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Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.6 | Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $32.6
Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.7%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -328 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -464%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23340%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -99%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -460%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -461%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21%
4   Key risks
VRDN key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its specific product candidates like veligrotug, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23340%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -99%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.7%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
7 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -328 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -464%
8 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 114%
9 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -460%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -461%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21%
11 Key risks
VRDN key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its specific product candidates like veligrotug, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VRDN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



**1. Successful Biologics License Application (BLA) Submission for Veligrotug**
Viridian Therapeutics announced the successful submission of its Biologics License Application (BLA) to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for veligrotug, an intravenous anti-IGF-1R monoclonal antibody for thyroid eye disease (TED), in late October 2025. The BLA included a request for Priority Review, which, if granted, could lead to a potential U.S. commercial launch in mid-2026. This regulatory milestone marks a significant step towards bringing veligrotug to market, supported by positive topline results from two pivotal Phase 3 trials, THRIVE and THRIVE-2, which met all primary and secondary endpoints.

**2. Completion of a Comprehensive Financing Package**
In October 2025, Viridian Therapeutics secured a comprehensive financing package, providing access to up to $889 million in potential capital. This included a $289.1 million public equity offering, a royalty financing agreement with DRI for up to $300 million (including $55 million upfront), and an amended credit facility with Hercules Capital for up to $300 million. This significant capital infusion is intended to fund commercial launch activities for veligrotug and VRDN-003, as well as research and development and general corporate purposes, positioning the company to reach profitability.

**3. Completion of Enrollment in Pivotal Phase 3 Clinical Trials for VRDN-003**
Viridian Therapeutics announced in September 2025 the completion of enrollment in both its pivotal Phase 3 clinical trials, REVEAL-1 and REVEAL-2, for VRDN-003. VRDN-003 is a subcutaneously delivered, half-life extended anti-IGF-1R antibody also for the treatment of TED. Both studies exceeded their target enrollments, driven by strong patient demand. Topline data from REVEAL-1 is anticipated in Q1 2026, and for REVEAL-2, in Q2 2026.

**4. Advancement of FcRn Inhibitor Portfolio**
The company provided positive updates on its neonatal Fc receptor (FcRn) inhibitor portfolio, announcing in September 2025 that VRDN-006 showed proof-of-concept IgG reductions in its ongoing Phase 1 clinical trial, consistent with the FcRn inhibitor class, and was sparing of albumin and LDL. Additionally, the Investigational New Drug (IND) submission for VRDN-008, a bi-specific half-life extended FcRn inhibitor, remains on track for year-end 2025. These developments highlight the company's pipeline diversification beyond TED.

**5. Strong Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets**
During this period, multiple analyst firms expressed significant optimism for Viridian Therapeutics, reiterating or initiating "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings and increasing their price targets for VRDN. For example, Goldman Sachs reiterated a Buy rating with a $40.00 price target in December 2025. RBC Capital raised its price target to $45, and Stifel increased its target to $48, both in November 2025. William Blair initiated coverage with an "Outperform" rating and a $47 fair value estimate in December 2025, citing the company's anti-IGF-1R franchise as a significant advancement for TED treatment. This positive analyst coverage and higher price targets reflected strong market confidence in the company's clinical progress and commercial potential.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VRDN Return129%20%48%-25%-12%71%356%
Peers Return44%7%15%28%-12%16%132%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VRDN Win Rate42%67%50%33%25%83% 
Peers Win Rate52%52%47%53%43%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VRDN Max Drawdown-24%-35%-52%-62%-47%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-20%-31%-18%-20%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMGN, IMVT, JNJ, UCB, ROG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVRDNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven238.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-82.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven462.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,026 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-97.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3757.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO


In The Past

Viridian Therapeutics's stock fell -70.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2023. A -70.4% loss requires a 238.1% gain to breakeven.

