Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.6 | Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.6Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -328 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -464% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23340% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -48% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -99% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -460%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -461% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% | |
| Key risksVRDN key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its specific product candidates like veligrotug, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23340% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -99% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -48% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -328 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -464% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -460%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -461% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% |
| Key risksVRDN key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its specific product candidates like veligrotug, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VRDN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Successful Biologics License Application (BLA) Submission for Veligrotug**
Viridian Therapeutics announced the successful submission of its Biologics License Application (BLA) to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for veligrotug, an intravenous anti-IGF-1R monoclonal antibody for thyroid eye disease (TED), in late October 2025. The BLA included a request for Priority Review, which, if granted, could lead to a potential U.S. commercial launch in mid-2026. This regulatory milestone marks a significant step towards bringing veligrotug to market, supported by positive topline results from two pivotal Phase 3 trials, THRIVE and THRIVE-2, which met all primary and secondary endpoints.
**2. Completion of a Comprehensive Financing Package**
In October 2025, Viridian Therapeutics secured a comprehensive financing package, providing access to up to $889 million in potential capital. This included a $289.1 million public equity offering, a royalty financing agreement with DRI for up to $300 million (including $55 million upfront), and an amended credit facility with Hercules Capital for up to $300 million. This significant capital infusion is intended to fund commercial launch activities for veligrotug and VRDN-003, as well as research and development and general corporate purposes, positioning the company to reach profitability.
**3. Completion of Enrollment in Pivotal Phase 3 Clinical Trials for VRDN-003**
Viridian Therapeutics announced in September 2025 the completion of enrollment in both its pivotal Phase 3 clinical trials, REVEAL-1 and REVEAL-2, for VRDN-003. VRDN-003 is a subcutaneously delivered, half-life extended anti-IGF-1R antibody also for the treatment of TED. Both studies exceeded their target enrollments, driven by strong patient demand. Topline data from REVEAL-1 is anticipated in Q1 2026, and for REVEAL-2, in Q2 2026.
**4. Advancement of FcRn Inhibitor Portfolio**
The company provided positive updates on its neonatal Fc receptor (FcRn) inhibitor portfolio, announcing in September 2025 that VRDN-006 showed proof-of-concept IgG reductions in its ongoing Phase 1 clinical trial, consistent with the FcRn inhibitor class, and was sparing of albumin and LDL. Additionally, the Investigational New Drug (IND) submission for VRDN-008, a bi-specific half-life extended FcRn inhibitor, remains on track for year-end 2025. These developments highlight the company's pipeline diversification beyond TED.
**5. Strong Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets**
During this period, multiple analyst firms expressed significant optimism for Viridian Therapeutics, reiterating or initiating "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings and increasing their price targets for VRDN. For example, Goldman Sachs reiterated a Buy rating with a $40.00 price target in December 2025. RBC Capital raised its price target to $45, and Stifel increased its target to $48, both in November 2025. William Blair initiated coverage with an "Outperform" rating and a $47 fair value estimate in December 2025, citing the company's anti-IGF-1R franchise as a significant advancement for TED treatment. This positive analyst coverage and higher price targets reflected strong market confidence in the company's clinical progress and commercial potential.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VRDN Return | 129% | 20% | 48% | -25% | -12% | 71% | 356% |
| Peers Return | 44% | 7% | 15% | 28% | -12% | 16% | 132% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VRDN Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 52% | 47% | 53% | 43% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VRDN Max Drawdown | -24% | -35% | -52% | -62% | -47% | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -20% | -31% | -18% | -20% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMGN, IMVT, JNJ, UCB, ROG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VRDN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -70.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 238.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -82.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 462.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,026 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -97.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3757.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO
In The Past
Viridian Therapeutics's stock fell -70.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2023. A -70.4% loss requires a 238.1% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VRDN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Viridian Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 62.14 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| Rev LTM | 907 |
| Op Inc LTM | 41 |
| FCF LTM | 243 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 196 |
| CFO LTM | 277 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 250 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| P/EBIT | -5.9 |
| P/E | 3.1 |
| P/CFO | 9.9 |
| Total Yield | 1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 19.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 38.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 23.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 18.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 25.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -43.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 8.3% | 26.1% | 42.0% |
| 8/6/2025 | -1.4% | 3.0% | 6.9% |
| 2/27/2025 | -1.5% | -1.6% | -5.5% |
| 11/12/2024 | -12.8% | -20.9% | -26.2% |
| 8/8/2024 | -1.8% | -7.9% | -8.5% |
| 5/8/2024 | -1.6% | -3.1% | -19.2% |
| 2/27/2024 | 2.9% | -7.6% | -10.7% |
| 11/13/2023 | 8.8% | 15.7% | 37.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 15.7% | 20.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -8.3% | -17.6% |
| Max Positive | 49.4% | 60.1% | 51.1% |
| Max Negative | -16.7% | -39.5% | -26.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Fairmount Funds Management LLC | 10272025 | Buy | 22.00 | 454,545 | 9,999,990 | 86,118,076 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |