Tearsheet

Viking (VIK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $67.13 | Market Cap: $29.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Viking (VIK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $67.13
Market Cap: $29.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.1x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.1x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VIK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Viking Holdings Ltd. (VIK) experienced a 6.2% stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Viking Holdings Ltd. reported robust Q3 2025 financial results on November 19, 2025, with revenue of $2 billion, marking a 19.1% increase year-over-year, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.20. Both figures surpassed analyst estimates. This strong financial showing generated market enthusiasm and contributed to an upward trend in the company's share price.

2. Robust Advance Bookings and High Occupancy Rates: The company consistently highlighted exceptionally strong advance bookings for its core products. As of August 10, 2025, 96% of its 2025 capacity and 55% of its 2026 capacity were already sold at higher rates. These robust booking trends and high occupancy rates indicate sustained demand and support mid-single-digit pricing growth, bolstering investor confidence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VIK Return-----50%50%
Peers Return-5%23%-10%38%23%-2%75%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VIK Win Rate----71%60% 
Peers Win Rate37%45%35%52%47%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VIK Max Drawdown------23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-8%-22%-2%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: H, WH, AHMA, BKNG, MAR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

VIK has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Viking (VIK)

Better Bets than Viking (VIK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VIK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Viking

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VIKHWHAHMABKNGMARMedian
NameViking Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Ambition.Booking Marriott. 
Mkt Price67.54161.2873.8915.045,047.21306.65117.59
Mkt Cap29.915.45.6-163.483.329.9
Rev LTM5,8066,9141,436-26,03925,9256,914
Op Inc LTM1,255449593-8,9814,1371,255
FCF LTM779107294-8,3151,927779
FCF 3Y Avg-397268-8,2202,3231,360
CFO LTM2,258301349-8,6402,7012,258
CFO 3Y Avg-590310-8,5862,9141,752

Growth & Margins

VIKHWHAHMABKNGMARMedian
NameViking Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Ambition.Booking Marriott. 
Rev Chg LTM17.7%3.1%3.4%-13.0%4.7%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.1%-2.5%-17.8%10.6%9.9%
Rev Chg Q18.5%9.6%-3.5%-12.7%3.7%9.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.3%2.3%-1.0%-4.1%0.9%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM21.6%6.5%41.3%-34.5%16.0%21.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.8%38.4%-31.4%16.3%23.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.0%0.8%-1.6%0.6%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM38.9%4.4%24.3%-33.2%10.4%24.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-8.8%22.0%-37.2%11.8%16.9%
FCF/Rev LTM13.4%1.5%20.5%-31.9%7.4%13.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.9%19.0%-35.6%9.4%14.2%

Valuation

VIKHWHAHMABKNGMARMedian
NameViking Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Ambition.Booking Marriott. 
Mkt Cap29.915.45.6-163.483.329.9
P/S4.12.04.3-6.72.74.1
P/EBIT20.244.210.6-20.816.920.2
P/E28.6-154.018.1-34.727.127.1
P/CFO10.545.017.5-20.226.220.2
Total Yield3.5%-0.2%7.6%-3.6%4.7%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.4%2.1%-0.7%1.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.1%4.4%-6.0%3.5%4.0%
D/E0.20.50.4-0.10.20.2
Net D/E0.10.40.4-0.00.20.2

Returns

VIKHWHAHMABKNGMARMedian
NameViking Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Ambition.Booking Marriott. 
1M Rtn11.7%18.1%-0.5%197.8%0.3%16.5%14.1%
3M Rtn8.3%12.5%-13.7%--9.6%16.0%8.3%
6M Rtn43.3%23.4%-8.6%--8.9%17.6%17.6%
12M Rtn47.9%2.5%-23.1%--2.5%8.7%2.5%
3Y Rtn-63.9%7.5%-145.5%90.8%77.3%
1M Excs Rtn11.8%18.2%-0.5%197.9%0.4%16.5%14.1%
3M Excs Rtn1.7%5.8%-19.2%--15.0%9.0%1.7%
6M Excs Rtn28.6%8.7%-23.3%--23.6%2.9%2.9%
12M Excs Rtn31.9%-11.0%-36.9%--15.8%-6.4%-11.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-0.3%-63.6%-85.1%26.1%13.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,121,629
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-14.1%
Average Daily Volume2,608,756
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.96
Basic Shares Quantity443,227,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581920256-K 6/30/2025
331202552020256-K 3/31/2025
12312024311202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111920246-K 9/30/2024
630202482220246-K 6/30/2024
331202452920246-K 3/31/2024
123120235022024424B4 12/31/2023
123120222072024DRS/A 12/31/2022