.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
VSEC Return60%-22%39%48%82%38%540%
Peers Return7%8%41%21%28%29%224%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VSEC Win Rate67%25%67%67%75%71% 
Peers Win Rate47%50%58%67%58%71% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VSEC Max Drawdown-18%-46%-30%-22%-18%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-26%-13%-17%-21%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TDG, HEI, AIR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventVSECS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-12.3%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.0%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven9 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-25.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven94 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-45.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven83.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven489 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-54.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven117.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven79 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-16.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven42 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-15.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.6%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven6 days6 days

Compare to TDG, HEI, AIR

In The Past

VSE's stock fell -3.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 4.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventVSECS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-25.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven94 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-45.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven83.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven489 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-54.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven117.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven79 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven42 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-39.4%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.1%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven46 days15 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-23.8%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.3%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven104 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-59.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven146.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven314 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-26.7%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.4%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven34 days47 days

Compare to TDG, HEI, AIR

In The Past

VSE's stock fell -3.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 4.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About VSE (VSEC)

VSE Corporation (VSEC) is a diversified aftermarket products and services company that specializes in extending the lifecycle and optimizing the performance of critical assets across various sectors. The company operates through three main segments: Aviation, Fleet, and Federal and Defense, each offering specialized solutions primarily centered around parts supply, maintenance, and technical support.

In its Aviation segment, VSEC provides international parts supply, distribution, and MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul) services for aircraft components and engines, serving a broad customer base including commercial airlines, cargo transporters, and private aircraft owners globally. The Fleet segment focuses on supplying parts, managing inventory, and offering logistics and supply chain services to support commercial and federal truck fleets, ensuring their operational readiness. Lastly, the Federal and Defense segment delivers comprehensive aftermarket refurbishment and sustainment services for military vehicles, ships, and aircraft for the U.S. Department of Defense, alongside providing foreign military sales support, engineering, and IT solutions to government and commercial clients. Overall, VSEC primarily serves government entities, commercial airlines, and commercial and government fleet operators by providing essential aftermarket support and solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for VSE Corporation (VSEC):

  • Like a specialized **Grainger** providing comprehensive aftermarket parts, maintenance, and supply chain solutions for aircraft, commercial truck fleets, and military equipment.
  • Similar to the extensive parts and service network of **Caterpillar**, but for a wider range of aircraft, commercial trucks, and military vehicles from various manufacturers.
  • The **'Accenture for physical asset sustainment'** for the Department of Defense and other federal agencies, managing the lifecycle of military vehicles, ships, and aircraft.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Major Products and Services of VSE Corporation (VSEC)

  • Aviation Aftermarket Services: Provides international parts supply and distribution, supply chain solutions, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for aircraft components and engines.
  • Fleet Solutions: Offers parts supply, inventory management, e-commerce fulfillment, logistics, and sustainment solutions for commercial and government truck fleets.
  • Federal & Defense Sustainment: Delivers aftermarket refurbishment, sustainment, engineering, logistics, and maintenance services to extend the life cycle of military vehicles, ships, and aircraft for the DoD.
  • Foreign Military Sales Support: Provides specialized services supporting foreign military sales for defense customers.
  • IT and Consulting Services: Offers IT solutions (including healthcare IT), energy consulting, and general consulting services to various federal, defense, and commercial clients.

AI Analysis | Feedback

VSE Corporation (VSEC) primarily serves other companies and government entities rather than individuals. Based on the provided description, its major customers fall into the following categories:

  • United States Government Entities: This includes the Department of Defense (DoD) and various federal civilian agencies, which are served across its Federal and Defense segment and for sustainment solutions in the Fleet segment.
  • Commercial Aviation Sector Companies: Customers in this category include commercial airlines, regional airlines, cargo transporters, MRO integrators and providers, aviation manufacturers, corporate and private aircraft owners, and fixed-base operators.
  • Commercial Fleet Operators: This comprises commercial truck fleets and other aftermarket commercial customers requiring supply chain management, vehicle parts, and sustainment solutions.