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About Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN)

Better Bets than Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VRDN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Viridian Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VRDNAMGNIMVTJNJUCBROGMedian
NameViridian.Amgen Immunova.Johnson .United C.Rogers  
Mkt Price32.13326.0126.98210.3332.4691.8362.14
Mkt Cap2.6175.44.7506.54.01.74.3
Rev LTM7135,971092,1491,013802907
Op Inc LTM-3288,671-48724,146-4141
FCF LTM-32611,539-43118,67943947243
FCF 3Y Avg-2359,067-30417,81430191196
CFO LTM-32613,126-43124,20446788277
CFO 3Y Avg-23410,322-30423,209354147250

Growth & Margins

VRDNAMGNIMVTJNJUCBROGMedian
NameViridian.Amgen Immunova.Johnson .United C.Rogers  
Rev Chg LTM23,340.1%10.6%-5.1%17.8%-4.9%10.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7,748.5%11.2%-6.1%8.9%-6.4%8.9%
Rev Chg Q81,958.1%12.4%-6.8%28.6%2.7%12.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM23,109.5%3.0%-1.7%6.3%0.7%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-463.5%24.1%-26.2%-5.1%14.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-53,685.3%25.4%-26.4%-6.2%15.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM121,367.6%0.6%-1.7%-0.2%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-460.5%36.5%-26.3%46.1%11.0%26.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-39,207.4%32.7%-26.4%37.2%16.9%26.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-461.0%32.1%-20.3%43.4%5.9%20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-39,349.1%28.8%-20.3%31.5%10.4%20.3%

Valuation

VRDNAMGNIMVTJNJUCBROGMedian
NameViridian.Amgen Immunova.Johnson .United C.Rogers  
Mkt Cap2.6175.44.7506.54.01.74.3
P/S24.94.2-4.83.81.84.2
P/EBIT-5.913.7-9.613.8--26.0-5.9
P/E-5.821.7-10.117.812.1-21.83.1
P/CFO-5.411.6-10.918.48.216.59.9
Total Yield-17.1%7.9%-9.9%8.4%11.3%-4.6%1.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.3%0.0%2.7%3.0%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-19.5%5.9%-8.7%4.4%8.7%4.4%4.4%
D/E0.00.40.00.10.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.30.3-0.10.1-1.1-0.1-0.1

Returns

VRDNAMGNIMVTJNJUCBROGMedian
NameViridian.Amgen Immunova.Johnson .United C.Rogers  
1M Rtn10.8%-4.6%11.0%6.1%13.0%19.6%10.9%
3M Rtn72.6%19.5%78.6%19.5%3.7%12.2%19.5%
6M Rtn114.2%14.3%70.1%41.5%18.6%34.6%38.0%
12M Rtn54.3%26.6%-3.3%48.1%1.9%-11.7%14.3%
3Y Rtn15.2%34.2%69.6%31.2%11.7%-20.6%23.2%
1M Excs Rtn10.1%-5.3%10.3%5.3%12.3%18.8%10.2%
3M Excs Rtn62.4%17.7%73.8%20.2%-0.4%8.6%18.9%
6M Excs Rtn101.8%1.9%57.7%29.1%6.2%22.2%25.7%
12M Excs Rtn68.9%13.3%-8.4%36.8%-9.4%-23.5%2.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.9%-38.8%15.1%-38.9%-66.6%-92.1%-43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovering, developing and commercializing potential best-in-class medicines for serious and rare023  
Collaboration revenue   14
Grant revenue   00
Total02314


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,174,113
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.2%
Average Daily Volume1,822,466
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.03
Basic Shares Quantity81,784,499
Short % of Basic Shares11.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20258.3%26.1%42.0%
8/6/2025-1.4%3.0%6.9%
2/27/2025-1.5%-1.6%-5.5%
11/12/2024-12.8%-20.9%-26.2%
8/8/2024-1.8%-7.9%-8.5%
5/8/2024-1.6%-3.1%-19.2%
2/27/20242.9%-7.6%-10.7%
11/13/20238.8%15.7%37.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive877
# Negative91010
Median Positive5.2%15.7%20.2%
Median Negative-6.8%-8.3%-17.6%
Max Positive49.4%60.1%51.1%
Max Negative-16.7%-39.5%-26.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Fairmount Funds Management LLC10272025Buy22.00454,5459,999,99086,118,076Form