The provided company description does not list specific names of customer companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE: HON)
  • Triumph Group (NYSE: TGI)
  • Parker Hannifin Corporation (NYSE: PH)
  • Safran S. A. (OTC: SAFRY)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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John A. Cuomo, President & Chief Executive Officer

John A. Cuomo was appointed Chief Executive Officer and President of VSE Corporation in April 2019. He brings over 20 years of experience in the aerospace distribution and services market industry. Prior to joining VSE, he served as Vice President and General Manager of Boeing Distribution Services Inc. Before Boeing's 2018 acquisition of the Aerospace Solutions Group of KLX Inc., John was its Vice President and General Manager, Consumables Management business, starting in July 2014. He also held multiple leadership roles at B/E Aerospace (the parent company of KLX, Inc. until 2014) from April 2000 to 2014, including Vice President & General Manager and Senior Vice President, Global Sales, Marketing & Business Development. Notably, John led and facilitated the $4.25 billion acquisition of KLX by Boeing. Before his time in aerospace, he practiced commercial law, mergers and acquisitions, and litigation as an attorney.

Adam Cohn, Chief Financial Officer

Adam Cohn joined VSE as Chief Financial Officer in September 2024. He is a seasoned executive finance leader with over 15 years of aerospace and finance-related experience. Adam previously served as Chief Financial Officer for Valence Surface Technologies, an aerospace supplier backed by ATL Partners and British Columbia Investment Management Corporation. Prior to his role at Valence, he held numerous senior leadership positions with Triumph (NYSE: TGI), a publicly traded aerospace manufacturer, including Treasurer and Vice President of Mergers and Acquisitions. In these roles, Adam executed multiple financing transactions, including replacing credit facilities, raising new bonds, and issuing equity, as well as several mergers, acquisitions, and divestiture transactions.

Ben Thomas, Chief Operating Officer

Ben Thomas was promoted to Chief Operating Officer for VSE Corporation in February 2025. He joined VSE in October 2020 as Group President, where he played a pivotal role in growing the Aviation business segment into a global market leader. In his current role, Ben leads all revenue channels, including Distribution, Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO), and OEM Solutions, as well as enterprise-wide Information Technology for the company.

Krista Stafford, Chief Human Resources & Administrative Officer

Krista Stafford joined VSE Corporation in January 2020 as Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resource Officer and was promoted to Chief Human Resources and Administrative Officer in February 2025. She specializes in organizational development, culture transformation, executive compensation, organizational design, and employee engagement, driving business results through people. Previously, Krista was the Vice President, Human Resources at Boeing Distribution Services.

Garry Snow, Chief Growth Officer

Garry Snow joined VSE as Chief Growth Officer in September 2024. He brings over 20 years of aerospace sales, business development, and distribution experience to the role. Most recently, Garry served as Head of Sales and Marketing for Business and General Aviation for Boeing Global Services. He also held numerous leadership roles over 15 years with Boeing Global Services and the Boeing-acquired KLX Aerospace Solutions business.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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Key Risks to VSE Corporation (VSEC):

  1. Dependence on U.S. Government Spending and Contract Awards: A significant portion of VSE's Federal and Defense segment revenue is derived from contracts with the United States Department of Defense (DoD) and other federal agencies. Changes in government defense spending, budgetary priorities, political factors, or the loss of key contracts could materially impact this segment's financial performance.
  2. Economic Sensitivity of Commercial Aviation and Fleet Markets: VSE's Aviation and Fleet segments are susceptible to economic downturns and cyclical spending patterns. Reduced air travel, lower demand for new aircraft, or decreased commercial fleet utilization can lead to reduced demand for parts, MRO services, and supply chain solutions, thereby affecting the company's revenue and profitability in these segments.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions: As a provider of parts supply, distribution, and supply chain solutions across all its segments, VSE is exposed to risks associated with global supply chain disruptions. Issues such as raw material shortages, manufacturing delays, logistics challenges, or geopolitical events could impact the company's ability to source and deliver products and services, leading to increased costs or customer dissatisfaction.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Accelerated electrification of commercial and government fleets, which could significantly reduce the demand for traditional internal combustion engine vehicle parts and associated maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services offered by VSE's Fleet segment. Electric vehicles have fewer and different mechanical components compared to their fossil-fuel counterparts, thereby altering VSE's core aftermarket parts supply and sustainment business for truck fleets.
  • The increasing adoption of additive manufacturing (3D printing) technologies across the aviation, fleet, and defense sectors. This technology enables the on-demand production of parts, potentially reducing the reliance on traditional parts distribution networks, inventory management, and certain aftermarket refurbishment services that VSE provides across its segments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

VSE Corporation operates across diverse aftermarket products and services in the Aviation, Fleet, and Federal and Defense segments. The addressable markets for its main offerings are substantial:

Aviation Segment

  • The global aviation Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) market was valued at approximately USD 90.73 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to around USD 145.28 billion by 2034. Another estimate places the global aircraft MRO market at USD 120.3 billion in 2025, anticipated to reach around USD 172.73 billion by 2035.
  • The global aircraft aftermarket parts market was valued at USD 48.71 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 93.52 billion by 2032. North America held a significant share of this market, at 33.02% in 2023.
  • The global aircraft component MRO market was valued at USD 20.36 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 28.42 billion by 2034. North America accounted for 30.70% of this market in 2025.
  • The Aircraft Parts Distributors market in the U.S. is projected to reach USD 68.0 billion in 2025.

Fleet Segment

  • The U.S. fleet management market size was valued at USD 12.20 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 28.93 billion by 2032. Other estimates indicate the U.S. market could reach USD 32.63 billion by 2034.
  • The global commercial vehicle spare parts aftermarket was valued at USD 107,837.2 million in 2024 and is projected to exceed USD 141,542.27 million by 2034.
  • The global heavy-duty automotive aftermarket market size was valued at USD 150.1 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 195.4 billion by 2034. North America currently holds 40.5% of this market in 2025.

Federal and Defense Segment

  • The global military aviation MRO market was valued at approximately USD 42.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 61.7 billion by 2031. North America held the largest market share at 38.7% in 2024.
  • The defense logistics market in the United States generated a revenue of USD 45,865.2 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 65,373.0 million by 2030. Globally, the defense logistics market was estimated at USD 165.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow. North America dominated the global defense logistics market with 35.0% revenue share in 2023.
  • The global military vehicle sustainment market size was valued at USD 21.86 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 38.80 billion by 2032. North America's military vehicle sustainment market share stood at 34.68% in 2024, valued at USD 7.58 billion.
  • The U.S. federal government software market was valued at USD 13.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 30.5 billion by 2033. North America holds approximately 55% of this market. Additionally, the U.S. federal government allocated around USD 24.4 billion for major federal IT investments in fiscal year 2023.

AI Analysis | Feedback

VSE Corporation (VSEC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies primarily focused on its aviation aftermarket business.

Here are 4-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for VSE Corporation:

  1. Strategic Acquisitions and Integration: A major driver of future revenue growth for VSE is its strategy of strategic acquisitions and their successful integration. The company recently announced the transformative $2 billion acquisition of Precision Aviation Group (PAG), which is expected to significantly expand its scale and enhance its engine and component service capabilities across the aviation maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) market, as well as distribution services. Additionally, VSE anticipates continued contributions and synergy realization from recent acquisitions such as Turbine Weld, Aero 3, and TCI, which are projected to contribute to revenue growth in 2026 and beyond.
  2. Organic Expansion in Aviation Distribution and MRO Services: VSE is focused on generating organic revenue growth within its Aviation segment. This includes the expansion of existing OEM partnerships, strong execution of new and existing distribution programs, and the introduction of new product lines and repair capabilities. The company is also prioritizing increased MRO activity and the expansion of its MRO capacity to meet growing demand.
  3. Market Share Gains and Targeted Growth in Commercial and Business & General Aviation (B&GA) Markets: VSE aims to increase its market share by focusing on both the commercial and Business & General Aviation sectors. This strategy includes leveraging new program awards, developing proprietary content, and expanding its presence in underserved market niches within B&GA with specialized distribution and MRO offerings. International expansion for MRO and distribution services is also identified as a growth opportunity.
  4. Sustained Demand and Strategic Pricing in the Aviation Aftermarket: The underlying strength and continued demand in the global aviation aftermarket are expected to contribute significantly to VSE's revenue growth. Factors such as increased air travel and sustained aircraft utilization support ongoing needs for aftermarket parts and services. While aggressive pricing increases seen in previous years have moderated, management expects a balanced contribution from both price and volume to overall market growth, indicating continued strategic pricing as a revenue component.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In February 2026, VSE priced public offerings of common stock and tangible equity units totaling approximately $1.11 billion in net proceeds, or up to $1.28 billion if underwriters exercise their options. These proceeds are primarily for funding a portion of the Precision Aviation Group (PAG) acquisition.
  • To fund the acquisition of Aero 3, VSE completed a public offering of 2,352,941 shares of common stock at $170.00 per share, raising approximately $441.6 million in net proceeds.
  • An approximately 10% stock dilution was associated with the Aero 3 acquisition, involving the intended sale of 2.4 million shares at $170 per share.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2026, VSE entered a definitive agreement to acquire Precision Aviation Group, Inc. (PAG) for approximately $2.025 billion, comprising upfront cash and equity, plus potential earn-out consideration. The acquisition is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2025, VSE agreed to acquire Aero 3, Inc. for $350 million in cash to expand its global presence in the aircraft wheel and brake aftermarket.
  • VSE completed the acquisition of Turbine Weld in 2025 and Kellstrom Aerospace in 2024, as part of its strategy to deepen capabilities and product lines in the aviation segment.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the fourth quarter of 2025, purchases of property, plant and equipment (capital spending) amounted to $6.8 million, representing a 107.3% increase year-over-year.
  • For the full year 2025, capital expenditures were reported as -$21.28 million as part of free cash flow calculation.
  • An initial inventory investment of approximately $45 million is required for a new APU components distribution agreement in 2026, which is expected to impact free cash flow.

Better Bets vs. VSE (VSEC)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VSECTDGHEIAIRMedian
NameVSE TransDigmHeico AAR  
Mkt Price221.061,329.63358.02136.63289.54
Mkt Cap6.177.450.05.428.0
Rev LTM1,1819,5034,9113,1344,023
Op Inc LTM1214,4481,154266710
FCF LTM-301,85092637482
FCF 3Y Avg-401,77672716372
CFO LTM112,10599795546
CFO 3Y Avg-131,97379156423

Growth & Margins

VSECTDGHEIAIRMedian
NameVSE TransDigmHeico AAR  
Rev Chg LTM34.2%13.3%18.8%16.8%17.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.1%17.3%25.9%17.9%21.9%
Rev Chg Q26.8%18.3%25.3%24.6%25.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.2%4.3%6.0%5.6%5.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM51.8%14.5%26.8%90.1%39.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg32.9%21.1%27.1%31.7%29.4%
Op Mgn LTM10.3%46.8%23.5%8.5%16.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.6%46.1%22.1%6.6%15.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.1%0.8%-0.7%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM1.0%22.2%20.3%3.0%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3.0%23.6%18.6%2.1%10.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.5%19.5%18.9%1.2%10.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.3%21.2%17.1%0.6%8.9%

Valuation

VSECTDGHEIAIRMedian
NameVSE TransDigmHeico AAR  
Mkt Cap6.177.450.05.428.0
P/S5.18.110.21.76.6
P/Op Inc50.217.443.320.231.7
P/EBIT62.117.443.117.330.3
P/E122.237.263.331.450.2
P/CFO535.236.850.156.653.4
Total Yield1.0%9.5%1.6%3.2%2.4%
Dividend Yield0.1%6.8%0.1%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.4%2.4%2.1%0.4%1.3%
D/E0.10.40.10.20.1
Net D/E-0.10.40.00.20.1

Returns

VSECTDGHEIAIRMedian
NameVSE TransDigmHeico AAR  
1M Rtn22.4%7.3%8.1%17.1%12.6%
3M Rtn19.0%13.7%30.1%20.0%19.5%
6M Rtn10.0%-4.0%3.0%52.7%6.5%
12M Rtn75.7%-6.8%10.1%93.5%42.9%
3Y Rtn328.9%76.1%106.3%138.2%122.2%
1M Excs Rtn21.2%9.3%8.6%19.3%14.3%
3M Excs Rtn2.4%-1.7%15.9%6.4%4.4%
6M Excs Rtn12.6%-11.5%-0.6%52.4%6.0%
12M Excs Rtn53.7%-26.2%-9.1%72.7%22.3%
3Y Excs Rtn238.7%4.9%33.4%65.2%49.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Products704483   
Services408303   
Aviation  544408248
Corporate/unallocated expenses  0  
Fleet  316261234
Federal and Defense    269
Total1,112786860669751


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aviation1017136-14-36
Fleet1731242027
Corporate/unallocated expenses-37-14-7-4-4
Federal and Defense   2026
Total8188542214


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aviation1,409950638580479
Fleet283274218182161
Corporate/unallocated expenses42126336473
Assets held-for-sale  111  
Federal and Defense   9367
Total1,7351,3501,000919780


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$221.06 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.1 
First Trading Date08/18/1995 
Distance from 52W High-7.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$190.81$188.29
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA15.9%17.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility78.0%56.1%
Downside Capture372.52189.55
Upside Capture268.59213.76
Correlation (SPY)52.8%51.2%
VSEC Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.612.503.142.502.251.44
Up Beta3.394.914.934.333.821.52
Down Beta1.220.390.011.041.461.30
Up Capture283%390%356%339%362%531%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days12193058120395
Down Capture10%181%299%182%147%107%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9223367132355

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VSEC
VSEC73.5%56.0%1.18-
Sector ETF (XLI)23.4%16.6%1.0966.5%
Equity (SPY)20.7%12.5%1.2251.2%
Gold (GLD)23.0%27.8%0.7330.0%
Commodities (DBC)22.9%18.6%0.97-20.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.6%13.8%0.6835.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-41.8%42.8%-1.1421.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VSEC
VSEC35.7%46.6%0.81-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.0%17.6%0.6355.6%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.1%0.6047.9%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.7913.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%19.5%0.295.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.1%18.9%0.0637.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.2%53.5%0.4321.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VSEC
VSEC21.5%47.2%0.59-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.8%20.0%0.6553.2%
Equity (SPY)15.7%17.9%0.7546.6%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.1%0.595.6%
Commodities (DBC)6.2%18.0%0.2713.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2338.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.9%66.2%0.9812.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120261.4%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity27.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/202616.9%2.6%3.7%
2/26/20260.3%-5.5%-24.6%
10/27/20251.8%0.8%1.4%
7/30/202510.6%10.4%14.3%
5/6/20257.8%12.3%11.7%
2/27/20250.6%-1.9%-1.0%
11/6/20249.7%14.1%7.8%
8/1/2024-6.6%-1.8%10.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121416
# Negative12108
Median Positive4.9%3.5%7.4%
Median Negative-4.1%-5.8%-6.4%
Max Positive16.9%14.1%16.3%
Max Negative-7.1%-12.8%-24.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/202616.9%2.6%3.7%
2/26/20260.3%-5.5%-24.6%
10/27/20251.8%0.8%1.4%
7/30/202510.6%10.4%14.3%
5/6/20257.8%12.3%11.7%
2/27/20250.6%-1.9%-1.0%
11/6/20249.7%14.1%7.8%
8/1/2024-6.6%-1.8%10.5%
5/8/2024-5.3%-10.2%-3.7%
3/6/2024-1.0%0.1%3.9%
11/1/20238.3%7.7%13.7%
7/27/20231.6%1.6%2.3%
5/2/2023-3.8%-11.0%-9.0%
3/9/2023-6.9%-6.2%-3.0%
10/27/20224.5%9.9%11.8%
7/28/20223.8%1.3%7.1%
4/28/2022-7.1%-12.8%-13.6%
3/10/2022-4.4%0.7%-11.2%
10/28/2021-0.8%2.6%1.5%
7/29/2021-1.4%-9.3%-2.0%
4/29/2021-2.4%-1.7%7.6%
3/5/20215.3%11.4%3.5%
10/29/2020-1.8%4.4%16.3%
7/30/2020-5.3%-3.2%0.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121416
# Negative12108
Median Positive4.9%3.5%7.4%
Median Negative-4.1%-5.8%-6.4%
Max Positive16.9%14.1%16.3%
Max Negative-7.1%-12.8%-24.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202510/27/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202203/10/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202510/27/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202307/27/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202203/10/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/29/202210-Q
12/31/202103/11/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202107/30/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202003/05/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201903/09/202010-K
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q
06/30/201907/31/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/1/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue Growth57.0%59.0%61.0%181.0%38.0%RaisedGuidance: 21.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin18.1%18.3%18.5%7.3%1.2%RaisedGuidance: 17.05% for 2026
2026 Adjusted Net Leverage 3    

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue Growth19.0%21.0%23.0%-46.2%-18.0%Lower NewActual: 39.0% for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin16.8%17.05%17.3%-0.4%-0.1%Lower NewActual: 17.13% for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/27/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Revenue Growth38.0%39.0%40.0%4.0%1.5%RaisedGuidance: 37.5% for 2025
2025 Aviation segment Adjusted EBITDA margin17.0%17.13%17.25%2.2%0.4%RaisedGuidance: 16.75% for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/1/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Thomas, Benjamin EChief Operating OfficerDirectSell6122026196.826,5001,279,3308,431,572Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Thomas, Benjamin EChief Operating OfficerDirectSell6122026196.826,5001,279,3308,431,572Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/7/2026